Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI
075
FNUS53 KAPX 300923
FWFAPX
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
523 AM EDT Mon Sep 30 2024
...One last warm sunny day before rain chances return Tuesday...
.DISCUSSION...High pressure will move east from Hudson Bay. A cold
front will cross northern Michigan Tuesday morning. Today will be
sunny and warm again, with a light east to southeast breeze. Winds
will turn northwest early Tuesday, and become gustier behind the
front. There is also a good chance for rain showers as the front
moves through. After today, we will see somewhat cooler weather
for the rest of the week.
MIZ016-017-021>023-099-302030-
Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency
Counties-
523 AM EDT Mon Sep 30 2024
.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
Max Temperature.....76-81...except 67-72 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
Min Humidity........42-47 percent.
24 HR Trend......1 percent drier...except 10 percent wetter
along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
gusts up to 13 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (443).
Mixing Height.......4300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent). Slight chance of
rain showers after 2400.
Min Temperature.....54-59.
24 HR Trend......5 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent.
24 HR Trend......1 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
up to 13 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (43).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.04 in .
.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Chance of rain
showers.
Max Temperature.....62-67.
24 HR Trend......14 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........52-57 percent.
24 HR Trend......11 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
gusts up to 23 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (971).
Mixing Height.......4600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West around 15 mph shifting to the northwest
around 18 mph in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.06- 0.15 in.
$$
MIZ018-024-030-036-042-302030-
Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac
Counties...including Eastern Huron NF-
523 AM EDT Mon Sep 30 2024
.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
Max Temperature.....73-78...except 61-66 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........47-52 percent.
24 HR Trend......10 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......East winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
up to 13 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Fair (287).
Mixing Height.......2900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent).
Min Temperature.....52-57...except around 60 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent.
24 HR Trend......2 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
up to 13 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (44).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Rain showers
until 1200, then rain showers likely.
Max Temperature.....66-71...except 59-64 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......7 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........63-68 percent.
24 HR Trend......15 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph shifting to the
northwest in the afternoon. Gusts up to 25 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (511).
Mixing Height.......2700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 12 mph shifting to the
northwest around 18 mph in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.06- 0.21 in.
$$
MIZ020-025>027-302030-
Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska
Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL-
523 AM EDT Mon Sep 30 2024
.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
Max Temperature.....77-82...except 67-72 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
Min Humidity........42-47 percent.
24 HR Trend......3 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
gusts up to 13 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (392).
Mixing Height.......4300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Slight chance of
rain showers after 2400.
Min Temperature.....52-57...except around 60 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......4 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent...except 85-90 percent along the
coast.
24 HR Trend......2 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
up to 18 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (29).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.04 in .
.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent) until 1200, then
mostly sunny (45-55 percent). Chance of rain
showers until 1200.
Max Temperature.....62-67.
24 HR Trend......14 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........49-54 percent.
24 HR Trend......14 percent wetter...except 3 percent wetter
along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
gusts up to 23 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (913).
Mixing Height.......4600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 15 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.05- 0.14 in.
$$
MIZ031>033-302030-
Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the
northern quarter of Manistee NF-
523 AM EDT Mon Sep 30 2024
.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
Max Temperature.....75-80.
24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........45-50 percent...except 54-59 percent along the
coast.
24 HR Trend......8 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......East winds around 5 mph shifting to the
southeast in the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (385).
Mixing Height.......4500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
Min Temperature.....52-57.
24 HR Trend......4 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent.
24 HR Trend......1 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph in the evening
becoming light.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (30).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.03 in .
.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent) until 1200, then
mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Chance of rain
showers until 1200.
Max Temperature.....63-68.
24 HR Trend......13 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........51-56 percent.
24 HR Trend......12 percent wetter...except 1 percent drier
along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
gusts up to 23 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (865).
Mixing Height.......4300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West around 12 mph shifting to the northwest
around 18 mph in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.02- 0.13 in.
$$
MIZ028-029-034-035-041-302030-
Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin
Counties...including Western Huron NF-
523 AM EDT Mon Sep 30 2024
.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
Max Temperature.....75-80.
24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........42-47 percent.
24 HR Trend......6 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......East winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
up to 13 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (377).
Mixing Height.......4100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent) until 2400, then
mostly cloudy (45-55 percent). Patchy fog after
2400.
Min Temperature.....52-57.
24 HR Trend......4 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent.
24 HR Trend......1 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph in the evening
becoming light.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (39).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in .
.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Rain showers
likely until 1200, then chance of rain showers.
Max Temperature.....66-71.
24 HR Trend......11 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........58-63 percent.
24 HR Trend......19 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph shifting to the
northwest in the afternoon. Gusts up to 25 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (657).
Mixing Height.......3300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 12 mph shifting to the
northwest around 18 mph in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.06- 0.15 in.
$$
.EXTENDED...
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
60S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
$$
JZ