654
FNUS53 KAPX 071005
FWFAPX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
505 AM EST Thu Nov 7 2024

...Rain-free weather continues through Saturday...

.DISCUSSION...High pressure building into the region will keep rain-free
weather in place across northern Michigan through Saturday. West winds will
gradually increase to 10-15 mph with gusts to 20-30 mph at times
through this afternoon. High temperatures in the 50s are in store
for today. No RH concerns are anticipated over the next several
days. Next main rain chances return in the Saturday night/Sunday
timeframe.


MIZ016-017-021>023-099-072115-
Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency
Counties-
505 AM EST Thu Nov 7 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
Max Temperature.....50-55.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........48-53 percent...except 61-66 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......21 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts up
                    to 27 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (699).
Mixing Height.......3000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West around 12 mph increasing to around 24 mph
                    in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent).
Min Temperature.....40-45.
   24 HR Trend......6 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........85-90 percent...except 74-79 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......13 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 10 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 32 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (109).
Mixing Height.......600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West around 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent).
Max Temperature.....48-53.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........48-53 percent.
   24 HR Trend......5 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 23 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (848).
Mixing Height.......3700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest around 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ018-024-030-036-042-072115-
Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac
Counties...including Eastern Huron NF-
505 AM EST Thu Nov 7 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
Max Temperature.....52-57.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
Min Humidity........47-52 percent.
   24 HR Trend......22 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 27 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (750).
Mixing Height.......3400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 12 to 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent).
Min Temperature.....39-44.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........84-89 percent...except 74-79 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......14 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 27 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (96).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 18 to 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent).
Max Temperature.....51-56...except 44-49 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........45-50 percent.
   24 HR Trend......2 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 27 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (970).
Mixing Height.......4100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest around 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ020-025>027-072115-
Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska
Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL-
505 AM EST Thu Nov 7 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
Max Temperature.....50-55.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........56-61 percent.
   24 HR Trend......15 percent drier...except 6 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 23 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (529).
Mixing Height.......2700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 12 to 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent).
Min Temperature.....38-43...except 47-52 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......6 degrees warmer...except unchanged near the
                    coast.
Max Humidity........86-91 percent...except 72-77 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......11 percent drier...except 6 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 32 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (87).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 18 to 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
Max Temperature.....49-54.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........50-55 percent.
   24 HR Trend......5 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 23 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (589).
Mixing Height.......3100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest around 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ031>033-072115-
Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the
northern quarter of Manistee NF-
505 AM EST Thu Nov 7 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
Max Temperature.....50-55.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........56-61 percent.
   24 HR Trend......22 percent drier...except 11 percent drier
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 23 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (518).
Mixing Height.......2700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 12 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (20-30 percent).
Min Temperature.....37-42.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........87-92 percent...except 78-83 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......9 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 27 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (76).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West around 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
Max Temperature.....50-55.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree cooler.
Min Humidity........49-54 percent.
   24 HR Trend......7 percent drier...except 12 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 18 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (540).
Mixing Height.......3000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest around 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ028-029-034-035-041-072115-
Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin
Counties...including Western Huron NF-
505 AM EST Thu Nov 7 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
Max Temperature.....52-57.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer.
Min Humidity........48-53 percent.
   24 HR Trend......26 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 23 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (661).
Mixing Height.......3200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 12 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent).
Min Temperature.....36-41.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........85-90 percent.
   24 HR Trend......12 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 27 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (86).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West around 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
Max Temperature.....52-57.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........46-51 percent.
   24 HR Trend......3 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 23 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (781).
Mixing Height.......3700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 18 to 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

.EXTENDED...

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S.
SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.VETERANS DAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
50S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.

$$

DJC