497
FNUS53 KAPX 040936
FWFAPX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
536 AM EDT Fri Jul 4 2025

...Increasing warmth and humidity into Saturday...

.DISCUSSION...We have a slight chance for a shower or thunderstorm
today, mainly in northwest and north central lower Michigan. That
slight chance expands across the area tonight. Saturday will be
dry, but warmer and more humid. Showers and storms return Saturday
night and Sunday.

Light southerly winds today, with mixing heights up to around 5000
feet. Southwest winds will be gustier Saturday.


MIZ016-017-021>023-099-042200-
Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency
Counties-
536 AM EDT Fri Jul 4 2025

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
Max Temperature.....84-89...except 73-78 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......7 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........35-40 percent.
   24 HR Trend......4 percent wetter...except 14 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 13 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (427).
Mixing Height.......4300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.02 in .
Chance of Thunder...6 percent.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (50-60 percent) until 2400, then
                    partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers.
Min Temperature.....67-72.
   24 HR Trend......20 degrees warmer...except 15 degrees warmer
                    near the coast.
Max Humidity........85-90 percent.
   24 HR Trend......13 percent drier...except 3 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 13 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (41).
Mixing Height.......600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in .
Chance of Thunder...11 percent.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent).
Max Temperature.....89-94...except around 81 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........38-43 percent.
   24 HR Trend......4 percent wetter...except 1 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (1341).
Mixing Height.......5400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 18 to 24 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...5 percent.


$$

MIZ018-024-030-036-042-042200-
Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac
Counties...including Eastern Huron NF-
536 AM EDT Fri Jul 4 2025

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
Max Temperature.....84-89...except 67-72 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........36-41 percent.
   24 HR Trend......7 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Fair (293).
Mixing Height.......3100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 6 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in .
Chance of Thunder...4 percent.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (45-55 percent) until 2400, then
                    partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers.
Min Temperature.....65-70.
   24 HR Trend......18 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........88-93 percent...except 79-84 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......1 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (49).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.12 in .
Chance of Thunder...10 percent.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent).
Max Temperature.....90-95...except 77-82 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......9 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........38-43 percent.
   24 HR Trend......2 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (1373).
Mixing Height.......6300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 15 to 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.06 in .
Chance of Thunder...7 percent.


$$

MIZ020-025>027-042200-
Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska
Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL-
536 AM EDT Fri Jul 4 2025

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent) until 1200, then partly
                    sunny (45-55 percent). Slight chance of rain
                    showers. Slight chance of thunderstorms after
                    1200.
Max Temperature.....84-89...except around 70 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........46-51 percent.
   24 HR Trend......12 percent wetter...except 22 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph .
Vent Rate...........Good (510).
Mixing Height.......4300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.02 in .
Chance of Thunder...14 percent.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (45-55 percent) until 2400, then
                    partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms until 2400.
Min Temperature.....68-73.
   24 HR Trend......19 degrees warmer...except 12 degrees warmer
                    near the coast.
Max Humidity........85-90 percent...except 76-81 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......6 percent drier...except 9 percent wetter along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (82).
Mixing Height.......700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in .
Chance of Thunder...17 percent.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
Max Temperature.....88-93...except 69-74 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........39-44 percent.
   24 HR Trend......8 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 27 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (1360).
Mixing Height.......5200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 18 to 24 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.03 in .
Chance of Thunder...5 percent.


$$

MIZ031>033-042200-
Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the
northern quarter of Manistee NF-
536 AM EDT Fri Jul 4 2025

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers. Slight chance of thunderstorms
                    after 1200.
Max Temperature.....83-88...except around 80 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........48-53 percent...except 59-64 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......14 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph .
Vent Rate...........Good (596).
Mixing Height.......4800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.03 in .
Chance of Thunder...17 percent.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (45-55 percent) until 2400, then
                    partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms until 2400.
Min Temperature.....67-72.
   24 HR Trend......21 degrees warmer...except 11 degrees warmer
                    near the coast.
Max Humidity........85-90 percent.
   24 HR Trend......13 percent drier...except 9 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 13 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (61).
Mixing Height.......600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in .
Chance of Thunder...21 percent.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
Max Temperature.....88-93...except 81-86 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........39-44 percent.
   24 HR Trend......10 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (1497).
Mixing Height.......5800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 18 to 24 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in .
Chance of Thunder...4 percent.


$$

MIZ028-029-034-035-041-042200-
Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin
Counties...including Western Huron NF-
536 AM EDT Fri Jul 4 2025

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers after 1200.
Max Temperature.....83-88.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........37-42 percent.
   24 HR Trend......10 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 13 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (593).
Mixing Height.......5100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.04 in .
Chance of Thunder...11 percent.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (45-55 percent) until 2400, then
                    partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms until 2400. Slight chance of
                    showers.
Min Temperature.....66-71.
   24 HR Trend......18 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........88-93 percent.
   24 HR Trend......1 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 13 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (34).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.07 in .
Chance of Thunder...17 percent.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
Max Temperature.....89-94.
   24 HR Trend......6 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........38-43 percent.
   24 HR Trend......5 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (1704).
Mixing Height.......7100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 15 to 24 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.03 in .
Chance of Thunder...6 percent.


$$

.EXTENDED...

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS AROUND 80.
NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
80S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 60.
HIGHS AROUND 80. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

JZ