379
WTNT22 KNHC 300837
TCMAT2

TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL122024
0900 UTC MON SEP 30 2024

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.0N  34.1W AT 30/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT   7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.0N  34.1W AT 30/0900Z
AT 30/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.9N  33.6W

FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 14.1N  35.7W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE   0SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 14.3N  37.9W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT...100NE  70SE  40SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 14.9N  39.8W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE  60SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 15.8N  41.4W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT...150NE 140SE  70SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 17.1N  42.7W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  50SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...170NE 160SE  80SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 18.4N  44.1W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  60SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...180NE 160SE  90SW 140NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 04/0600Z 20.7N  46.5W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
50 KT...100NE  80SE  60SW  90NW.
34 KT...200NE 190SE 110SW 170NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 05/0600Z 23.4N  48.5W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
50 KT...120NE 100SE  70SW 100NW.
34 KT...220NE 200SE 130SW 190NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.0N  34.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER HAGEN