653
FNUS53 KAPX 240829
FWFAPX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
429 AM EDT Sun Aug 24 2025

...Widespread rain chances return today-Monday...

.DISCUSSION...

After a short break, rain chances return to northern Michigan today.
Rain showers will expand in coverage across much of the area this
morning into this afternoon, and will likely persist through Monday.
Embedded storms will also be possible. West-northwest 20 ft winds
between 7-12 mph are in store for today with gusts to 20-25 mph at
times this afternoon/early evening. Much cooler temperatures are
also expected for the area with highs staying in the 60s for most
today. RH concerns are not anticipated heading into next week.


MIZ016-017-021>023-099-242015-
Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency
Counties-
429 AM EDT Sun Aug 24 2025

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers until 1200, then rain showers likely
                    and chance of thunderstorms.
Max Temperature.....63-68.
   24 HR Trend......10 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........59-64 percent.
   24 HR Trend......13 percent wetter...except 4 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts up
                    to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (730).
Mixing Height.......3900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 15 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.04- 0.33 in.
Chance of Thunder...39 percent.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Rain showers
                    likely and chance of thunderstorms until 2400,
                    then chance of rain showers.
Min Temperature.....49-54...except 56-61 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........93-98 percent...except 78-83 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged...except 8 percent drier along the
                    coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 27 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (88).
Mixing Height.......600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest around 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.03- 0.35 in.
Chance of Thunder...31 percent.

.MONDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers until 1200.
Max Temperature.....61-66.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........50-55 percent.
   24 HR Trend......15 percent drier...except 10 percent drier
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (1260).
Mixing Height.......5400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 18 to 24 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.09 in .
Chance of Thunder...5 percent.


$$

MIZ018-024-030-036-042-242015-
Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac
Counties...including Eastern Huron NF-
429 AM EDT Sun Aug 24 2025

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers until 1200, then rain showers
                    likely and chance of thunderstorms.
Max Temperature.....68-73.
   24 HR Trend......11 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........49-54 percent.
   24 HR Trend......10 percent wetter...except 2 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts up
                    to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (871).
Mixing Height.......4900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 12 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.03- 0.22 in.
Chance of Thunder...39 percent.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent). Chance of
                    thunderstorms until 2400. Slight chance of rain
                    showers.
Min Temperature.....48-53...except 56-61 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent...except 82-87 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......1 percent drier...except 4 percent wetter along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (76).
Mixing Height.......600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West around 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.10 in .
Chance of Thunder...35 percent.

.MONDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent).
Max Temperature.....63-68.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........48-53 percent.
   24 HR Trend......4 percent drier...except 2 percent wetter along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 27 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (1335).
Mixing Height.......5900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 18 to 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.03 in .
Chance of Thunder...6 percent.


$$

MIZ020-025>027-242015-
Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska
Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL-
429 AM EDT Sun Aug 24 2025

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers and slight chance of thunderstorms
                    until 1200, then rain showers likely and chance
                    of thunderstorms.
Max Temperature.....63-68.
   24 HR Trend......9 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........63-68 percent.
   24 HR Trend......10 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts up
                    to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (755).
Mixing Height.......4100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 12 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.06- 0.24 in.
Chance of Thunder...39 percent.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Rain showers
                    likely and chance of thunderstorms until 2400,
                    then chance of rain showers and slight chance
                    of thunderstorms.
Min Temperature.....49-54...except 58-63 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........93-98 percent...except 78-83 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged...except 5 percent drier along the
                    coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 27 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (101).
Mixing Height.......600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest around 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.08- 0.38 in.
Chance of Thunder...33 percent.

.MONDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers.
Max Temperature.....60-65.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........56-61 percent.
   24 HR Trend......4 percent drier...except 10 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 27 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (937).
Mixing Height.......4800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 15 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.10 in .
Chance of Thunder...9 percent.


$$

MIZ031>033-242015-
Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the
northern quarter of Manistee NF-
429 AM EDT Sun Aug 24 2025

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Patchy fog until
                    1200. Chance of rain showers. Chance of
                    thunderstorms after 1200.
Max Temperature.....63-68.
   24 HR Trend......9 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........56-61 percent...except 65-70 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......8 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts up
                    to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (806).
Mixing Height.......4400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 12 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.03- 0.13 in.
Chance of Thunder...31 percent.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Rain showers
                    likely and chance of thunderstorms until 2400,
                    then chance of rain showers and slight chance
                    of thunderstorms.
Min Temperature.....51-56.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........93-98 percent...except 79-84 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged...except 9 percent wetter along the
                    coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (75).
Mixing Height.......600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest around 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.06- 0.28 in.
Chance of Thunder...29 percent.

.MONDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers until 1200.
Max Temperature.....61-66.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........52-57 percent.
   24 HR Trend......7 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (942).
Mixing Height.......5000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 15 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.08 in .
Chance of Thunder...10 percent.


$$

MIZ028-029-034-035-041-242015-
Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin
Counties...including Western Huron NF-
429 AM EDT Sun Aug 24 2025

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers until 1200, then rain showers likely
                    and chance of thunderstorms.
Max Temperature.....67-72.
   24 HR Trend......11 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........51-56 percent.
   24 HR Trend......8 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts up
                    to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (920).
Mixing Height.......5000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 12 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.01- 0.18 in.
Chance of Thunder...34 percent.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent). Chance of
                    thunderstorms until 2400. Slight chance of rain
                    showers.
Min Temperature.....48-53.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree cooler.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (66).
Mixing Height.......600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.22 in .
Chance of Thunder...26 percent.

.MONDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent).
Max Temperature.....63-68.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........47-52 percent.
   24 HR Trend......4 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (1083).
Mixing Height.......5200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 15 to 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.07 in .
Chance of Thunder...8 percent.


$$

.EXTENDED...

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
60S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
50S. HIGHS AROUND 70. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS AROUND 70. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

DJC