562
FNUS53 KAPX 171819
FWFAPX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
219 PM EDT Thu Apr 17 2025

...Wet thunderstorms tonight and Friday...

.DISCUSSION...

South-southeast winds will accelerate this evening into tonight
with gusts 25-30 mph possible, especially for areas across
northwest Lower. Winds will then turn more southerly late tonight
before switching southwest for the day with gusts decreasing to
15-20 mph into the evening. Showers and perhaps a few embedded
thunderstorms will overspread the region from southwest to
northeast tonight, with an increase in intensity (heavier rain)
after midnight. Intensity and coverage in showers look to decrease
Friday morning, but increase once again as a second wave of
showers capable of possibly producing strong to severe
thunderstorms moves through the region.

No RH concerns as a result for Friday or Saturday as showers exit
the region late Friday night/ early Saturday with decreasing
cloud cover through the day Saturday.


MIZ016-017-021>023-099-180815-
Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency
Counties-
219 PM EDT Thu Apr 17 2025

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (50-60 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers until 2400, then rain showers.
Min Temperature.....44-49.
   24 HR Trend......29 degrees warmer...except 22 degrees warmer
                    near the coast.
Max Humidity........87-92 percent.
   24 HR Trend......6 percent drier...except 1 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 10 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 27 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (95).
Mixing Height.......600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.21- 0.40 in.
Chance of Thunder...10 percent.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Rain showers
                    until 1200. Slight chance of thunderstorms.
                    Chance of rain showers after 1200.
Max Temperature.....63-68...except 49-54 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer...except 3 degrees cooler near
                    the coast.
Min Humidity........59-64 percent...except 69-74 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......46 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 27 mph.
Vent Rate...........Fair (282).
Mixing Height.......1600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 15 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.30- 0.52 in.
Chance of Thunder...20 percent.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Rain showers and
                    chance of thunderstorms until 2400, then chance
                    of rain showers.
Min Temperature.....36-41.
   24 HR Trend......11 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........91-96 percent.
   24 HR Trend......7 percent wetter...except 1 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (42).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.21- 0.41 in.
Chance of Thunder...33 percent.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (65-75 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers until 1200.
Max Temperature.....46-51...except 37-42 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......19 degrees cooler...except 13 degrees cooler
                    near the coast.
Min Humidity........46-51 percent...except 55-60 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......14 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (756).
Mixing Height.......3600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 18 to 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in .
Chance of Thunder...1 percent.


$$

MIZ018-024-030-036-042-180815-
Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac
Counties...including Eastern Huron NF-
219 PM EDT Thu Apr 17 2025

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (50-60 percent). Rain showers
                    after 2400.
Min Temperature.....43-48.
   24 HR Trend......26 degrees warmer...except 19 degrees warmer
                    near the coast.
Max Humidity........85-90 percent...except 73-78 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......1 percent drier...except 6 percent wetter along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 10 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 27 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (70).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 15 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.13- 0.27 in.
Chance of Thunder...3 percent.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers and slight chance of thunderstorms.
Max Temperature.....67-72...except 52-57 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......9 degrees warmer...except 14 degrees warmer
                    near the coast.
Min Humidity........59-64 percent.
   24 HR Trend......36 percent wetter...except 30 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 27 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (412).
Mixing Height.......2000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 15 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.11- 0.51 in.
Chance of Thunder...13 percent.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Rain showers
                    likely and chance of thunderstorms until 2400,
                    then chance of rain showers.
Min Temperature.....41-46.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........89-94 percent...except 78-83 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......6 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (60).
Mixing Height.......600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.13- 0.40 in.
Chance of Thunder...32 percent.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers until 1200.
Max Temperature.....53-58...except 39-44 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......19 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........38-43 percent.
   24 HR Trend......19 percent drier...except 5 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (914).
Mixing Height.......4300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West around 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.03 in .
Chance of Thunder...1 percent.


$$

MIZ020-025>027-180815-
Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska
Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL-
219 PM EDT Thu Apr 17 2025

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers until 2400, then rain showers.
Min Temperature.....44-49.
   24 HR Trend......27 degrees warmer...except 21 degrees warmer
                    near the coast.
Max Humidity........87-92 percent...except 78-83 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......1 percent wetter...except 11 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 10 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 27 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (110).
Mixing Height.......600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.33- 0.51 in.
Chance of Thunder...10 percent.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Rain showers and
                    slight chance of thunderstorms until 1200, then
                    chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Max Temperature.....62-67...except 42-47 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged...except 6 degrees cooler near the
                    coast.
Min Humidity........64-69 percent.
   24 HR Trend......46 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Fair (271).
Mixing Height.......1300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 15 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.31- 0.54 in.
Chance of Thunder...21 percent.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Rain showers and
                    chance of thunderstorms until 2400, then chance
                    of rain showers.
Min Temperature.....36-41.
   24 HR Trend......10 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........89-94 percent...except 80-85 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (56).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.15- 0.31 in.
Chance of Thunder...36 percent.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent).
Max Temperature.....44-49...except 37-42 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......17 degrees cooler...except 11 degrees cooler
                    near the coast.
Min Humidity........47-52 percent.
   24 HR Trend......16 percent drier...except 11 percent drier
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (549).
Mixing Height.......3400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 15 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in .
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.


$$

MIZ031>033-180815-
Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the
northern quarter of Manistee NF-
219 PM EDT Thu Apr 17 2025

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers until 2400, then rain showers.
Min Temperature.....46-51.
   24 HR Trend......26 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........87-92 percent.
   24 HR Trend......1 percent wetter...except 11 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 10 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 27 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (122).
Mixing Height.......600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.28- 0.54 in.
Chance of Thunder...13 percent.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers until 1200. Chance of thunderstorms.
                    Rain showers likely after 1200.
Max Temperature.....64-69...except 54-59 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer...except 2 degrees cooler near
                    the coast.
Min Humidity........63-68 percent.
   24 HR Trend......42 percent wetter...except 48 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 10 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 27 mph.
Vent Rate...........Fair (260).
Mixing Height.......1300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.21- 0.54 in.
Chance of Thunder...16 percent.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Rain showers and
                    chance of thunderstorms until 2400, then chance
                    of rain showers.
Min Temperature.....37-42.
   24 HR Trend......9 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........87-92 percent.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 5 mph shifting to the
                    northwest after midnight. Gusts up to 25 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (77).
Mixing Height.......600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 12 mph shifting to the
                    northwest around 15 mph after midnight.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.15- 0.39 in.
Chance of Thunder...37 percent.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent).
Max Temperature.....48-53...except 40-45 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......17 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........46-51 percent.
   24 HR Trend......18 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (684).
Mixing Height.......4100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 15 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in .
Chance of Thunder...1 percent.


$$

MIZ028-029-034-035-041-180815-
Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin
Counties...including Western Huron NF-
219 PM EDT Thu Apr 17 2025

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers until 2400, then rain showers.
Min Temperature.....45-50.
   24 HR Trend......27 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........84-89 percent.
   24 HR Trend......1 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 10 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (101).
Mixing Height.......700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 15 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.15- 0.37 in.
Chance of Thunder...4 percent.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers and slight chance of thunderstorms.
Max Temperature.....68-73.
   24 HR Trend......7 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........59-64 percent.
   24 HR Trend......38 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 27 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (353).
Mixing Height.......1800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 15 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.12- 0.46 in.
Chance of Thunder...14 percent.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Rain showers
                    likely and chance of thunderstorms until 2400,
                    then chance of rain showers.
Min Temperature.....41-46.
   24 HR Trend......6 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........90-95 percent.
   24 HR Trend......4 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts up
                    to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (99).
Mixing Height.......700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 15 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.11- 0.39 in.
Chance of Thunder...33 percent.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent).
Max Temperature.....52-57.
   24 HR Trend......17 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........43-48 percent.
   24 HR Trend......17 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (828).
Mixing Height.......4200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest around 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.02 in .
Chance of Thunder...1 percent.


$$

.EXTENDED...

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS AROUND
60. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

NSC