104
WTNT24 KNHC 150844
TCMAT4

TROPICAL STORM SARA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL192024
0900 UTC FRI NOV 15 2024

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N  85.1W AT 15/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT   8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  999 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT....... 90NE   0SE   0SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE   0SE   0SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N  85.1W AT 15/0900Z
AT 15/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.9N  84.9W

FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 16.0N  85.9W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 90NE   0SE   0SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 16.0N  86.3W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  20SE   0SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 16.2N  86.7W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  30SE   0SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 16.5N  87.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  30SE   0SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 17.0N  88.7W...INLAND
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 17.9N  90.1W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 19/0600Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.0N  85.1W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPAT4...AT 15/1200Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER HAGEN