Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI
042
FNUS53 KAPX 101843
FWFAPX
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
243 PM EDT Fri Oct 10 2025
...Showery at times into tonight...
.DISCUSSION...Weak low pressure continues to cross northern MI
today. Most numerous showers diminish by late afternoon/early
evening. Low clouds expected to prevail at times through Saturday.
Gusty southwest winds this afternoon veer more westerly by late
afternoon/early evening., and eventually turn out of the north
tonight while speeds/gusts diminish. Mainly light north-northeast
winds expected to prevail Saturday. No RH concerns through the
remainder of today and Saturday with minimum humidities expected to
remain well above critical thresholds.
MIZ016-017-021>023-099-110815-
Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency
Counties-
243 PM EDT Fri Oct 10 2025
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent). Slight chance of
rain showers.
Min Temperature.....45-50.
24 HR Trend......6 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent.
24 HR Trend......11 percent wetter...except unchanged along the
coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
gusts up to 27 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (87).
Mixing Height.......600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest around 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.10 in .
Chance of Thunder...9 percent.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Slight chance of
rain showers until 1200.
Max Temperature.....59-64.
24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer.
Min Humidity........60-65 percent.
24 HR Trend......3 percent wetter...except 5 percent drier along
the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
gusts up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (421).
Mixing Height.......3200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast around 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in .
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (45-55 percent) until 2400, then
partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
Min Temperature.....42-47.
24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent.
24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
20-Foot Winds.......East winds around 5 mph in the evening becoming
light.
Vent Rate...........Poor (27).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.
.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent).
Max Temperature.....66-71.
24 HR Trend......8 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........47-52 percent.
24 HR Trend......13 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
gusts up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (562).
Mixing Height.......3700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.
$$
MIZ018-024-030-036-042-110815-
Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac
Counties...including Eastern Huron NF-
243 PM EDT Fri Oct 10 2025
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent). Chance of rain
showers until 2400, then slight chance of rain
showers.
Min Temperature.....44-49.
24 HR Trend......7 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent.
24 HR Trend......11 percent wetter...except 4 percent wetter
along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts up
to 27 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (64).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest around 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.10 in .
Chance of Thunder...9 percent.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Slight chance of
rain showers until 1200.
Max Temperature.....59-64...except 51-56 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
Min Humidity........62-67 percent.
24 HR Trend......17 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts
up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (509).
Mixing Height.......3200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast around 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in .
Chance of Thunder...2 percent.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent).
Min Temperature.....42-47...except 52-57 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent...except 86-91 percent along the
coast.
24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph in the evening
becoming light.
Vent Rate...........Poor (32).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.
.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent).
Max Temperature.....63-68...except around 60 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......6 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........56-61 percent.
24 HR Trend......10 percent drier...except 1 percent drier along
the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
gusts up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (431).
Mixing Height.......3000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast 9 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.
$$
MIZ020-025>027-110815-
Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska
Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL-
243 PM EDT Fri Oct 10 2025
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent). Chance of rain
showers until 2400. Slight chance of rain showers
after 2400.
Min Temperature.....44-49...except 53-58 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......6 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent...except 84-89 percent along the
coast.
24 HR Trend......11 percent wetter...except unchanged along the
coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
gusts up to 27 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (73).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest around 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.07 in .
Chance of Thunder...6 percent.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent).
Max Temperature.....60-65.
24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
Min Humidity........54-59 percent.
24 HR Trend......5 percent drier...except unchanged along the
coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
gusts up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (432).
Mixing Height.......3400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in .
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (45-55 percent) until 2400, then
partly cloudy (30-40 percent).
Min Temperature.....40-45...except 52-57 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......4 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent.
24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
20-Foot Winds.......East winds around 5 mph in the evening becoming
light.
Vent Rate...........Poor (34).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.
.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
Max Temperature.....65-70.
24 HR Trend......6 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........44-49 percent.
24 HR Trend......12 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
gusts up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (522).
Mixing Height.......3700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.
$$
MIZ031>033-110815-
Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the
northern quarter of Manistee NF-
243 PM EDT Fri Oct 10 2025
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Rain showers
likely until 2400.
Min Temperature.....43-48.
24 HR Trend......7 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent.
24 HR Trend......7 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
gusts up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (44).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest around 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.05 in .
Chance of Thunder...4 percent.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent).
Max Temperature.....61-66.
24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer.
Min Humidity........53-58 percent.
24 HR Trend......5 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
gusts up to 13 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (424).
Mixing Height.......3500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (45-55 percent) until 2400, then
partly cloudy (30-40 percent).
Min Temperature.....38-43.
24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent.
24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
20-Foot Winds.......East winds around 5 mph in the evening becoming
light.
Vent Rate...........Poor (33).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.
.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
Max Temperature.....65-70.
24 HR Trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........42-47 percent.
24 HR Trend......11 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
gusts up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (545).
Mixing Height.......3900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.
$$
MIZ028-029-034-035-041-110815-
Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin
Counties...including Western Huron NF-
243 PM EDT Fri Oct 10 2025
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent) until 2400, then
partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Slight chance of
rain showers until 2400.
Min Temperature.....41-46.
24 HR Trend......8 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent.
24 HR Trend......2 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (55).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest around 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.06 in .
Chance of Thunder...4 percent.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent).
Max Temperature.....58-63.
24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
Min Humidity........59-64 percent.
24 HR Trend......10 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
up to 13 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (476).
Mixing Height.......3500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in .
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent).
Min Temperature.....39-44.
24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent.
24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph in the evening
becoming light.
Vent Rate...........Poor (28).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.
.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
Max Temperature.....63-68.
24 HR Trend......6 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........46-51 percent.
24 HR Trend......3 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
gusts up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (520).
Mixing Height.......3700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast 9 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.
$$
.EXTENDED...
.COLUMBUS DAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
50S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS
AROUND 60. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
$$
MJG