Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Bismarck, ND
Issued by NWS Bismarck, ND
439
FNUS73 KBIS 271257
FWSBIS
Spot Forecast for Fire near Minnkota Plant...North Dakota Forest Service
National Weather Service Bismarck ND
757 AM CDT Fri Sep 27 2024
Forecast is based on forecast start time of 2100 CDT on September 26.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.
.DISCUSSION...
Today, temperatures will cool off a few degrees from yesterday with
high temperatures in the lower 80s. Skies will remain clear today
as surface high pressure moves through the region. The inversion will
likely break around 1400 to 1700 this afternoon. 20 ft winds are forecast to
to be light and variable this morning shifting out of the south this
afternoon with wind gusts around 10 to 15 mph. Wind gusts will subside
around sunset. Overnight lows are forecast to drop down into lower 50s with
maximum relative humidity around 60 percent resulting in fair overnight
recoveries.
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny.
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 80.
Min humidity........23 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming south 5 to 9 mph in the
afternoon.
Mixing height.......3400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 6 to 8 mph shifting to the southeast 3 to
5 mph late in the morning, then shifting to the
south 6 to 15 mph in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (1900 knot-ft) early in the morning
increasing to fair (44000 knot-ft) in the
afternoon.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........2 4 2 1 3 5 2 2 2 2 4 3
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Temp............44 46 47 51 58 64 69 73 76 78 80 80
RH..............86 76 79 74 59 48 39 33 30 26 23 24
20 FT wind dir..W W NW NW SE SE S S S S S S
20 FT wind spd..2 2 2 2 2 3 5 7 7 8 9 8
20 FT wind gust. 5 4 5 6 8 10 12 13 13 14 14
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.6 1.1 1.8 2.3 2.7 3.1 3.4 3.4
Transp wind dir.N N NE N SE S S S S S S S
Transp wind spd.8 6 6 6 3 5 6 8 9 10 13 15
Haines index....5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5
Dispr kt-ft/1K..3 2 2 2 2 5 9 16 22 28 37 44
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Clear.
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 51.
Max humidity........64 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 8 mph in the evening and
overnight becoming light.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 12 to 17 mph shifting to the southwest 8
to 9 mph after 3 am.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (44300 knot-ft) early in the evening
decreasing to poor (3300 knot-ft) late in the
night.
Haines Index........5 to 6 or moderate to high potential for large
plume dominated fire growth.
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........2 3 5 5 4 5 4 3 3 3 2 4
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Temp............80 76 71 67 65 63 61 60 58 57 56 54
RH..............24 28 34 40 41 44 48 47 51 55 55 59
20 FT wind dir..S S SE S S S S S S S SW W
20 FT wind spd..8 7 6 6 6 5 5 5 4 3 3 2
20 FT wind gust.14 12 12 12 12 11 10 9 8 7 6 6
Mix hgt (kft)...3.0 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5
Transp wind dir.S S S S S S S S SW SW W SW
Transp wind spd.17 12 12 13 14 15 14 14 13 12 9 8
Haines index....5 5 5 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6
Dispr kt-ft/1K..44 6 5 5 6 6 6 6 5 5 4 3
$$
Forecaster...JOHNSON
Requested by...Ryan Melin
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2423120.0/BIS
.DELDT 09/26/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL ryan.melin@ndsu.edu