963
FNUS53 KAPX 121827
FWFAPX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
227 PM EDT Sun Oct 12 2025

...Mild through Monday; cooler beyond...

.DISCUSSION...Temperatures will continue to trend several degrees
above normal through the day on Monday, but with limited fire
weather concerns given RHs expected to remain well above critical
thresholds. Suppose a few showers may roam the area Monday/Monday
evening, with additional low chances for a few showers Tuesday night.
Cooler temperatures Tuesday-Thursday, but still seasonable.

Occasionally gusty southeast winds continue this afternoon,
diminishing tonight. Winds out of the south on Monday before turning
northwesterly by Tuesday.

MIZ016-017-021>023-099-130815-
Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency
Counties-
227 PM EDT Sun Oct 12 2025

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent).
Min Temperature.....47-52...except 54-59 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......6 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (45).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast around 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.COLUMBUS DAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (45-55 percent).
Max Temperature.....68-73...except 60-65 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........48-53 percent.
   24 HR Trend......1 percent drier...except 9 percent wetter along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (368).
Mixing Height.......3000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in .
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent).
Min Temperature.....43-48...except around 50 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming northwest around 5 mph
                    after midnight.
Vent Rate...........Poor (29).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West around 6 mph shifting to the northwest
                    around 9 mph after midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...1 percent.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (40-50 percent).
Max Temperature.....58-63...except 50-55 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......11 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........42-47 percent.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged...except 11 percent drier along the
                    coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (509).
Mixing Height.......3000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.


$$

MIZ018-024-030-036-042-130815-
Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac
Counties...including Eastern Huron NF-
227 PM EDT Sun Oct 12 2025

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent).
Min Temperature.....46-51...except 54-59 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (38).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast around 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.COLUMBUS DAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (35-45 percent).
Max Temperature.....68-73...except 57-62 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........51-56 percent.
   24 HR Trend......5 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 13 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (352).
Mixing Height.......3400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent) until 2400, then
                    mostly cloudy (60-70 percent).
Min Temperature.....45-50...except 53-58 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent...except 86-91 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Vent Rate...........Poor (20).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 6 mph shifting to the northwest
                    after midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (35-45 percent).
Max Temperature.....63-68...except 51-56 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......9 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........39-44 percent.
   24 HR Trend......15 percent drier...except 8 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (536).
Mixing Height.......3300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.


$$

MIZ020-025>027-130815-
Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska
Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL-
227 PM EDT Sun Oct 12 2025

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent).
Min Temperature.....47-52...except 56-61 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......9 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (38).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.COLUMBUS DAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers after 1200.
Max Temperature.....66-71...except 58-63 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........52-57 percent.
   24 HR Trend......3 percent wetter...except 19 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Fair (240).
Mixing Height.......2100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.02 in .
Chance of Thunder...1 percent.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent).
Min Temperature.....44-49...except 52-57 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree cooler.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds.
Vent Rate...........Poor (25).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West around 6 mph shifting to the north around
                    9 mph after midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in .
Chance of Thunder...1 percent.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (40-50 percent).
Max Temperature.....59-64...except 51-56 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......8 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........44-49 percent.
   24 HR Trend......6 percent drier...except 11 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (405).
Mixing Height.......2700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.


$$

MIZ031>033-130815-
Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the
northern quarter of Manistee NF-
227 PM EDT Sun Oct 12 2025

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent).
Min Temperature.....46-51.
   24 HR Trend......11 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (36).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast around 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.COLUMBUS DAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent).
Max Temperature.....66-71.
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees warmer...except 1 degree cooler near
                    the coast.
Min Humidity........51-56 percent...except 63-68 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......1 percent wetter...except 16 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 13 mph.
Vent Rate...........Fair (243).
Mixing Height.......2400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...1 percent.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent).
Min Temperature.....44-49.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds.
Vent Rate...........Poor (20).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West around 6 mph shifting to the north around
                    9 mph after midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...1 percent.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (45-55 percent).
Max Temperature.....60-65.
   24 HR Trend......9 degrees cooler...except 3 degrees cooler near
                    the coast.
Min Humidity........41-46 percent...except 52-57 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......6 percent drier...except 12 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (390).
Mixing Height.......2800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.


$$

MIZ028-029-034-035-041-130815-
Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin
Counties...including Western Huron NF-
227 PM EDT Sun Oct 12 2025

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent).
Min Temperature.....46-51.
   24 HR Trend......6 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (40).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast around 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.COLUMBUS DAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (45-55 percent).
Max Temperature.....67-72.
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........51-56 percent.
   24 HR Trend......1 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 13 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (312).
Mixing Height.......3400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (50-60 percent).
Min Temperature.....46-51.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree cooler.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds.
Vent Rate...........Poor (18).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 6 mph shifting to the
                    northwest after midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (40-50 percent).
Max Temperature.....63-68.
   24 HR Trend......6 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........39-44 percent.
   24 HR Trend......19 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (453).
Mixing Height.......3200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.


$$

.EXTENDED...

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

MJG