Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Bismarck, ND
Issued by NWS Bismarck, ND
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FNUS73 KBIS 200156
FWSBIS
Spot Forecast for 808 23rd St NE...Lemmon FD
National Weather Service Bismarck ND
802 PM CDT Fri Jul 19 2024
Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1800 CDT on July 19.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.
.DISCUSSION...
Showers and thunderstorms will continue in the vicinity of the fire
for a couple of hours. Thunderstorms and showers could cause erratic
wind gusts. Winds will remain light and variable to northeast.
Humidity will continue to increase into the overnight hours resulting
in excellent overnight recoveries. Saturday, winds will remain light out
of the northeast around 5 to 10 mph. Minimum relative humidity will drop
down to around 40 percent tomorrow afternoon with temperatures into the
upper 80s. Another chance of thunderstorms and showers is possible
Saturday afternoon which cloud lead to gusty erratic winds.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Isolated showers and
thunderstorms early in the evening. Patchy fog
overnight.
CWR.................21 percent decreasing to 0 percent.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
LAL.................2 until 2200, then 1.
Min temperature.....Around 60.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming north around 6 mph early
in the evening, then becoming light early in
the evening. Gusty and erratic winds expected
near thunderstorms early in the evening.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 13 to 16 mph shifting to the east 6 to 10
mph late in the evening, then shifting to the
northwest after 3 am.
Smoke dispersal.....Very good (112900 knot-ft) early in the evening
decreasing to poor (36400 knot-ft) late in the
night decreasing to poor (1900 knot-ft) in the
late evening and overnight.
Haines Index........3 to 5 or very low to moderate potential for
large plume dominated fire growth.
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30
Weather cov.....ISO ISO ISO ISO PTY PTY PTY PTY
Weather type....RW RW RW RW FOG FOG FOG FOG
Tstm cov........ISO ISO ISO ISO
CWR.............20 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Chc of pcpn (%).20 20 20 20 10 10 0 0 0 0 0 0
LAL.............2 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Temp............86 80 78 74 69 67 66 65 63 63 62 61
RH..............40 49 56 66 76 84 90 93 97 97 100 100
20 FT wind dir..NE N NE NE NE NE NE N N NW N NW
20 FT wind spd..2 6 4 2 1 2 4 4 3 2 2 2
20 FT wind gust.6 14 11 9 8 8 9 8 6 6 5 5
Mix hgt (kft)...8.1 6.7 2.8 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5
Transp wind dir.N N N NE NE E E E E E N NW
Transp wind spd.16 16 15 13 13 10 8 7 7 6 5 5
Haines index....5 5 5 5 5 5 4 4 4 3 3 3
Dispr kt-ft/1K..113 93 36 6 5 4 3 3 3 2 2 2
.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny. Patchy fog early in the morning.
Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in
the afternoon.
CWR.................6 percent.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
LAL.................1 until 1300, then 2.
Max temperature.....Around 86.
Min humidity........41 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming northeast 5 to 7 mph in
the late morning and early afternoon, then
increasing to around 8 mph late in the
afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected
near thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......8200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 6 to 7 mph shifting to the northeast 7 to
9 mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (2100 knot-ft) early in the morning
increasing to good (65800 knot-ft) in the
afternoon.
Haines Index........3 to 5 or very low to moderate potential for
large plume dominated fire growth.
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30
Weather cov.....PTY PTY PTY PTY SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....FOG FOG FOG FOG RW RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov........ SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
CWR.............0 0 0 0 10 10 10 0 0 0 0 0
Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 10 10 10 20 20 20 20 20
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2
Temp............60 61 65 70 75 78 81 83 84 84 84 84
RH..............100 100 90 81 69 60 51 47 44 43 41 41
20 FT wind dir..N NW N N N NE NE NE NE NE NE NE
20 FT wind spd..2 3 3 3 5 5 6 7 8 8 8 8
20 FT wind gust.5 6 6 7 9 10 12 14 14 14 14 14
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.4 0.5 1.2 2.9 4.5 6.1 7.0 7.3 7.8 8.1 8.2
Transp wind dir.NW NW N N NE NE NE N NE NE NE NE
Transp wind spd.6 6 6 7 7 9 9 9 9 9 9 9
Haines index....3 3 3 4 4 4 5 5 5 5 5 5
Dispr kt-ft/1K..2 2 3 8 17 36 48 56 59 62 65 66
.SATURDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms early in the evening. Slight
chance of showers and thunderstorms overnight.
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
LAL.................2 until 1900, then 1 until 0100, then 2.
Min temperature.....Around 61.
Max humidity........96 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 5 to 9 mph in the evening
becoming light. Gusty and erratic winds
expected near thunderstorms early in the
evening. Gusty and erratic winds expected near
thunderstorms overnight.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 9 to 10 mph shifting to the east 6 to
8 mph late in the evening.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (69400 knot-ft) early in the evening
decreasing to poor (2200 knot-ft) late in the
night.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........30 30 30 30 33 30 30 34 33 32 31 30
Weather cov.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....RW RW RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov........SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Chc of pcpn (%).20 10 10 10 10 10 10 20 20 20 20 20
LAL.............2 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2
Temp............84 82 80 76 73 70 68 66 65 64 63 62
RH..............41 46 51 60 66 71 77 84 89 92 93 96
20 FT wind dir..NE NE NE E E E E E E E E NE
20 FT wind spd..9 9 7 6 5 5 4 4 3 3 2 2
20 FT wind gust.14 14 12 11 10 9 9 8 7 7 6 6
Mix hgt (kft)...7.7 7.4 4.0 0.7 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4
Transp wind dir.NE NE E E E E E E E SE SE E
Transp wind spd.10 10 10 10 9 8 8 7 7 7 7 6
Haines index....5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5
Dispr kt-ft/1K..69 67 36 6 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 2
.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms in the morning, then chance of
showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
LAL.................2 until 1300, then 3.
Max temperature.....Around 84.
Min humidity........49 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming northeast 5 to 8 mph late
in the morning. Gusty and erratic winds
expected near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......6200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 5 to 9 mph shifting to the east 8 to 9
mph late in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (1600 knot-ft) early in the morning
increasing to fair (44300 knot-ft) in the
afternoon.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........30 30 22 22 21 27 32 38 38 38 38 36
Weather cov.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov........SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Chc of pcpn (%).20 20 20 20 20 20 20 30 30 30 30 30
LAL.............2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3
Temp............61 62 65 70 74 77 79 80 81 82 82 82
RH..............96 93 86 77 69 63 58 54 51 50 49 49
20 FT wind dir..NE N NE NE NE NE NE NE NE E E E
20 FT wind spd..2 2 3 3 4 5 5 6 6 7 7 8
20 FT wind gust.6 6 6 6 7 9 10 12 13 13 13 14
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 1.1 1.8 2.5 3.5 4.5 5.5 5.8 6.0 6.2 5.3
Transp wind dir.N NW N N NE NE NE NE NE E E E
Transp wind spd.5 5 6 7 8 9 9 9 9 8 8 9
Haines index....5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5
Dispr kt-ft/1K..2 2 5 11 17 27 36 44 44 43 44 42
$$
Forecaster...JOHNSON
Requested by...Todd Christman
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2418487.2/BIS
.DELDT 07/19/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL lfd@sdplains.com