244
WTNT22 KNHC 061455
TCMAT2

HURRICANE KIRK FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  29
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL122024
1500 UTC SUN OCT 06 2024

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 35.6N  47.7W AT 06/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  35 DEGREES AT  22 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  960 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT.
64 KT....... 70NE 100SE  95SW  50NW.
50 KT.......140NE 150SE 110SW 110NW.
34 KT.......250NE 240SE 190SW 200NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 480SE 540SW 400NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 35.6N  47.7W AT 06/1500Z
AT 06/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 34.7N  48.5W

FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 38.1N  45.1W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  70SE  60SW  40NW.
50 KT...130NE 140SE 110SW 110NW.
34 KT...240NE 250SE 200SW 190NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 41.1N  39.9W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  35SE  25SW  35NW.
50 KT...100NE 130SE 120SW 100NW.
34 KT...230NE 270SE 210SW 180NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 43.1N  33.3W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 70NE 130SE 120SW  80NW.
34 KT...200NE 270SE 240SW 180NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 43.8N  25.2W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT...  0NE  80SE  80SW  30NW.
34 KT...160NE 270SE 260SW 170NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 44.5N  15.6W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT...  0NE  60SE  40SW   0NW.
34 KT...140NE 240SE 250SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 46.7N   6.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...110NE 190SE 190SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 10/1200Z 52.5N   9.0E...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...  0NE   0SE   0SW 150NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 11/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 35.6N  47.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER HAGEN