405
FNUS53 KAPX 131836
FWFAPX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
236 PM EDT Mon Oct 13 2025


...Mild temperatures with front moving through...

.DISCUSSION...

A weak frontal push will turn winds to the northwest and
eventually north this evening and tonight. Winds will be breezy at
times tonight. Little to no chances for wetting rains with this.
Drier air near the surface will settle in, allowing min RH values
to dip into the 30s and 40s for most days this week. Shower
chances return late Tuesday into early Wednesday for NW lower,
however low chances again for wetting rains. Winds will generally
remain under 15 mph for most of the week.

MIZ016-017-021>023-099-140830-
Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency
Counties-
236 PM EDT Mon Oct 13 2025

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers.
Min Temperature.....43-48...except around 50 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent.
   24 HR Trend......1 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 15 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (37).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...1 percent.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent).
Max Temperature.....57-62...except 49-54 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......12 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........41-46 percent...except 53-58 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......4 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph .
Vent Rate...........Good (366).
Mixing Height.......2700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent).
Min Temperature.....41-46.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........89-94 percent...except 77-82 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......4 percent drier...except 11 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 15 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (40).
Mixing Height.......600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in .
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent) until 1200, then
                    sunny (15-25 percent).
Max Temperature.....55-60.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree cooler.
Min Humidity........38-43 percent.
   24 HR Trend......7 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming north around 5 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Fair (279).
Mixing Height.......3600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.


$$

MIZ018-024-030-036-042-140830-
Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac
Counties...including Eastern Huron NF-
236 PM EDT Mon Oct 13 2025

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent) until 2400, then
                    mostly cloudy (60-70 percent).
Min Temperature.....44-49...except around 51 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent...except 85-90 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......1 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph shifting to the
                    northwest after midnight. Gusts up to 15 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (22).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 6 mph shifting to the northwest
                    around 9 mph after midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent).
Max Temperature.....62-67...except 51-56 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......7 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........38-43 percent.
   24 HR Trend......16 percent drier...except 4 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 15 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (410).
Mixing Height.......2900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (50-60 percent).
Min Temperature.....38-43...except 47-52 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........87-92 percent...except 72-77 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......13 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 15 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (88).
Mixing Height.......600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (45-55 percent) until 1200, then
                    sunny (15-25 percent).
Max Temperature.....57-62...except 47-52 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........40-45 percent.
   24 HR Trend......1 percent wetter...except 10 percent drier
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 13 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (309).
Mixing Height.......3700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.


$$

MIZ020-025>027-140830-
Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska
Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL-
236 PM EDT Mon Oct 13 2025

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers until 2400.
Min Temperature.....42-47...except around 51 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent.
   24 HR Trend......2 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 5 mph shifting to the north
                    after midnight. Gusts up to 15 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (28).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West around 6 mph shifting to the north around
                    12 mph after midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in .
Chance of Thunder...1 percent.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
Max Temperature.....58-63...except 50-55 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......10 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........43-48 percent...except 53-58 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......4 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 15 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (339).
Mixing Height.......2600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers.
Min Temperature.....39-44...except 48-53 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........92-97 percent...except 78-83 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......4 percent drier...except 11 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 15 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (76).
Mixing Height.......600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in .
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers until 1200.
Max Temperature.....57-62...except 50-55 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree cooler.
Min Humidity........40-45 percent...except 49-54 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......4 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming north around 5 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Fair (242).
Mixing Height.......3100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in .
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.


$$

MIZ031>033-140830-
Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the
northern quarter of Manistee NF-
236 PM EDT Mon Oct 13 2025

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent).
Min Temperature.....43-48.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 HR Trend......1 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming north around 5 mph after
                    midnight. Gusts up to 15 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (21).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West around 6 mph shifting to the north around
                    9 mph after midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...1 percent.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent).
Max Temperature.....60-65.
   24 HR Trend......7 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........40-45 percent...except 51-56 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......7 percent drier...except 12 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph .
Vent Rate...........Good (332).
Mixing Height.......2700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers.
Min Temperature.....40-45.
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........91-96 percent.
   24 HR Trend......7 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 13 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (82).
Mixing Height.......600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.03 in .
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers until 1200.
Max Temperature.....58-63.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........39-44 percent...except 49-54 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......2 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming north around 5 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Fair (255).
Mixing Height.......3200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast around 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in .
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.


$$

MIZ028-029-034-035-041-140830-
Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin
Counties...including Western Huron NF-
236 PM EDT Mon Oct 13 2025

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent) until 2400, then
                    mostly cloudy (60-70 percent).
Min Temperature.....44-49.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming north around 5 mph after
                    midnight.
Vent Rate...........Poor (18).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 6 mph shifting to the
                    northwest after midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent).
Max Temperature.....63-68.
   24 HR Trend......6 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........38-43 percent.
   24 HR Trend......17 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 13 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (352).
Mixing Height.......2900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (50-60 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers after 2400.
Min Temperature.....38-43.
   24 HR Trend......6 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........89-94 percent.
   24 HR Trend......11 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 13 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (53).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent) until 1200, then
                    sunny (15-25 percent). Chance of rain showers
                    until 1200.
Max Temperature.....57-62.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........37-42 percent.
   24 HR Trend......1 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming north around 5 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Good (325).
Mixing Height.......4200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.


$$

.EXTENDED...

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
60S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER
50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.

$$

ELD