601
ABNT20 KNHC 241752
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Sun Aug 24 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Fernand, located over the central subtropical Atlantic.

East of the Windward Islands (AL99):
A tropical wave located just east of the Windward Islands continues
to produce shower and thunderstorm activity.  While satellite data
indicates that the wave does not appear to have a surface
circulation, an Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft is
currently investigating the area.  This system could still become a
tropical depression during the next day or two while it moves
quickly westward at about 20 to 25 mph, passing through the Windward
and Leeward Islands later today and early Monday.  Regardless of
development, heavy rainfall and gusty winds to tropical storm force
are likely across portions of the Windward and Leeward Islands
today and Monday. The system is expected to reach the central
Caribbean Sea on Tuesday, where conditions are forecast to become
less favorable for additional development.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.

$$
Forecaster Blake