335
WTNT21 KNHC 241454
TCMAT1

TROPICAL STORM FERNAND FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062025
1500 UTC SUN AUG 24 2025

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.0N  60.0W AT 24/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR  20 DEGREES AT  13 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1010 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT.......  0NE  90SE   0SW   0NW.
4 M SEAS.... 30NE 120SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.0N  60.0W AT 24/1500Z
AT 24/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.4N  60.2W

FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 32.6N  59.1W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  90SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 34.8N  57.8W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 60NE  90SE  30SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 36.9N  56.4W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 60NE  90SE  30SW  20NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 39.3N  54.3W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  80SE  30SW  20NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 42.0N  51.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  80SE  40SW  20NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 44.5N  46.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  50SE  20SW   0NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 28/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.0N  60.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE