Tropical Cyclone Probabilities
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
084
FONT14 KNHC 100841
PWSAT4
HURRICANE MILTON WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 21
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142024
0900 UTC THU OCT 10 2024
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE MILTON WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
28.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 80.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
75 KTS...85 MPH...140 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
06Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
BALD HEAD ISL 34 3 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
LITTLE RIVER 34 3 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
MYRTLE BEACH 34 3 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
CHARLESTON SC 34 3 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
BEAUFORT MCAS 34 3 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
KINGS BAY GA 34 32 1(33) X(33) X(33) X(33) X(33) X(33)
MAYPORT NS FL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
JACKSONVILLE 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
GAINESVILLE FL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
DAYTONA BEACH 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
DAYTONA BEACH 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
THE VILLAGES 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
THE VILLAGES 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
ORLANDO FL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
ORLANDO FL 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
COCOA BEACH FL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
COCOA BEACH FL 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
COCOA BEACH FL 64 98 X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98)
PATRICK AFB 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
PATRICK AFB 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
PATRICK AFB 64 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
FT PIERCE FL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
FT PIERCE FL 50 7 X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
W PALM BEACH 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
FT LAUDERDALE 34 4 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
MIAMI FL 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
MARATHON FL 34 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
NAPLES FL 34 4 X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
FT MYERS FL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
VENICE FL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
TAMPA FL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
CEDAR KEY FL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
BERMUDA 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
GRAND BAHAMA 34 29 3(32) X(32) X(32) X(32) X(32) X(32)
NEW PROVIDENCE 34 4 3( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI