197
FXUS63 KAPX 280650
AFDAPX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
250 AM EDT Thu Aug 28 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Showers and clouds decreasing north to south today.

- Frost concerns tonight and Friday night.

- Gradual warming trend and dry conditions Labor Day Weekend
  into next week.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
Issued at 250 AM EDT Thu Aug 28 2025

A cold front tied to an uper-level trough is sliding south
through northern Michigan early this morning. Showers have been
steadily developing along and ahead of the boundary overnight.
The aformentioned front will continue tracking southwest today,
taking most of the rain with it by the afternoon. Skies will
gradually break from north to south with cold air spilling
quickly behind the boundary. Afternoon highs largely look to
reach the 60s, then fall into the 50s by this evening. Gusty
north winds will also add to the chill, giving the day a more
fall feel.

High pressure begins to build from the north tonight. Skies
will turn mostly to partly clear with winds decreasing, setting
the stage for a chilly late summer night. Overnight lows look to
drop to the low 40s (some areas even possibly dropping into the
30s) with patchy frost possible towards daybreak Friday.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
Issued at 250 AM EDT Thu Aug 28 2025

High pressure looks to dominate the region through the upcoming
Holiday weekend into early next week, bringing a prolonged
period of dry, quiet weather. Friday looks to remain cool, with
highs in the 60s under mostly sunny skies. Friday night into
Saturday is likely to be the chilliest, as calm winds, clear
skies, and a drying profile allows temperatures to dip into the
low 40s to even the 30s, maintaining a concern for patchy frost.


Saturday through Tuesday will see continued sunny, dry,
conditions with temperatures warming. Highs are forecasted to be
in the 70s Sunday, with some locations potentially reaching 80
by Monday and Tuesday.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z FRIDAY/...
Issued at 128 AM EDT Thu Aug 28 2025

Band of SHRA and a few TSRA will continue to make southward
progress across (and out of) the area this morning. Cigs will
continue to lower, with widespread IFR to low-end MVFR
conditions for late overnight into the morning. Conditions
steadily improve by midday Thursday, becoming VFR.

A northerly breeze increases on Thursday.

&&

.APX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MI...Beach Hazards Statement from 8 AM EDT this morning through
     this evening for MIZ031.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory from 11 AM this morning to 1 AM EDT
     Friday for LHZ348-349.
     Small Craft Advisory from 11 AM this morning to 8 PM EDT this
     evening for LMZ323-342-344>346.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...NSC
LONG TERM...NSC
AVIATION...DJC/JZ