662
FNUS53 KAPX 030728
FWFAPX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
328 AM EDT Thu Jul 3 2025

...Dry today, storm chances this weekend...

.DISCUSSION...
Deep mixing this afternoon, 5 to 7.5 kft across the interior, will
result in aggressive low level drying. Expect min humidities to drop
to around 25 to 35 percent. North to northwest winds will be fairly benign,
however, 5 to 10 mph on average, with gusts transiently higher.
Lake breeze development is expected across portions of northeast
lower, resulting in an easterly component to the winds along with
much lower mixing heights this afternoon. Still relatively dry
Friday and Saturday as far as the humidity goes, afternoon values
in the 30s and low 40s. Shower and storm chances return area wide
later Saturday into Sunday.

MIZ016-017-021>023-099-032015-
Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency
Counties-
328 AM EDT Thu Jul 3 2025

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Haze until 1200.
                    Slight chance of rain showers until 1200.
Max Temperature.....78-83...except around 71 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........28-33 percent.
   24 HR Trend......2 percent drier...except 8 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (651).
Mixing Height.......4600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 6 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...2 percent.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (0-10 percent).
Min Temperature.....51-56...except 59-64 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........77-82 percent...except 68-73 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......11 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds.
Vent Rate...........Poor (12).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 6 mph shifting to the southeast
                    around 3 mph after midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.INDEPENDENCE DAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
Max Temperature.....83-88...except 73-78 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......7 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........34-39 percent...except 44-49 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......9 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds.
Vent Rate...........Good (360).
Mixing Height.......3200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...7 percent.


$$

MIZ018-024-030-036-042-032015-
Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac
Counties...including Eastern Huron NF-
328 AM EDT Thu Jul 3 2025

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent). Slight chance of rain
                    showers until 1200. Haze.
Max Temperature.....81-86...except 64-69 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......7 degrees cooler...except 12 degrees cooler
                    near the coast.
Min Humidity........28-33 percent.
   24 HR Trend......8 percent drier...except 2 percent wetter along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......North to northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (696).
Mixing Height.......5100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in .
Chance of Thunder...3 percent.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent).
Min Temperature.....50-55...except 57-62 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........79-84 percent...except 67-72 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......8 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds.
Vent Rate...........Poor (15).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 9 mph shifting to the west around
                    3 mph after midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.INDEPENDENCE DAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
Max Temperature.....83-88...except 68-73 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........35-40 percent.
   24 HR Trend......8 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds.
Vent Rate...........Good (351).
Mixing Height.......3300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...3 percent.


$$

MIZ020-025>027-032015-
Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska
Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL-
328 AM EDT Thu Jul 3 2025

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent). Chance of
                    sprinkles until 1200. Haze.
Max Temperature.....79-84...except 62-67 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........26-31 percent.
   24 HR Trend......9 percent drier...except 4 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds 5 to 10 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (550).
Mixing Height.......4100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 6 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...4 percent.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
Min Temperature.....54-59...except 62-67 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree cooler.
Max Humidity........71-76 percent...except 56-61 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......22 percent drier...except 32 percent drier
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds.
Vent Rate...........Poor (18).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast around 9 mph shifting to the
                    southeast around 6 mph after midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.INDEPENDENCE DAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
Max Temperature.....84-89...except around 71 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......7 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........38-43 percent.
   24 HR Trend......15 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds.
Vent Rate...........Good (433).
Mixing Height.......3000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...10 percent.


$$

MIZ031>033-032015-
Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the
northern quarter of Manistee NF-
328 AM EDT Thu Jul 3 2025

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Haze after 1200.
Max Temperature.....81-86...except 71-76 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........24-29 percent...except 35-40 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (740).
Mixing Height.......5100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 6 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in .
Chance of Thunder...4 percent.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
Min Temperature.....56-61.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree cooler.
Max Humidity........69-74 percent...except 57-62 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......22 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds.
Vent Rate...........Poor (23).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 9 mph shifting to the southeast
                    after midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...1 percent.

.INDEPENDENCE DAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
Max Temperature.....84-89...except 77-82 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........39-44 percent...except 54-59 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......14 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds.
Vent Rate...........Good (474).
Mixing Height.......3200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...11 percent.


$$

MIZ028-029-034-035-041-032015-
Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin
Counties...including Western Huron NF-
328 AM EDT Thu Jul 3 2025

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent). Slight chance of rain
                    showers until 1200. Haze.
Max Temperature.....81-86.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........24-29 percent.
   24 HR Trend......2 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (1012).
Mixing Height.......6700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 9 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in .
Chance of Thunder...3 percent.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (0-10 percent).
Min Temperature.....50-55.
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........79-84 percent.
   24 HR Trend......11 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds.
Vent Rate...........Poor (15).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 9 mph shifting to the south around
                    6 mph after midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.INDEPENDENCE DAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
Max Temperature.....83-88.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........35-40 percent.
   24 HR Trend......12 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds.
Vent Rate...........Good (483).
Mixing Height.......3900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...7 percent.


$$

.EXTENDED...

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 90S. LIGHT WINDS.
.SUNDAY...NOT AS WARM. MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS AROUND 80. LIGHT
WINDS.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
80S. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

JLD