905
AXNT20 KNHC 020303
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Wed Apr 2 2025

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0300 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Meteo-France Gale Warning: Meteo-France forecasts gale-force NW
winds from 12 UTC through 21 UTC on April 2. Very large seas of 8
to at least 14 ft will likely accompany these winds. For more
details, refer to the Meteo-France High Seas Forecast listed on
their website https://wwwmiws.wmo.int

...MONSOON TROUGH/INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE...

The monsoon trough axis enters the Atlantic Ocean near 12N15W to
02N20W. The ITCZ extends from 02N20W to 02S30W to offshore of
northern Brazil near 02S45W. Scattered moderate convection is
noted from 01N to 03N between 05W and 25W.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

A front that was over the northern Gulf coast this afternoon has
lifted north of the area as a warm front. The standard evening
trough has developed over northwestern Yucatan. The subtropical
ridge extends from the western Atlantic through the central Gulf.
This pattern is supporting fresh to strong NE to E winds and seas
to 6 ft along the north coast of the Yucatan Peninsula, and fresh
to strong SE winds and seas to 6 ft off Texas. Moderate winds and
3 to 5 ft seas are noted elsewhere. Platforms in the northwest and
north-central Gulf are still reporting areas of fog reducing
visibility as to as low as 1 1/2 miles.

For the forecast, fresh to strong SE to S winds will persist
across much of the basin west of 85W tonight. These winds will
support building rough seas in this region the middle of the week
through late week. East of 85W, moderate SE winds will strengthen
to fresh to strong speeds Wed into Thu, including the Florida
Straits.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

The pressure gradient between strong high pressure north of the
area and a 1008 mb over northern Colombia is supporting strong
trade winds off northeastern Colombia, in the Gulf of Venezuela
and off central Honduras. Moderate to fresh trade winds are noted
elsewhere. Seas are reaching 8 ft off Colombia and the south-
central Caribbean, and are 5 to 7 ft elsewhere, except for near 2
to 4 ft south of Cuba and in the Windward Passage.

For the forecast, fresh to strong winds and rough seas offshore of
Colombia and in the Gulf of Venezuela will increase to near-
gale force Wed through the weekend. Rough to very rough seas are
expected with these winds. Fresh to strong E to SE winds in the
Gulf of Honduras will increase to near-gale force speeds, with
rough seas developing for the second half of the week.
Elsewhere, moderate to fresh trade winds will strengthen with
building rough seas dominating the basin Thu into the upcoming
weekend. Large E swell will impact the tropical Atlantic waters
and Caribbean Passages most of the week, maintaining rough seas.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

The Atlantic basin is dominated by 1032 mb high pressure centered
near 34N45W, with the subtropical ridge axis extending westward
toward central Florida. A complex low northeast of the Azores is
supporting strong N winds and rough seas north of 24N and east of
40W. Elsewhere, this pattern is supporting fresh trade winds and 8
to 10 ft seas across the tropical Atlantic south of 24N, and
gentle to moderate breezes and 5 to 7 ft seas north of 24N and
west of 40W.

For the forecast west of 55W, high pressure will persist across
the area. The building high will support fresh to strong E to SE
winds and rough seas across the waters south of 25N, including
through the Atlantic Passages into the Caribbean.

$$
Christensen