Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI

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Spot Forecast for Mack lake Brush Pit...USFS
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
829 AM EST Mon Dec 1 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 EST on December 01.
If conditions become unrepresentative... contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (989)732-9306, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...Any flurries end today, with light snow chances
returning tonight. Snow-free weather returns for Tuesday. Any
accumulations at the burn location tonight will likely remain
under an inch. Southwest winds today, at times a bit gusty...but
should remain largely below critical levels. Light south to
southwest winds tonight, with winds becoming more west but
remaining light on Tuesday. Relative humidity levels will remain
elevated through the duration.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent).
Chance of thunder...0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 27.
Min humidity........68 percent.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming southwest 5 to 7 mph in
                    the late morning and afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southwest 9 to 18 mph.
Mixing height.......700-2500 ft AGL increasing to 3300-3700 ft AGL
                    early in the afternoon, then decreasing to
                    800-1500 ft AGL late in the afternoon.
Ventilation index...Poor to good (60.0-344.0) increasing to good to
                    excellent (566.0-681.0) early in the afternoon,
                    then decreasing to poor to fair (79.0-175.0)
                    late in the afternoon.

TIME (EST)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........66  67  74  81  88  89  91  92  93
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of thdr (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............22  23  24  25  26  27  27  27  25
RH..............77  74  71  71  68  68  68  71  81
20 ft wind dir..SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 ft wind spd..7   7   7   9   9   9   9   9   9
20 ft wind gust.14  14  14  17  17  17  16  16  16
Mix hgt (kft)...0.7 1.1 2.5 3.3 3.6 3.7 3.5 1.5 0.8
Transp wind dir.W   SW  W   W   W   W   SW  SW  SW
Transp wind spd.9   10  14  17  18  18  17  12  10
Vrate kt-ft.....60  111 344 566 657 681 607 175 79
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  GD  GD  EXL EXL EXL FR  PR

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Snow showers
                    likely in the evening. Chance of snow showers
                    overnight.
Chance of thunder...1 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 14.
Max humidity........100 percent.
20-foot winds.......South winds 5 to 6 mph in the evening and
                    overnight becoming light.
Transport winds.....South 9 to 14 mph.
Mixing height.......400-800 ft AGL.
Ventilation index...Poor (41.0).

TIME (EST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........95  96  96  97  97  96  96  95  87  78  69  66
Weather cov.....    LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....    SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Tstm cov........
Chc of thdr (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............24  23  22  21  21  21  21  21  20  20  19  17
RH..............84  88  92  96  96  96  92  92  92  88  92  96
20 ft wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW
20 ft wind spd..7   7   7   7   7   7   7   7   7   6   6   6
20 ft wind gust.15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  13  13  13
Mix hgt (kft)...0.7 0.8 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.5
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.12  12  13  14  14  14  14  13  10  10  9   9
Vrate kt-ft.....84  91  80  65  65  73  87  70  57  52  41  46
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Chance of snow
                    showers early in the morning.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 30.
Min humidity........66 percent.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming west 5 to 6 mph in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Transport winds.....West 7 to 10 mph.
Mixing height.......400-2300 ft AGL.
Ventilation index...Poor to fair (34.0-226.0).

TIME (EST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........62  59  55  51  48  48  48  48  54  60  66  65
Weather cov.....CHC
Weather type....SW
Tstm cov........
Chc of thdr (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............17  16  15  19  23  26  28  29  30  30  29  27
RH..............96  100 100 100 88  81  75  72  69  66  69  74
20 ft wind dir..SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
20 ft wind spd..5   5   5   7   7   7   7   7   7   7   7   7
20 ft wind gust.10  10  10  13  13  13  13  13  13  13  13  13
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.4 0.7 0.8 1.2 1.5 1.9 2.1 2.3 2.3 2.2 1.9
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.8   8   9   8   9   8   7   7   8   9   10  10
Vrate kt-ft.....38  34  63  61  107 125 136 147 177 212 226 190
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  FR  FR  FR  FR  FR  FR

$$
Forecaster...MSB
Requested by...Travis wiltse
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2526724.0/APX
.DELDT 12/01/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL travis.a.wiltse@usda.gov