Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI

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FNUS53 KAPX 100933
FWFAPX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
533 AM EDT Sun Aug 10 2025

...Scattered Storms Later Today...

.DISCUSSION...

Light showers will linger across parts of northern lower Michigan
through this morning. Scattered thunderstorms are expected across
northern Michigan again this afternoon and evening. Southwest 20 ft
winds between 5-10 mph are expected today with gusts between 15-25
mph at times late this morning into this evening. Hot temperatures
are in store again today as highs climb into the upper 80s and low
90s for most areas south of the bridge. No RH concerns are
anticipated over the next several days.

MIZ016-017-021>023-099-102015-
Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency
Counties-
533 AM EDT Sun Aug 10 2025

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Isolated showers
                    until 1200, then scattered showers and
                    thunderstorms.
Max Temperature.....87-92...except 73-78 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........47-52 percent...except 57-62 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......12 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (593).
Mixing Height.......3700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 12 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.02- 0.41 in.
Chance of Thunder...30 percent.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (45-55 percent) until 2400, then
                    partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Scattered
                    showers and thunderstorms.
Min Temperature.....67-72.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........91-96 percent.
   24 HR Trend......11 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (28).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.03- 0.30 in.
Chance of Thunder...39 percent.

.MONDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Scattered
                    showers. Scattered thunderstorms after 1200.
Max Temperature.....83-88...except 72-77 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......6 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........55-60 percent.
   24 HR Trend......19 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (478).
Mixing Height.......2900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 15 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.08- 0.23 in.
Chance of Thunder...45 percent.


$$

MIZ018-024-030-036-042-102015-
Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac
Counties...including Eastern Huron NF-
533 AM EDT Sun Aug 10 2025

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Isolated showers
                    until 1200Scattered showers and thunderstorms
                    after 1200.
Max Temperature.....88-93...except around 80 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree cooler.
Min Humidity........37-42 percent.
   24 HR Trend......7 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (731).
Mixing Height.......4400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 12 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.36 in .
Chance of Thunder...24 percent.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Scattered
                    showers and thunderstorms.
Min Temperature.....68-73.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........90-95 percent...except 79-84 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......8 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (28).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.22 in .
Chance of Thunder...24 percent.

.MONDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (45-55 percent). Scattered
                    showers. Scattered thunderstorms after 1200.
Max Temperature.....85-90...except around 80 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........49-54 percent.
   24 HR Trend......8 percent wetter...except 3 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (760).
Mixing Height.......4300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 15 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.05- 0.26 in.
Chance of Thunder...49 percent.


$$

MIZ020-025>027-102015-
Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska
Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL-
533 AM EDT Sun Aug 10 2025

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Scattered showers
                    and isolated thunderstorms.
Max Temperature.....84-89...except 70-75 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........53-58 percent.
   24 HR Trend......18 percent wetter...except 12 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 27 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (507).
Mixing Height.......3200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 12 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.02- 0.28 in.
Chance of Thunder...23 percent.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent). Scattered
                    showers and thunderstorms.
Min Temperature.....67-72.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........93-98 percent.
   24 HR Trend......7 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (34).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.03- 0.28 in.
Chance of Thunder...41 percent.

.MONDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Scattered
                    showers. Scattered thunderstorms after 1200.
Max Temperature.....81-86...except 71-76 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......6 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........61-66 percent.
   24 HR Trend......4 percent wetter...except 13 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (485).
Mixing Height.......3000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 15 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.06- 0.16 in.
Chance of Thunder...41 percent.


$$

MIZ031>033-102015-
Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the
northern quarter of Manistee NF-
533 AM EDT Sun Aug 10 2025

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Scattered
                    thunderstorms until 1200. Scattered showers.
                    Isolated thunderstorms after 1200.
Max Temperature.....84-89...except around 81 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........47-52 percent...except 65-70 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......11 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (630).
Mixing Height.......3800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 12 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.26 in .
Chance of Thunder...24 percent.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (50-60 percent). Scattered
                    showers and thunderstorms.
Min Temperature.....67-72.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........93-98 percent.
   24 HR Trend......6 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (33).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.02- 0.22 in.
Chance of Thunder...43 percent.

.MONDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Scattered
                    showers. Scattered thunderstorms after 1200.
Max Temperature.....80-85...except 73-78 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......6 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........57-62 percent.
   24 HR Trend......22 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (622).
Mixing Height.......3600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 15 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.05- 0.19 in.
Chance of Thunder...40 percent.


$$

MIZ028-029-034-035-041-102015-
Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin
Counties...including Western Huron NF-
533 AM EDT Sun Aug 10 2025

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Isolated showers.
                    Isolated thunderstorms after 1200.
Max Temperature.....88-93.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree cooler.
Min Humidity........39-44 percent.
   24 HR Trend......5 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (902).
Mixing Height.......5200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 12 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.12 in .
Chance of Thunder...22 percent.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Isolated showers
                    until 2400. Isolated thunderstorms. Scattered
                    showers after 2400.
Min Temperature.....67-72.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........87-92 percent.
   24 HR Trend......8 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (31).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.19 in .
Chance of Thunder...25 percent.

.MONDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Scattered
                    showers. Scattered thunderstorms after 1200.
Max Temperature.....85-90.
   24 HR Trend......6 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........53-58 percent.
   24 HR Trend......24 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (805).
Mixing Height.......4500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 15 to 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.05- 0.26 in.
Chance of Thunder...47 percent.


$$

.EXTENDED...

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
60S. HIGHS AROUND 80. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
70S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

DJC