880
FNUS53 KAPX 180611
FWFAPX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
211 AM EDT Mon Aug 18 2025

...Breezy today; rain chances arrive this evening/tonight...

.DISCUSSION... A dry Canadian airmass will continue to influence
northern MI through this afternoon with RHs falling to the 40-50%
-- perhaps a few of the typically drier spots falling into the upper
30% range. Occasionally gusty southeast winds expected as well. Shower
and isolated storm chances increase from the west very late today, but
more so this evening through tonight, which coincides with the best
chances for wetting rain chances.

Showers may linger Tuesday with those chances lasting longest across
northeast lower. Southerly winds during the day turn northwesterly
by late afternoon/evening.

MIZ016-017-021>023-099-182015-
Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency
Counties-
211 AM EDT Mon Aug 18 2025

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Becoming partly sunny (40-50 percent).
Max Temperature.....78-83...except 71-76 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........38-43 percent.
   24 HR Trend......4 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (562).
Mixing Height.......4100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...3 percent.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers until 2400, then rain showers likely
                    and chance of thunderstorms.
Min Temperature.....57-62...except 64-69 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......7 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged...except 15 percent wetter along the
                    coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (74).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast around 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.11- 0.26 in.
Chance of Thunder...42 percent.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Rain showers
                    likely and chance of thunderstorms until 1200.
Max Temperature.....71-76...except 64-69 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........69-74 percent.
   24 HR Trend......34 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Fair (207).
Mixing Height.......1900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 9 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.07- 0.99 in.
Chance of Thunder...35 percent.


$$

MIZ018-024-030-036-042-182015-
Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac
Counties...including Eastern Huron NF-
211 AM EDT Mon Aug 18 2025

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Becoming partly sunny (35-45 percent).
Max Temperature.....74-79...except 64-69 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........44-49 percent.
   24 HR Trend......13 percent drier...except 3 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......East winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts up
                    to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (481).
Mixing Height.......3700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast around 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...1 percent.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers until 2400, then chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms.
Min Temperature.....56-61...except 63-68 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......6 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........93-98 percent...except 82-87 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......7 percent wetter...except 14 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (57).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast around 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.05- 0.26 in.
Chance of Thunder...33 percent.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Rain showers
                    likely and chance of thunderstorms until 1200,
                    then chance of rain showers.
Max Temperature.....71-76...except 63-68 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree cooler.
Min Humidity........67-72 percent.
   24 HR Trend......24 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Fair (268).
Mixing Height.......2100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.08- 0.71 in.
Chance of Thunder...35 percent.


$$

MIZ020-025>027-182015-
Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska
Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL-
211 AM EDT Mon Aug 18 2025

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Becoming partly sunny (45-55 percent).
Max Temperature.....79-84.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........38-43 percent.
   24 HR Trend......8 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (445).
Mixing Height.......3800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.03 in .
Chance of Thunder...8 percent.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms until 2400. Chance of rain
                    showers. Chance of thunderstorms after 2400.
Min Temperature.....59-64...except 66-71 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......7 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent.
   24 HR Trend......17 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (54).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.09- 0.28 in.
Chance of Thunder...44 percent.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers until 1200.
Max Temperature.....73-78.
   24 HR Trend......7 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........73-78 percent.
   24 HR Trend......38 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph shifting to the
                    southwest in the afternoon. Gusts up to 25 mph.
Vent Rate...........Fair (168).
Mixing Height.......1800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 9 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.06- 0.51 in.
Chance of Thunder...37 percent.


$$

MIZ031>033-182015-
Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the
northern quarter of Manistee NF-
211 AM EDT Mon Aug 18 2025

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Becoming partly sunny (45-55 percent).
Max Temperature.....80-85.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........37-42 percent.
   24 HR Trend......11 percent drier...except 16 percent drier
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (471).
Mixing Height.......4000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in .
Chance of Thunder...8 percent.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers and slight chance of thunderstorms
                    until 2400, then rain showers likely and chance
                    of thunderstorms.
Min Temperature.....60-65.
   24 HR Trend......6 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent.
   24 HR Trend......10 percent wetter...except 19 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (49).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.10- 0.45 in.
Chance of Thunder...47 percent.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers.
Max Temperature.....74-79.
   24 HR Trend......7 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........68-73 percent.
   24 HR Trend......40 percent wetter...except 32 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph shifting to the
                    southwest in the afternoon. Gusts up to 20 mph.
Vent Rate...........Fair (178).
Mixing Height.......2200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 9 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.06- 0.32 in.
Chance of Thunder...40 percent.


$$

MIZ028-029-034-035-041-182015-
Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin
Counties...including Western Huron NF-
211 AM EDT Mon Aug 18 2025

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Becoming partly sunny (35-45 percent).
Max Temperature.....77-82.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........39-44 percent.
   24 HR Trend......8 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (455).
Mixing Height.......4100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast around 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...2 percent.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers until 2400. Chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms after 2400.
Min Temperature.....56-61.
   24 HR Trend......7 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........92-97 percent.
   24 HR Trend......6 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (57).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast around 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.07- 0.27 in.
Chance of Thunder...39 percent.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Rain showers
                    likely and chance of thunderstorms until 1200,
                    then chance of rain showers.
Max Temperature.....73-78.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........69-74 percent.
   24 HR Trend......31 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Fair (218).
Mixing Height.......2300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.10- 0.36 in.
Chance of Thunder...40 percent.


$$

.EXTENDED...

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S.
NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS AROUND 80.
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
80S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
70S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS AROUND 70.
NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

MJG