730
FNUS53 KAPX 140636
FWFAPX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
236 AM EDT Tue Oct 14 2025

...Dry Today; Light Shower Chances for Some Tonight...

.DISCUSSION...Following some morning clouds and perhaps some mist across
northeast lower, anticipating things to turn drier with a NNW to
N breeze... perhaps some gusts reaching 20 to 25mph in the
afternoon, strongest in northeast lower and the shores of NW lower
south of Grand Traverse Bay. Highs in the 50s and 60s across the
board, with peeks of sun eventually infiltrated by higher clouds,
especially later in the day. RHs will dip into the upper 30s and
lower 40s across the interior (including Huron National Forest).
As such, fire growth potential will again be rather low, but non-
zero due to recent dry weather and the browning of vegetation this
time of year. Looking ahead, there will be the potential for some
lighter showers south of M-32 this evening into tonight, but
rainfall is anticipated to generally be 0.10" or less. An
appreciable rain chance does build later in the week as a larger
system moves into the Great Lakes, with rain chances potentially
hanging around through the weekend, though there is much
uncertainty with where the heaviest rain with this system lands.

MIZ016-017-021>023-099-142015-
Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency
Counties-
236 AM EDT Tue Oct 14 2025

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent).
Max Temperature.....57-62...except 49-54 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......12 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........40-45 percent...except 54-59 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......4 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph .
Vent Rate...........Good (354).
Mixing Height.......2700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers until 2400, then chance of rain
                    showers.
Min Temperature.....38-43.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........90-95 percent...except 79-84 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......7 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (51).
Mixing Height.......800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.02 in .
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers until 1200.
Max Temperature.....54-59.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree cooler.
Min Humidity........37-42 percent.
   24 HR Trend......7 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming north around 5 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Fair (278).
Mixing Height.......3700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in .
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.


$$

MIZ018-024-030-036-042-142015-
Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac
Counties...including Eastern Huron NF-
236 AM EDT Tue Oct 14 2025

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent).
Max Temperature.....62-67...except 51-56 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......7 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........38-43 percent.
   24 HR Trend......15 percent drier...except 5 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (408).
Mixing Height.......2900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (50-60 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers until 2400. Chance of rain showers
                    after 2400.
Min Temperature.....37-42...except 44-49 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........90-95 percent...except 72-77 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......13 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (89).
Mixing Height.......700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.02 in .
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers until 1200.
Max Temperature.....56-61...except 47-52 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........39-44 percent.
   24 HR Trend......1 percent wetter...except 8 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 13 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (314).
Mixing Height.......3800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in .
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.


$$

MIZ020-025>027-142015-
Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska
Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL-
236 AM EDT Tue Oct 14 2025

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
Max Temperature.....57-62...except 49-54 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......10 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........44-49 percent...except 55-60 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......4 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (336).
Mixing Height.......2500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers.
Min Temperature.....37-42...except 46-51 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent...except 85-90 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......7 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (69).
Mixing Height.......700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.04 in .
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers until 1200.
Max Temperature.....55-60.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree cooler.
Min Humidity........39-44 percent...except 48-53 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......4 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming north around 5 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Fair (232).
Mixing Height.......3300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.02 in .
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.


$$

MIZ031>033-142015-
Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the
northern quarter of Manistee NF-
236 AM EDT Tue Oct 14 2025

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
Max Temperature.....60-65.
   24 HR Trend......7 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........40-45 percent...except 49-54 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......9 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (326).
Mixing Height.......2700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers.
Min Temperature.....37-42.
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........93-98 percent.
   24 HR Trend......7 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (80).
Mixing Height.......700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.03 in .
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers until 1200.
Max Temperature.....56-61.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........39-44 percent...except 52-57 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......2 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming north around 5 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Fair (246).
Mixing Height.......3400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.02 in .
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.


$$

MIZ028-029-034-035-041-142015-
Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin
Counties...including Western Huron NF-
236 AM EDT Tue Oct 14 2025

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent).
Max Temperature.....63-68.
   24 HR Trend......6 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........38-43 percent.
   24 HR Trend......17 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 13 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (360).
Mixing Height.......3000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent) until 2400, then
                    mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers until 2400, then chance of rain
                    showers.
Min Temperature.....37-42.
   24 HR Trend......6 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........89-94 percent.
   24 HR Trend......11 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (65).
Mixing Height.......600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.03 in .
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (45-55 percent) until 1200, then
                    sunny (20-30 percent). Chance of rain showers
                    until 1200.
Max Temperature.....57-62.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........36-41 percent.
   24 HR Trend......1 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 13 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (339).
Mixing Height.......4300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in .
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.


$$

.EXTENDED...

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
60S. LIGHT WINDS.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...COOLER. SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.

$$

HAD