712
FXUS61 KBGM 101021
AFDBGM

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Binghamton NY
621 AM EDT Sun Aug 10 2025

.SYNOPSIS...
High pressure will bring hot and dry conditions until mid week.
A cold front will bring a chance for scattered showers and
thunderstorms on Wednesday. High pressure returns for the end
of the week and into next weekend.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH MONDAY/...
230 AM Update

Quiet, warm summer weather continues through the near term period.

High pressure will continue to bring sunny skies and very warm
conditions. However, humidity levels will remain low, so heat
indices will be at or below actual temperatures. Clear and calm
weather persists Sunday night, with another strong diurnal
temperature drop. Overnight lows dip down into the mid 50s to
low-60s over the region, with more patchy valley fog around
early Monday morning. Conditions on Monday will be quite similar
to today, but temperatures will climb by a couple degrees.

&&

.SHORT TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
230 AM update...

High pressure remains through the short term period with more quiet/dry
weather and warm temperatures. High temperatures in the lower
90s to possibly mid 90s across the region. However, humidity
values will still be on the lower side, with dew point
temperatures in the lower to mid 60s.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
230 AM update...

High pressure will finally begin to break down and shift east
Tuesday night into Wednesday, as a potent, fast- moving cold front
swings through the Great Lakes and into the Northeast during
the middle of the week. Showers ahead of this front will start
to pop up across the region late Tue night, but showers and
thunderstorms will be most widespread across the area on
Wednesday afternoon. Showers and thunderstorms will likely
contain heavy downpours with high PWAT values (1.5 to 2"). At
this time, wind shear is looking weak, so not expecting severe
thunderstorms, but with instability of 1500 to 2000 J/kg of CAPE
and the juicy environment, a few strong storms will be possible
with gusty winds as the main threat.

Behind the front there is strong consensus that the air mass
will become more stable and slightly cooler with highs generally
in the 80s and lows in the lower 60s...with only a slight
chance of rain showers Thu afternoon. Temperatures rebound
slightly on Friday back into the mid 80s and should push even
higher by next weekend, but with high pressure overhead, quiet
conditions will persist.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
VFR conditions expected at all terminals over the next 24 hours.
A dry air mass with high pressure in place will lead to clear
skies and light winds.

Outlook...
Monday through Tuesday...VFR expected.

Wednesday...MVFR possible at times due to Scattered SHRA/TSRA.

Thursday...Mainly VFR; can`t rule out some isolated showers or
tsra.

&&

.BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...None.
NY...None.

&&

$$

SYNOPSIS...MPK/MJM
NEAR TERM...MJM
SHORT TERM...BJT/MPK
LONG TERM...BJT/MPK
AVIATION...AJG