520
FNUS53 KAPX 301924
FWFAPX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
324 PM EDT Sun Jun 30 2024

... Dry Again Monday; Rain Chances SLowly Return Tuesday...

.DISCUSSION... Influences of high pressure will continue to keep
northern lower Michigan on the dry side for Monday. Weak winds
will accompany the area, generally holding anywhere between 5-10mph.
Expecting daytime high temperatures in the 70s across the board.
Could be a good day for lake breezes, so a generally light and variable
wind across the region could shift from the lake and briefly pick up.
RHs will remain low, but not at Red Flag criteria, generally reaching
a minimum of 30-40. Overall, still looking at no high fire danger across
the region. Looking ahead, rain chances will slowly infiltrate through
the day Tuesday, initially with showers across northwest lower and up
to the Straits, while areas near Saginaw Bay and Huron National Forest
hold far more dry than not. Better chances for rain and thunder build
Tuesday night. Temperatures expected to be in the upper 60s to mid 70s
during the day Tuesday, with RHs slowly creeping up ahead of the
approaching system.


MIZ016-017-021>023-099-010815-
Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency
Counties-
324 PM EDT Sun Jun 30 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Clear (0-10 percent).
Min Temperature.....43-48...except 53-58 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........91-96 percent...except 78-83 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......3 percent wetter...except 7 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light. Gusts up to 25 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (29).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.MONDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
Max Temperature.....74-79...except 63-68 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......10 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........33-38 percent...except 43-48 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......12 percent drier...except 2 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Fair (297).
Mixing Height.......5100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest around 6 mph shifting to the west in
                    the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
Min Temperature.....55-60.
   24 HR Trend......14 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........74-79 percent.
   24 HR Trend......26 percent drier...except 17 percent drier
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming south around 5 mph after
                    midnight. Gusts up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (20).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East around 6 mph shifting to the south around
                    12 mph after midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Scattered rain
                    showers.
Max Temperature.....67-72.
   24 HR Trend......6 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........50-55 percent.
   24 HR Trend......24 percent wetter...except 17 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (387).
Mixing Height.......2200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 15 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.08 in .


$$

MIZ018-024-030-036-042-010815-
Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac
Counties...including Eastern Huron NF-
324 PM EDT Sun Jun 30 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
Min Temperature.....43-48...except 53-58 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......6 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........89-94 percent...except 72-77 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......3 percent wetter...except 4 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (45).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.MONDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
Max Temperature.....74-79...except 62-67 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......9 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........35-40 percent.
   24 HR Trend......6 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph shifting to the
                    northeast in the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Fair (282).
Mixing Height.......5400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 9 mph shifting to the northeast
                    around 6 mph in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent).
Min Temperature.....54-59.
   24 HR Trend......8 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........81-86 percent...except 67-72 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......20 percent drier...except 7 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (27).
Mixing Height.......300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Scattered rain
                    showers after 1200.
Max Temperature.....69-74...except 61-66 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......7 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........54-59 percent.
   24 HR Trend......20 percent wetter...except 15 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (472).
Mixing Height.......2600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 15 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.03 in .


$$

MIZ020-025>027-010815-
Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska
Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL-
324 PM EDT Sun Jun 30 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (0-10 percent).
Min Temperature.....43-48...except 59-64 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......6 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent...except 73-78 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......8 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light. Gusts up to 25 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (21).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 6 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.MONDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
Max Temperature.....73-78...except 63-68 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......10 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........36-41 percent.
   24 HR Trend......10 percent drier...except 1 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Fair (278).
Mixing Height.......4700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast around 6 mph shifting to the south in
                    the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent) until 2400, then
                    mostly cloudy (45-55 percent).
Min Temperature.....56-61.
   24 HR Trend......16 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........75-80 percent.
   24 HR Trend......23 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming southeast around 5 mph
                    after midnight. Gusts up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (17).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East around 6 mph shifting to the south around
                    12 mph after midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Scattered rain
                    showers until 1200, then numerous rain showers.
Max Temperature.....68-73.
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........56-61 percent.
   24 HR Trend......20 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (369).
Mixing Height.......1900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 15 to 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.02- 0.13 in.


$$

MIZ031>033-010815-
Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the
northern quarter of Manistee NF-
324 PM EDT Sun Jun 30 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (0-10 percent).
Min Temperature.....39-44...except 47-52 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......8 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent.
   24 HR Trend......9 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light. Gusts up to 25 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (27).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.MONDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
Max Temperature.....74-79...except around 71 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......10 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........35-40 percent...except 45-50 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......11 percent drier...except 4 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming south around 5 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (335).
Mixing Height.......5200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast around 6 mph shifting to the
                    southeast in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent) until 2400, then
                    mostly cloudy (45-55 percent).
Min Temperature.....55-60.
   24 HR Trend......13 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........75-80 percent.
   24 HR Trend......21 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 16 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (23).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 6 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Scattered rain
                    showers.
Max Temperature.....68-73.
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........57-62 percent.
   24 HR Trend......24 percent wetter...except 19 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (418).
Mixing Height.......2100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 15 to 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.11 in .


$$

MIZ028-029-034-035-041-010815-
Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin
Counties...including Western Huron NF-
324 PM EDT Sun Jun 30 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent).
Min Temperature.....42-47.
   24 HR Trend......7 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........91-96 percent.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light. Gusts up to 25 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (38).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 9 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.MONDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
Max Temperature.....74-79.
   24 HR Trend......9 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........32-37 percent.
   24 HR Trend......8 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming southeast around 5 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (338).
Mixing Height.......6300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 9 mph shifting to the southeast
                    around 6 mph in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent).
Min Temperature.....52-57.
   24 HR Trend......14 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........81-86 percent.
   24 HR Trend......16 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (33).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Scattered rain
                    showers after 1200.
Max Temperature.....70-75.
   24 HR Trend......7 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........52-57 percent.
   24 HR Trend......21 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (473).
Mixing Height.......2600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 15 to 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.03 in .


$$

.EXTENDED...

.WEDNESDAY...RAIN AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
60S. HIGHS AROUND 80. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.INDEPENDENCE DAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS
IN THE LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS AROUND 80.
WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

HAD