906
FNUS53 KAPX 291859
FWFAPX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
259 PM EDT Sun Sep 29 2024

...A little Rain Tuesday...

.DISCUSSION...Unseasonable warm through Monday then not as warm
but still above normal for the remainder of the week. Showers are
likely on Tuesday with rainfall amounts of between a tenth and a
quarter of an inch. Little to no rain expected through the
remainder of the forecast. Winds will become a bit gusty on Tuesday.



MIZ016-017-021>023-099-300815-
Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency
Counties-
259 PM EDT Sun Sep 29 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Clear (0-10 percent).
Min Temperature.....49-54...except 56-61 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 13 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (29).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.MONDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
Max Temperature.....76-81...except 67-72 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........43-48 percent.
   24 HR Trend......4 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 13 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (389).
Mixing Height.......3700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (20-30 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers after 2400.
Min Temperature.....52-57.
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 18 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (48).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.03 in .

.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Rain showers
                    likely.
Max Temperature.....65-70...except 58-63 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......12 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........51-56 percent.
   24 HR Trend......10 percent wetter...except 4 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 5 mph shifting to the
                    northwest in the afternoon. Gusts up to 25 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (946).
Mixing Height.......4600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West around 15 mph shifting to the northwest
                    around 18 mph in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.09- 0.23 in.


$$

MIZ018-024-030-036-042-300815-
Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac
Counties...including Eastern Huron NF-
259 PM EDT Sun Sep 29 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
Min Temperature.....50-55...except around 60 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent.
   24 HR Trend......1 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 18 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (34).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.MONDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent).
Max Temperature.....72-77...except 61-66 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........49-54 percent...except 58-63 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......9 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......East winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 18 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Fair (286).
Mixing Height.......2900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
Min Temperature.....53-58...except 62-67 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 18 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (49).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in .

.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Rain showers
                    likely.
Max Temperature.....68-73...except 61-66 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees cooler...except 1 degree warmer near
                    the coast.
Min Humidity........60-65 percent.
   24 HR Trend......13 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph shifting to the
                    northwest in the afternoon. Gusts up to 25 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (509).
Mixing Height.......2600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 12 mph shifting to the
                    northwest around 18 mph in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.03- 0.25 in.


$$

MIZ020-025>027-300815-
Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska
Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL-
259 PM EDT Sun Sep 29 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Clear (0-10 percent).
Min Temperature.....48-53...except 59-64 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent...except 84-89 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
20-Foot Winds.......East winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 18 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (38).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.MONDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
Max Temperature.....77-82...except 67-72 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........45-50 percent.
   24 HR Trend......2 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 13 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (336).
Mixing Height.......3800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent).
Min Temperature.....51-56...except 58-63 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 18 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (38).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.03 in .

.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (45-55 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers.
Max Temperature.....65-70.
   24 HR Trend......13 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........48-53 percent.
   24 HR Trend......13 percent wetter...except 2 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 23 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (921).
Mixing Height.......4700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West around 15 mph shifting to the northwest
                    around 18 mph in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.03- 0.11 in.


$$

MIZ031>033-300815-
Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the
northern quarter of Manistee NF-
259 PM EDT Sun Sep 29 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Clear (0-10 percent).
Min Temperature.....49-54.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer.
Max Humidity........93-98 percent.
   24 HR Trend......2 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 13 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (42).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East around 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.MONDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
Max Temperature.....77-82...except 70-75 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........47-52 percent.
   24 HR Trend......5 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 13 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (346).
Mixing Height.......4000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
Min Temperature.....51-56.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 13 mph.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (43).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in .

.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (45-55 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers.
Max Temperature.....64-69.
   24 HR Trend......12 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........50-55 percent.
   24 HR Trend......14 percent wetter...except 3 percent drier
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 5 mph shifting to the
                    northwest in the afternoon. Gusts up to 25 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (827).
Mixing Height.......4300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West around 12 mph shifting to the northwest
                    around 18 mph in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.08 in .


$$

MIZ028-029-034-035-041-300815-
Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin
Counties...including Western Huron NF-
259 PM EDT Sun Sep 29 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
Min Temperature.....50-55.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 HR Trend......3 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 18 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (42).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast around 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.MONDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent).
Max Temperature.....74-79.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........45-50 percent.
   24 HR Trend......6 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......East winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 13 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (344).
Mixing Height.......3800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Patchy fog after
                    2400.
Min Temperature.....53-58.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 13 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (44).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in .

.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Rain showers
                    likely until 1200, then chance of rain showers.
Max Temperature.....68-73.
   24 HR Trend......9 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........58-63 percent.
   24 HR Trend......17 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph shifting to the
                    northwest in the afternoon. Gusts up to 25 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (645).
Mixing Height.......3300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 12 mph shifting to the
                    northwest around 18 mph in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.03- 0.16 in.


$$

.EXTENDED...

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
60S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.

$$

AJS