Marine/Aviation Tropical Cyclone Advisory
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009
WTNT25 KNHC 200850
TCMAT5

HURRICANE ERIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  36
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052025
0900 UTC WED AUG 20 2025

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.9N  73.3W AT 20/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 345 DEGREES AT  11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  954 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT.
64 KT....... 80NE  70SE  40SW  50NW.
50 KT.......140NE 140SE  70SW  90NW.
34 KT.......220NE 230SE 130SW 160NW.
4 M SEAS....450NE 330SE 210SW 420NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.9N  73.3W AT 20/0900Z
AT 20/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.3N  73.2W

FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 30.6N  73.5W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 80NE  80SE  40SW  50NW.
50 KT...140NE 140SE  90SW  90NW.
34 KT...230NE 230SE 160SW 170NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 33.0N  72.8W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 80NE  80SE  40SW  50NW.
50 KT...140NE 140SE 100SW 100NW.
34 KT...230NE 240SE 190SW 180NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 35.4N  70.6W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 80NE  90SE  60SW  70NW.
50 KT...140NE 150SE 110SW 120NW.
34 KT...240NE 290SE 210SW 220NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 37.4N  67.3W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 70NE 100SE  90SW  90NW.
50 KT...160NE 180SE 130SW 130NW.
34 KT...280NE 310SE 240SW 250NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 39.3N  63.1W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 110SE 110SW  80NW.
50 KT...160NE 180SE 150SW 130NW.
34 KT...320NE 330SE 260SW 250NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 41.0N  57.7W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  90SE 100SW  60NW.
50 KT...140NE 180SE 150SW 130NW.
34 KT...350NE 340SE 270SW 260NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 24/0600Z 45.8N  43.9W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 80NE 200SE 180SW 120NW.
34 KT...300NE 360SE 340SW 240NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 25/0600Z 51.1N  30.8W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  90SE 210SW 120NW.
34 KT...280NE 380SE 450SW 360NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 28.9N  73.3W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPAT5...AT 20/1200Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BERG