Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI
231 FNUS73 KAPX 132009 FWSAPX Spot Forecast for Lame Duck foot access...MIDNR National Weather Service Gaylord MI 409 PM EDT Fri Sep 13 2024 Forecast is based on ignition time of 1700 EDT on September 13. If conditions become unrepresentative... contact the National Weather Service. Please contact our office at (989)732-9306, if you have questions or concerns with this forecast. .DISCUSSION...Warm temperatures and rain-free weather is expected to continue for the next several days...perhaps through the entirety of next week. With little pattern change anticipated over that time, highs in the upper 70s to mid 80s are expected for the next several days. Excellent late morning and afternoon mixing out of already limited low level moisture will support relative humidity values dropping below 40 percent during the afternoon hours through at least Tuesday...especially across inland areas. As of now, not seeing any significant wind concerns through the period. Looking ahead, persistence of warm and rain-free conditions may bring about heightened fire weather concerns with continued drying of fuels as we head through the second half of September. .REST OF TODAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Max temperature.....Around 84. Min humidity........44 percent. 20-foot winds.......East winds around 7 mph. Transport winds.....East around 13 mph. Mixing height.......3200 ft AGL. Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Ventilation index...Good (402.0). TIME (EDT) 5PM Sky (%).........30 Weather cov..... Weather type.... Tstm cov........ Temp............83 RH..............51 20 ft wind dir..E 20 ft wind spd..8 20 ft wind gust.14 Mix hgt (kft)...3.2 Haines index....5 Transp wind dir.E Transp wind spd.13 Vrate kt-ft.....402 Ventrate Cat....GD .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent). Min temperature.....Around 53. Max humidity........100 percent. 20-foot winds.......East winds 5 to 7 mph early in the evening becoming light. Transport winds.....East 7 to 14 mph. Mixing height.......400-2300 ft AGL. Haines Index........4 to 5 or low to moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Ventilation index...Poor to good (25.0-315.0). TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM Sky (%).........31 31 34 31 30 30 40 35 41 33 39 42 Weather cov..... Weather type.... Tstm cov........ Temp............81 76 69 66 64 61 60 59 58 57 55 54 RH..............54 62 70 77 83 90 93 94 98 98 100 100 20 ft wind dir..E E E E E E E E E E E E 20 ft wind spd..8 8 8 6 6 6 3 3 3 2 2 2 20 ft wind gust.16 16 16 13 13 13 8 8 8 5 5 5 Mix hgt (kft)...2.3 0.7 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 Haines index....5 5 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 Transp wind dir.E E E E E E E E E E E E Transp wind spd.14 12 12 12 10 10 8 8 8 7 7 7 Vrate kt-ft.....315 79 48 48 44 44 34 34 32 25 27 27 Ventrate Cat....GD PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR .SATURDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Max temperature.....Around 82. Min humidity........50 percent. 20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming southeast 5 to 6 mph in the afternoon. Transport winds.....Southeast 6 to 13 mph. Mixing height.......300-2200 ft AGL increasing to 2900-3900 ft AGL in the afternoon. Haines Index........4 to 5 or low to moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Ventilation index...Poor to good (20.0-485.0). TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM Sky (%).........54 54 47 48 44 36 32 30 30 30 31 30 Weather cov..... Weather type.... Tstm cov........ Temp............54 53 54 59 66 71 75 78 80 80 80 81 RH..............100 99 100 100 86 75 65 59 50 52 52 50 20 ft wind dir..NE NE NE E E E SE SE SE SE SE SE 20 ft wind spd..2 2 2 5 5 5 7 7 7 7 7 7 20 ft wind gust.6 6 6 10 10 10 15 15 15 16 16 16 Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 0.3 0.4 0.6 1.2 2.2 2.9 3.5 3.9 3.8 3.7 Haines index....4 4 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 Transp wind dir.E E E E E SE SE SE SE SE SE SE Transp wind spd.7 6 6 6 6 7 8 10 12 12 13 13 Vrate kt-ft.....25 21 20 23 36 82 175 305 402 450 485 469 Ventrate Cat....PR PR PR PR PR PR FR GD GD GD GD GD $$ Forecaster...MLR Requested by...Jeff Vasher Type of request...PRESCRIBED .TAG 2422413.0/APX .DELDT 09/13/24 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0 .EMAIL vasherj@michigan.gov