872
FNUS73 KAPX 221351
FWSAPX

Spot Forecast for Monument Road Piles...USFS
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
851 AM EST Wed Jan 22 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 EST on January 22.
If conditions become unrepresentative... contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (989)732-9306, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...
Main concern today will be the continued cold conditions along
with breezy winds. Southwest winds will gust to 25 to 30 mph
throughout the day today, resulting in apparent temperatures of
-5 to -15 F. Winds relax later tonight into Thursday. Generally
 dry, with a few snow showers overnight into Thursday, and min
 humidity between 50 to 60 percent.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Isolated snow
                    showers late in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 12.
Min humidity........49 percent.
20-foot winds.......South winds around 12 mph with gusts to around
                    30 mph.
Transport winds.....Southwest 20 to 26 mph.
Mixing height.......1300-2500 ft AGL.
Haines Index........2 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.
Ventilation index...Fair to excellent (246.0-659.0).

TIME (EST)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........72  74  73  72  74  77  89  91
Weather cov.....                        ISO ISO
Weather type....                        SW  SW
Tstm cov........
Temp............1   2   3   5   7   9   10  11
RH..............59  56  54  51  52  49  55  58
20 ft wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 ft wind spd..15  15  16  16  16  15  15  15
20 ft wind gust.29  29  30  30  30  29  29  29
Mix hgt (kft)...1.6 1.8 1.9 2.2 2.3 2.5 2.3 1.3
Haines index....4   4   4   2   2   2   2   2
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Transp wind spd.22  24  24  26  26  26  25  20
Vrate kt-ft.....350 431 457 576 618 659 571 246
Ventrate Cat....GD  GD  GD  GD  EXL EXL GD  FR

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Isolated snow showers.
Min temperature.....Around 10 above.
Max humidity........91 percent.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 6 to 12 mph. Gusts up to 26 mph
                    in the evening and overnight.
Transport winds.....Southwest 12 to 20 mph decreasing to around 9
                    mph early in the morning.
Mixing height.......400-900 ft AGL.
Haines Index........2 to 3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Ventilation index...Poor to fair (46.0-169.0).

TIME (EST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........91  91  92  94  93  94  93  93  94  95  93  88
Weather cov.....ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO
Weather type....SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Tstm cov........
Temp............11  11  11  12  12  13  13  13  14  14  14  14
RH..............66  73  73  70  70  67  73  76  80  84  84  88
20 ft wind dir..SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 ft wind spd..13  13  13  12  12  12  10  10  10  9   9   9
20 ft wind gust.26  26  26  23  23  23  20  20  20  15  15  15
Mix hgt (kft)...0.8 0.9 0.6 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.5
Haines index....2   2   2   2   2   2   2   3   3   3   3   3
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Transp wind spd.20  20  18  18  17  16  16  16  14  13  12  9
Vrate kt-ft.....154 169 116 135 95  76  85  76  54  60  52  46
Ventrate Cat....FR  FR  PR  FR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (65-75 percent). Chance of snow
                    showers in the morning.
Max temperature.....Around 22.
Min humidity........60 percent.
20-foot winds.......West winds 5 to 7 mph shifting to the northwest
                    around 7 mph in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southwest 8 to 9 mph shifting to the northwest
                    10 to 15 mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Mixing height.......400-1900 ft AGL increasing to 2900-4000 ft AGL
                    in the afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Ventilation index...Poor to good (32.0-418.0) increasing to good
                    (386.0) in the afternoon.

TIME (EST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........83  79  69  61  53  58  62  67  68  68  69  62
Weather cov.....ISO CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Tstm cov........
Temp............13  13  14  15  16  19  20  21  21  21  20  18
RH..............91  90  84  84  78  70  64  62  62  60  62  67
20 ft wind dir..SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 ft wind spd..7   7   7   8   8   8   9   9   9   9   9   9
20 ft wind gust.12  12  12  15  15  15  17  17  17  17  17  17
Mix hgt (kft)...0.6 0.4 0.7 0.8 0.9 1.9 2.9 3.7 4.0 3.8 3.4 2.9
Haines index....3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  W   W   W   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
Transp wind spd.9   8   9   9   10  13  14  15  15  15  14  14
Vrate kt-ft.....53  32  68  75  98  242 418 558 599 556 475 386
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  FR  GD  GD  GD  GD  GD  GD

$$
Forecaster...MSB
Requested by...Patrick Hayes
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2501049.0/APX
.DELDT 01/22/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL patrick.d.hayes@usda.gov.,patrick.d.hayes@usda.gov