707
FNUS53 KAPX 091951
FWFAPX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
251 PM EST Sat Nov 9 2024

...Periodic Rain Chances...

.DISCUSSION...A progressive weather pattern over the next
several days is expected to lead to periodic precipitation
chances. Temperatures will remain on the mild side overall so
rain is the likely form of precipitation. Rainfall amounts are
not expected to be heavy but even small amounts of rain will be
beneficial. Very gusty winds are expected Monday afternoon and
evening.


MIZ016-017-021>023-099-100930-
Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency
Counties-
251 PM EST Sat Nov 9 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Scattered rain
                    showers after 2400.
Min Temperature.....37-42...except 44-49 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......11 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........87-92 percent...except 77-82 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......11 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 13 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (41).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.02 in .

.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Scattered rain showers.
Max Temperature.....51-56.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer.
Min Humidity........68-73 percent.
   24 HR Trend......27 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 18 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Fair (212).
Mixing Height.......1300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.04- 0.17 in.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Rain showers
                    until 2400, then chance of rain showers.
Min Temperature.....40-45.
   24 HR Trend......7 degrees warmer...except unchanged near the
                    coast.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 HR Trend......10 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 23 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (77).
Mixing Height.......700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 15 to 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.09 in .

.VETERANS DAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Rain showers.
Max Temperature.....48-53.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........63-68 percent.
   24 HR Trend......1 percent drier...except 9 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 10 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 32 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (1509).
Mixing Height.......4200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 24 to 33 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.03 in .


$$

MIZ018-024-030-036-042-100930-
Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac
Counties...including Eastern Huron NF-
251 PM EST Sat Nov 9 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Scattered rain
                    showers after 2400.
Min Temperature.....36-41...except 45-50 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......9 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........91-96 percent...except 74-79 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......3 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 18 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (37).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.02 in .

.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Scattered rain
                    showers.
Max Temperature.....51-56.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........69-74 percent.
   24 HR Trend......27 percent wetter...except 21 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 18 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Fair (234).
Mixing Height.......1300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.04- 0.13 in.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Rain showers
                    likely until 2400.
Min Temperature.....40-45...except 48-53 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent...except 84-89 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......6 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 23 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (74).
Mixing Height.......600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 15 to 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.05 in .

.VETERANS DAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers until 1200, then rain showers likely.
Max Temperature.....50-55.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree cooler.
Min Humidity........58-63 percent.
   24 HR Trend......14 percent drier...except 9 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 10 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 32 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (1457).
Mixing Height.......4300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 21 to 30 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.02 in .


$$

MIZ020-025>027-100930-
Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska
Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL-
251 PM EST Sat Nov 9 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Numerous rain
                    showers after 2400.
Min Temperature.....37-42...except 46-51 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......15 degrees warmer...except 9 degrees warmer
                    near the coast.
Max Humidity........87-92 percent...except 74-79 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......11 percent drier...except 6 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 18 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (48).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.04 in .

.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Scattered rain showers.
Max Temperature.....52-57.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........69-74 percent.
   24 HR Trend......31 percent wetter...except 22 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 18 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Fair (212).
Mixing Height.......1300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.06- 0.13 in.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Rain showers
                    until 2400, then chance of rain showers.
Min Temperature.....40-45.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent.
   24 HR Trend......12 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 23 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (120).
Mixing Height.......800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 18 to 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.08 in .

.VETERANS DAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Rain showers
                    likely.
Max Temperature.....50-55.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........60-65 percent.
   24 HR Trend......8 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 10 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 32 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (1410).
Mixing Height.......4300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 21 to 30 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.02 in .


$$

MIZ031>033-100930-
Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the
northern quarter of Manistee NF-
251 PM EST Sat Nov 9 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Numerous rain
                    showers after 2400.
Min Temperature.....38-43.
   24 HR Trend......12 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........91-96 percent.
   24 HR Trend......4 percent drier...except 1 percent wetter along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 13 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (50).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.02 in .

.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Numerous rain showers.
Max Temperature.....52-57.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........70-75 percent.
   24 HR Trend......28 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 18 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Fair (192).
Mixing Height.......1200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.05- 0.12 in.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Rain showers
                    likely until 2400, then chance of rain showers.
Min Temperature.....40-45.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 HR Trend......7 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 18 mph.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (128).
Mixing Height.......800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West around 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.08 in .

.VETERANS DAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers.
Max Temperature.....50-55.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........62-67 percent.
   24 HR Trend......9 percent drier...except 14 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 10 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 27 mph.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (1281).
Mixing Height.......4200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 21 to 30 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.02 in .


$$

MIZ028-029-034-035-041-100930-
Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin
Counties...including Western Huron NF-
251 PM EST Sat Nov 9 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Isolated rain
                    showers after 2400.
Min Temperature.....35-40.
   24 HR Trend......11 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........92-97 percent.
   24 HR Trend......7 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 13 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (38).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.02 in .

.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Numerous rain
                    showers until 1200, then scattered rain
                    showers.
Max Temperature.....52-57.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........74-79 percent.
   24 HR Trend......32 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Fair (191).
Mixing Height.......1200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.04- 0.11 in.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Rain showers
                    likely until 2400, then chance of rain showers.
Min Temperature.....40-45.
   24 HR Trend......6 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent.
   24 HR Trend......5 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 18 mph.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (86).
Mixing Height.......800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 18 to 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.06 in .

.VETERANS DAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (65-75 percent). Rain showers
                    likely.
Max Temperature.....50-55.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........63-68 percent.
   24 HR Trend......13 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 10 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 27 mph.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (1351).
Mixing Height.......4100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 21 to 30 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.02 in .


$$

.EXTENDED...

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS
AROUND 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 30.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS AROUND
50. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

AJS