667
FNUS53 KAPX 060626
FWFAPX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
226 AM EDT Wed Aug 6 2025

...Warming temperatures and rising humidity...

.DISCUSSION...Mainly light east-southeast winds expected today with
afternoon lake breeze development anticipated. RHs expected to
largely range from 40-50% this afternoon with low probabilities for
an isolated shower/storm to develop along those inland penetrating
lake breezes. Light/variable winds tonight with excellent RH
recovery. Similar conditions expected Thursday with temperatures
warming a few degrees over today and winds turning more southerly.


MIZ016-017-021>023-099-062015-
Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency
Counties-
226 AM EDT Wed Aug 6 2025

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (45-55 percent). Patchy fog until
                    1200. Areas of smoke. Chance of rain showers
                    after 1200.
Max Temperature.....82-87...except 74-79 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer.
Min Humidity........42-47 percent.
   24 HR Trend......5 percent drier...except unchanged along the
                    coast.
20-Foot Winds.......East winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (742).
Mixing Height.......5900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast 6 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.03 in .
Chance of Thunder...15 percent.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (50-60 percent). Chance of
                    showers until 2400.
Min Temperature.....60-65...except 67-72 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......6 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........93-98 percent.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged...except 5 percent drier along the
                    coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 13 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (39).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.02 in .
Chance of Thunder...16 percent.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent).
Max Temperature.....83-88...except around 80 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer.
Min Humidity........45-50 percent.
   24 HR Trend......5 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 13 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (590).
Mixing Height.......4900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.15 in .
Chance of Thunder...14 percent.


$$

MIZ018-024-030-036-042-062015-
Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac
Counties...including Eastern Huron NF-
226 AM EDT Wed Aug 6 2025

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly. sunny (35-45 percent). Patchy fog until
                    1200. Areas of smoke after 1200.
Max Temperature.....80-85...except 70-75 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........46-51 percent.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
20-Foot Winds.......East winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (538).
Mixing Height.......4300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East 6 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in .
Chance of Thunder...13 percent.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent) until 2400, then
                    mostly cloudy (55-65 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms after 2400.
Min Temperature.....62-67.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent...except 86-91 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......2 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 13 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (35).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...12 percent.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (45-55 percent).
Max Temperature.....83-88...except around 80 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........45-50 percent.
   24 HR Trend......2 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph .
Vent Rate...........Excellent (600).
Mixing Height.......4700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.08 in .
Chance of Thunder...18 percent.


$$

MIZ020-025>027-062015-
Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska
Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL-
226 AM EDT Wed Aug 6 2025

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (40-50 percent). Patchy fog until
                    1200. Areas of smoke. Slight chance of rain
                    showers after 1200.
Max Temperature.....82-87...except 71-76 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
Min Humidity........43-48 percent.
   24 HR Trend......8 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......East winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 13 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (553).
Mixing Height.......5800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.03 in .
Chance of Thunder...13 percent.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent). Areas of smoke
                    until 2400. Slight chance of showers until
                    2400.
Min Temperature.....60-65...except 68-73 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........93-98 percent...except 80-85 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......1 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph .
Vent Rate...........Poor (24).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East around 6 mph shifting to the south around
                    9 mph after midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in .
Chance of Thunder...15 percent.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (45-55 percent).
Max Temperature.....84-89...except 72-77 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer.
Min Humidity........46-51 percent.
   24 HR Trend......9 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph .
Vent Rate...........Good (548).
Mixing Height.......4500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in .
Chance of Thunder...13 percent.


$$

MIZ031>033-062015-
Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the
northern quarter of Manistee NF-
226 AM EDT Wed Aug 6 2025

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (40-50 percent). Patchy fog until
                    1200. Slight chance of rain showers after 1200.
Max Temperature.....83-88...except around 81 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree cooler.
Min Humidity........40-45 percent...except 49-54 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......13 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming southeast around 5 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Good (573).
Mixing Height.......6400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in .
Chance of Thunder...13 percent.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers until 2400.
Min Temperature.....60-65.
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........92-97 percent.
   24 HR Trend......1 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph .
Vent Rate...........Poor (27).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast around 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in .
Chance of Thunder...16 percent.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (45-55 percent).
Max Temperature.....84-89...except around 81 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer.
Min Humidity........46-51 percent.
   24 HR Trend......8 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph .
Vent Rate...........Good (577).
Mixing Height.......4900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 6 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in .
Chance of Thunder...13 percent.


$$

MIZ028-029-034-035-041-062015-
Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin
Counties...including Western Huron NF-
226 AM EDT Wed Aug 6 2025

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (40-50 percent). Patchy fog until
                    1200. Slight chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms after 1200.
Max Temperature.....81-86.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
Min Humidity........44-49 percent.
   24 HR Trend......7 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......East winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 13 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (776).
Mixing Height.......6600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast 6 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.05 in .
Chance of Thunder...20 percent.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers until 2400.
Min Temperature.....60-65.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Vent Rate...........Poor (28).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.03 in .
Chance of Thunder...17 percent.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (45-55 percent).
Max Temperature.....83-88.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer.
Min Humidity........45-50 percent.
   24 HR Trend......5 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 13 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (682).
Mixing Height.......5800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 6 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in .
Chance of Thunder...15 percent.


$$

.EXTENDED...

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

MJG