323
ABNT20 KNHC 200514
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Wed Aug 20 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Erin, located over the southwestern Atlantic Ocean.

Near the Leeward Islands in the Tropical Atlantic:
A tropical wave located over the central tropical Atlantic continues
to produce a broad area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms.
Environmental conditions appear conducive for gradual development of
this system, and a tropical depression could form late this
week or over the weekend while it moves near or the north of the
northern Leeward Islands.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.

Eastern Tropical Atlantic (AL99):
Recent satellite-derived wind data indicate that a concentrated
area of showers and thunderstorms located just southwest of the Cabo
Verde Islands lacks a closed surface circulation.  Environmental
conditions appear marginally favorable for additional development
over the next day or so while the system moves westward at around 15
mph.  By the end of the week, environmental conditions are expected
to become unfavorable for further development.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.

$$
Forecaster Roberts