926
WTNT22 KNHC 132034
TCMAT2

TROPICAL STORM LORENZO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL122025
2100 UTC MON OCT 13 2025

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.2N  41.7W AT 13/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT  10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT.......140NE 130SE   0SW  90NW.
4 M SEAS....120NE 150SE  30SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.2N  41.7W AT 13/2100Z
AT 13/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.8N  41.3W

FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 16.2N  43.1W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...120NE 100SE   0SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 17.8N  44.3W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...100NE  80SE   0SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 20.0N  44.7W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  50SE  30SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 22.6N  43.6W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 25.3N  41.6W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 28.2N  38.3W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW   0NW.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 17/1800Z 31.4N  31.4W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT...  0NE  25SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 40NE  50SE  50SW  40NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 18/1800Z 30.1N  29.2W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  50SE  50SW  30NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.2N  41.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI