Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Bismarck, ND
Issued by NWS Bismarck, ND
529
FNUS73 KBIS 171200
FWSBIS
Spot Forecast for 2025 Pine RX...USFS
National Weather Service Bismarck ND
600 AM CST Fri Jan 17 2025
Forecast is based on ignition time of 0600 MST on January 17.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM CST THIS EVENING...
.DISCUSSION...
Strong cold front will move through the region today, and will
bring colder temperatures, chances for light snow, and most
importantly, very strong northwest winds with peak gusts up to
around 45 mph. Breezy and very cold conditions follow through the
weekend.
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny then becoming cloudy. Scattered
snow showers in the morning. Chance of snow in
the afternoon.
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 30.
Min humidity........70 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Breezy. Northwest winds 17 to 26 mph. Gusts up
to 37 mph increasing to 44 mph in the late
morning and afternoon.
Mixing height.......3300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 23 to 32 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (14800 knot-ft) early in the morning
increasing to good (86300 knot-ft) in the
afternoon.
Haines Index........2 to 3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
TIME (MST) 5AM 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM
Sky (%).........35 48 60 78 95 96 97 97 98 92 87 83
Weather cov..... ISO SCT SCT CHC SCH SCH SCH
Weather type.... SW SW SW SN SN SN SN
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Chc of pcpn (%).10 10 10 20 30 30 30 20 20 20 10 10
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Temp............30 30 28 26 24 22 21 20 19 18 17 15
RH..............75 75 78 78 77 77 77 77 74 74 70 73
20 FT wind dir..NW NW NW NW NW NW NW N N N NW NW
20 FT wind spd..17 19 22 23 25 26 26 25 24 23 23 21
20 FT wind gust.26 28 31 34 37 37 37 37 35 34 32 31
Mix hgt (kft)...0.7 1.2 1.3 2.1 2.8 2.7 2.9 3.2 3.2 3.3 3.3 3.0
Transp wind dir.NW NW NW NW NW N N N N N N N
Transp wind spd.23 25 25 29 32 29 28 28 29 30 30 28
Haines index....3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 2 2 2 2
Dispr kt-ft/1K..15 26 29 53 78 68 70 76 81 86 86 73
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy.
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 1 above.
Max humidity........83 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 9 to 18 mph with gusts to
around 27 mph decreasing to around 8 mph early
in the morning.
Mixing height.......2100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 17 to 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (60300 knot-ft) early in the evening
decreasing to poor (31000 knot-ft) late in the
night.
Haines Index........2 to 3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
TIME (MST) 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM
Sky (%).........80 78 76 74 69 65 61 64 66 69 70 70
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Temp............13 11 10 8 7 6 6 5 5 5 5 4
RH..............73 76 73 76 76 79 76 76 76 72 72 75
20 FT wind dir..NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW
20 FT wind spd..18 17 16 15 14 12 11 10 10 9 9 8
20 FT wind gust.27 25 24 22 20 19 17 15 15 14 14 14
Mix hgt (kft)...2.6 2.7 2.6 2.6 2.5 2.3 2.1 2.1 2.2 2.1 2.3 2.5
Transp wind dir.NW N N N N N N NW NW NW NW NW
Transp wind spd.25 25 24 22 21 21 18 17 20 21 21 21
Haines index....2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3
Dispr kt-ft/1K..58 60 55 49 46 41 34 31 37 38 42 45
.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy.
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 7 above.
Min humidity........59 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 8 to 17 mph with gusts to
around 24 mph increasing to 17 to 19 mph with
gusts to around 26 mph in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......3600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 18 to 26 mph increasing to 28 to 30
mph in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (28500 knot-ft) early in the morning
increasing to good (94500 knot-ft) in the
afternoon.
Haines Index........2 to 3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
TIME (MST) 5AM 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM
Sky (%).........71 71 72 81 72 77 82 77 73 68 64 61
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Temp............4 3 2 3 4 5 5 5 4 3 2 0
RH..............76 79 83 75 76 69 65 62 59 59 59 59
20 FT wind dir..NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW
20 FT wind spd..8 8 9 10 12 15 17 18 19 19 18 17
20 FT wind gust.13 14 14 15 19 20 24 26 26 26 26 25
Mix hgt (kft)...2.2 1.8 1.8 1.8 2.4 3.0 3.5 3.5 3.6 3.6 3.2 2.9
Transp wind dir.NW NW N N NW N N N NW NW NW NW
Transp wind spd.21 20 18 20 23 25 26 28 29 30 30 29
Haines index....3 3 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 2
Dispr kt-ft/1K..40 31 29 31 49 65 80 86 91 95 85 72
$$
Forecaster...HEINERT
Requested by...Dawson Glock
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2500401.4/BIS
.DELDT 01/17/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL dawson.glock@usda.gov