043
FNUS53 KAPX 040637
FWFAPX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
237 AM EDT Mon Aug 4 2025

...Remaining dry with slow warming...

.DISCUSSION... High pressure will continue to slowly work
across the area, resulting in the continuation of rain-free weather
through at least the middle of the week. Some shower chances return
toward the end of the week into the weekend, but no indications of
anything widespread or significant. Temperatures will continue to
warm, with highs today through Thursday mostly in the 80s.
Combination of these warm temperatures and limited low level
moisture will result in afternoon relative humidity values dropping
to near or a bit below 40 percent each afternoon through Thursday.
Again, most encouraging news is winds look to largely remain below
critical levels for the next several days.

MIZ016-017-021>023-099-042300-
Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency
Counties-
237 AM EDT Mon Aug 4 2025

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Patchy fog until
                    1200. Areas of smoke.
Max Temperature.....79-84...except 71-76 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer.
Min Humidity........34-39 percent.
   24 HR Trend......1 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming east around 5 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Good (317).
Mixing Height.......6500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East around 3 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...1 percent.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Areas of smoke
                    until 2400.
Min Temperature.....57-62...except 64-69 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........88-93 percent...except 72-77 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged...except 17 percent drier along the
                    coast.
20-Foot Winds.......East winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 13 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (32).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...4 percent.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Areas of smoke.
Max Temperature.....79-84...except 71-76 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree cooler.
Min Humidity........37-42 percent.
   24 HR Trend......10 percent wetter...except 4 percent drier
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......East winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 13 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (573).
Mixing Height.......5300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East 6 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...2 percent.


$$

MIZ018-024-030-036-042-042300-
Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac
Counties...including Eastern Huron NF-
237 AM EDT Mon Aug 4 2025

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Patchy fog until
                    1200. Areas of smoke.
Max Temperature.....77-82...except 68-73 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........37-42 percent...except 46-51 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......7 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming east around 5 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Good (311).
Mixing Height.......5300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast 3 to 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...2 percent.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Areas of smoke.
Min Temperature.....56-61...except 64-69 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
20-Foot Winds.......East winds around 5 mph in the evening becoming
                    light.
Vent Rate...........Poor (28).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...3 percent.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Areas of smoke.
Max Temperature.....78-83...except 67-72 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........41-46 percent.
   24 HR Trend......6 percent wetter...except 12 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......East winds around 5 mph .
Vent Rate...........Good (411).
Mixing Height.......3600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...1 percent.


$$

MIZ020-025>027-042300-
Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska
Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL-
237 AM EDT Mon Aug 4 2025

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Patchy fog until
                    1200. Areas of smoke.
Max Temperature.....80-85...except 69-74 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........36-41 percent.
   24 HR Trend......2 percent drier...except 8 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming east around 5 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Fair (284).
Mixing Height.......6200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast around 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in .
Chance of Thunder...2 percent.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Areas of smoke.
Min Temperature.....57-62...except 67-72 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........86-91 percent...except 69-74 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......4 percent drier...except 13 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......East winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 13 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (37).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in .
Chance of Thunder...3 percent.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Areas of smoke.
Max Temperature.....80-85...except 70-75 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer.
Min Humidity........36-41 percent.
   24 HR Trend......3 percent drier...except 9 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 13 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (549).
Mixing Height.......6000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...1 percent.


$$

MIZ031>033-042300-
Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the
northern quarter of Manistee NF-
237 AM EDT Mon Aug 4 2025

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Patchy fog until
                    1200. Areas of smoke.
Max Temperature.....80-85...except 73-78 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........38-43 percent...except 48-53 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......2 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming southeast around 5 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Good (411).
Mixing Height.......6900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast around 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...2 percent.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent). Areas of smoke.
Min Temperature.....58-63.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........85-90 percent...except 75-80 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......7 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......East winds around 5 mph .
Vent Rate...........Poor (37).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...2 percent.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent). Areas of smoke.
Max Temperature.....81-86.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer.
Min Humidity........31-36 percent.
   24 HR Trend......5 percent drier...except 14 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......East winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 13 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (660).
Mixing Height.......7200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.


$$

MIZ028-029-034-035-041-042300-
Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin
Counties...including Western Huron NF-
237 AM EDT Mon Aug 4 2025

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Patchy fog until
                    1200. Areas of smoke.
Max Temperature.....79-84.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
Min Humidity........34-39 percent.
   24 HR Trend......2 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming southeast around 5 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Good (345).
Mixing Height.......7200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East around 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in .
Chance of Thunder...3 percent.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent). Areas of smoke
                    until 2400.
Min Temperature.....55-60.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
20-Foot Winds.......East winds around 5 mph in the evening becoming
                    light.
Vent Rate...........Poor (31).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in .
Chance of Thunder...3 percent.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Areas of smoke.
Max Temperature.....79-84.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
Min Humidity........35-40 percent.
   24 HR Trend......1 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......East winds around 5 mph .
Vent Rate...........Good (557).
Mixing Height.......6200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...1 percent.


$$

.EXTENDED...

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S.
EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
80S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS AROUND
90. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

MSB