054
FNUS53 KAPX 300914
FWFAPX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
514 AM EDT Sun Jun 30 2024

...Cool today with breezy northwest winds...

.DISCUSSION...High pressure will move eastward from the northern
plains, reaching northern Michigan tonight. Clouds and spotty
drizzle early this morning, will gradually give way to increasing
sunshine by this afternoon. Northwest winds will gust to 25 to 30
mph. Humidity levels, though lower than yesterday, will stay
above critical values. Quiet weather continues into Monday, with
warmer temperatures and lower humidity, but lighter winds. Our
next chance for significant rain arrives late Tuesday.

MIZ016-017-021>023-099-302200-
Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency
Counties-
514 AM EDT Sun Jun 30 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent) until 1200, then
                    mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Patchy drizzle
                    until 1200.
Max Temperature.....62-67.
   24 HR Trend......14 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........42-47 percent.
   24 HR Trend......15 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 24 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (875).
Mixing Height.......4200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (0-10 percent).
Min Temperature.....41-46...except 52-57 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........91-96 percent...except 78-83 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......3 percent wetter...except 7 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light. Gusts up to 25 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (29).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.MONDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
Max Temperature.....73-78...except 62-67 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......10 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........35-40 percent.
   24 HR Trend......6 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (315).
Mixing Height.......5000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest around 6 mph shifting to the south in
                    the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ018-024-030-036-042-302200-
Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac
Counties...including Eastern Huron NF-
514 AM EDT Sun Jun 30 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent) until 1200, then
                    mostly sunny (45-55 percent).
Max Temperature.....65-70...except 58-63 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......16 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........40-45 percent.
   24 HR Trend......9 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 24 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (956).
Mixing Height.......4600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 21 to 24 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent).
Min Temperature.....42-47...except 52-57 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......6 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........88-93 percent...except 78-83 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......1 percent drier...except 8 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (43).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.MONDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
Max Temperature.....72-77...except 64-69 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......9 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........35-40 percent.
   24 HR Trend......6 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (300).
Mixing Height.......5400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 9 mph shifting to the east around
                    6 mph in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ020-025>027-302200-
Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska
Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL-
514 AM EDT Sun Jun 30 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent) until 1200, then
                    mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Patchy drizzle
                    until 1200.
Max Temperature.....62-67.
   24 HR Trend......15 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........46-51 percent.
   24 HR Trend......4 percent drier...except 21 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 10 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (780).
Mixing Height.......3700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (0-10 percent).
Min Temperature.....41-46...except 55-60 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......6 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent...except 75-80 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......10 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light. Gusts up to 25 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (20).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 6 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.MONDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
Max Temperature.....70-75...except 62-67 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......10 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........36-41 percent.
   24 HR Trend......10 percent drier...except 1 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (304).
Mixing Height.......4600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 6 mph shifting to the southeast in
                    the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ031>033-302200-
Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the
northern quarter of Manistee NF-
514 AM EDT Sun Jun 30 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent) until 1200, then
                    mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Patchy drizzle
                    until 1200.
Max Temperature.....63-68.
   24 HR Trend......15 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........43-48 percent...except 52-57 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......8 percent drier...except 15 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 10 mph .
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (777).
Mixing Height.......3800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Clear (0-10 percent).
Min Temperature.....40-45...except 47-52 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......8 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........92-97 percent.
   24 HR Trend......11 percent wetter...except 3 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light. Gusts up to 25 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (24).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 9 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.MONDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
Max Temperature.....73-78...except around 71 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......10 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........35-40 percent...except 46-51 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......8 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (357).
Mixing Height.......5300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast around 6 mph shifting to the
                    southeast in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ028-029-034-035-041-302200-
Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin
Counties...including Western Huron NF-
514 AM EDT Sun Jun 30 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent) until 1200, then
                    mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Patchy drizzle
                    until 1200.
Max Temperature.....65-70.
   24 HR Trend......15 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........40-45 percent.
   24 HR Trend......11 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 24 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (907).
Mixing Height.......4600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 21 to 24 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent).
Min Temperature.....41-46.
   24 HR Trend......7 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........86-91 percent.
   24 HR Trend......1 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (37).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 9 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.MONDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
Max Temperature.....73-78.
   24 HR Trend......9 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........34-39 percent.
   24 HR Trend......8 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (400).
Mixing Height.......6500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 9 mph shifting to the east around
                    6 mph in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

.EXTENDED...

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 50S.
HIGHS AROUND 70. LIGHT WINDS.
.WEDNESDAY...RAIN AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. LIGHT WINDS.
.INDEPENDENCE DAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS
IN THE LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

JZ