642
FNUS53 KAPX 131835
FWFAPX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
135 PM EST Wed Nov 13 2024

...LAST FIRE WEATHER FORECAST UNTIL NEXT SPRING...

.DISCUSSION...No big weather systems expected through early next
week. Low pressure is expected to bring generally between a
quarter and a half inch of rainfall late tonight into Thursday
evening. There will be additional chances for showers Sunday. A
larger storm system is possible during the middle of next week.
Forecast temperatures will be several degrees above normal through
early next week. Easterly winds could gust to around 25 mph
through Thursday.


MIZ016-017-021>023-099-140915-
Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency
Counties-
135 PM EST Wed Nov 13 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of rain
                    after 2400.
Min Temperature.....38-43.
   24 HR Trend......11 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........90-95 percent...except 81-86 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......2 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 27 mph.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (72).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast around 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.13 in .

.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Cloudy (95-100 percent). Patchy fog until 1200.
                    Rain.
Max Temperature.....43-48.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree cooler.
Min Humidity........73-78 percent.
   24 HR Trend......29 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......East winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 23 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Fair (231).
Mixing Height.......1400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast around 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.17- 0.32 in.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Rain likely
                    until 2400.
Min Temperature.....36-41.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 HR Trend......9 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......East winds around 5 mph in the evening becoming
                    light. Gusts up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (75).
Mixing Height.......800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.08 in .

.FRIDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent).
Max Temperature.....47-52.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........63-68 percent.
   24 HR Trend......4 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming north around 5 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Fair (189).
Mixing Height.......2500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast around 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ018-024-030-036-042-140915-
Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac
Counties...including Eastern Huron NF-
135 PM EST Wed Nov 13 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain after 2400.
Min Temperature.....39-44...except 46-51 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......12 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........84-89 percent...except 66-71 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......18 percent drier...except 24 percent drier
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 23 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (71).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast around 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.07 in .

.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Cloudy (95-100 percent). Rain. Patchy fog after
                    1200.
Max Temperature.....45-50.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
Min Humidity........68-73 percent.
   24 HR Trend......18 percent wetter...except 13 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 23 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Fair (262).
Mixing Height.......1400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast 15 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.16- 0.44 in.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Rain likely
                    until 2400.
Min Temperature.....36-41...except 44-49 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent.
   24 HR Trend......18 percent wetter...except 24 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......East winds around 5 mph in the evening becoming
                    light. Gusts up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (70).
Mixing Height.......800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.03- 0.14 in.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent).
Max Temperature.....48-53...except 41-46 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........66-71 percent.
   24 HR Trend......6 percent drier...except 1 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 13 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Fair (263).
Mixing Height.......2700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ020-025>027-140915-
Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska
Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL-
135 PM EST Wed Nov 13 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of rain
                    until 2400, then rain. Patchy fog after 2400.
Min Temperature.....39-44.
   24 HR Trend......10 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........92-97 percent...except 81-86 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......4 percent drier...except 4 percent wetter along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 23 mph.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (71).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast 15 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.07- 0.32 in.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Cloudy (95-100 percent). Patchy fog until 1200.
                    Rain.
Max Temperature.....45-50.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
Min Humidity........79-84 percent.
   24 HR Trend......27 percent wetter...except 35 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......East winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 23 mph.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Fair (236).
Mixing Height.......1500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East 12 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.20- 0.29 in.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers until 2400.
Min Temperature.....35-40...except 44-49 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent.
   24 HR Trend......7 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (45).
Mixing Height.......600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.03 in .

.FRIDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent).
Max Temperature.....49-54.
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........64-69 percent.
   24 HR Trend......6 percent drier...except 15 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming north around 5 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Fair (181).
Mixing Height.......2300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast around 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ031>033-140915-
Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the
northern quarter of Manistee NF-
135 PM EST Wed Nov 13 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of rain
                    until 2400, then rain. Patchy fog after 2400.
Min Temperature.....38-43.
   24 HR Trend......11 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........92-97 percent.
   24 HR Trend......4 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 23 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (65).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast 15 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.08- 0.40 in.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Cloudy (95-100 percent). Patchy fog until 1200.
                    Rain.
Max Temperature.....43-48.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
Min Humidity........82-87 percent.
   24 HR Trend......36 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......East winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 23 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Fair (232).
Mixing Height.......1500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East 12 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.19- 0.29 in.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers until 2400.
Min Temperature.....34-39.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 HR Trend......6 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (41).
Mixing Height.......600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast around 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.03 in .

.FRIDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent).
Max Temperature.....49-54.
   24 HR Trend......6 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........68-73 percent.
   24 HR Trend......9 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming north around 5 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Fair (195).
Mixing Height.......2400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ028-029-034-035-041-140915-
Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin
Counties...including Western Huron NF-
135 PM EST Wed Nov 13 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain until 2400, then rain likely.
Min Temperature.....37-42.
   24 HR Trend......12 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........89-94 percent.
   24 HR Trend......1 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 23 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (63).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast around 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.01- 0.12 in.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Cloudy (95-100 percent). Patchy fog. Rain.
Max Temperature.....43-48.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
Min Humidity........73-78 percent.
   24 HR Trend......28 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......East winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 18 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Fair (230).
Mixing Height.......1400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast around 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.24- 0.39 in.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers until 2400.
Min Temperature.....36-41.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 HR Trend......9 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......East winds around 5 mph in the evening becoming
                    light.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (67).
Mixing Height.......800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.05 in .

.FRIDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent).
Max Temperature.....48-53.
   24 HR Trend......6 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........68-73 percent.
   24 HR Trend......4 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming north around 5 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Fair (285).
Mixing Height.......3000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

$$

.EXTENDED...

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 50S. LIGHT WINDS.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.

$$

AJS