576
ABNT20 KNHC 241139
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Sun Aug 24 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Fernand, located over the central subtropical Atlantic.

East of the Windward Islands (AL99):
Showers and thunderstorms associated with a tropical wave located
about 200 miles east of the Windward Islands have increased since
yesterday.  However, the wave does not appear to have a surface
circulation.  This system could still become a tropical depression
during the next day or two while it moves quickly westward at about
20 to 25 mph, passing through the Windward and Leeward Islands
later today and early Monday.  Regardless of development, locally
heavy rainfall and gusty winds are likely across portions of the
Windward and Leeward Islands today and Monday. The system is
expected to reach the central Caribbean Sea on Tuesday, where
conditions are forecast to become less favorable for additional
development.  An Air Force reconnaissance aircraft is scheduled to
investigate the system this afternoon, if necessary.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.

&&

Public Advisories on Tropical Storm Fernand are issued under WMO
header WTNT31 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT1.
Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Storm Fernand are issued under WMO
header WTNT21 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT1.

$$
Forecaster Blake