533
FNUS74 KAMA 162119
FWSAMA

Spot Forecast for Randall 2544...TFS
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
419 PM CDT Mon Sep 16 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1700 CDT on September 16.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (806) 335-1421, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...
Southeast winds expected for the fire site around 15 mph with
potential gust up to 25 mph through sunset. After sunset, gust
should drop off with speeds around 10 to 15 mph expected with a
potential to fall below 10 mph. RH values around 25 percent should
rise to above 40 percent after dark. There is a slight chance for
a shower or thunderstorm to impact the fire site which could lead
to gusty and variable winds.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent). Slight chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 93.
Min humidity........28 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds around 14 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......10200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 18 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (163800 knot-ft).
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (CDT)      5PM
Sky cover.......MCR
Weather cov.....SCH
Weather type....RW
Tstm cov........SCH
Chc of pcpn (%).20
LAL.............1
Temp............91
RH..............30
20 FT wind dir..S
20 FT wind spd..14
20 FT wind gust.20
Mix hgt (kft)...10
Transp wind dir.S
Transp wind spd.18
Haines index....2
Vrate kt-ft/1K..164
Ventrate Cat....EXL

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms early in the evening.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Min temperature.....Around 64.
Max humidity........89 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 7 to 14 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms early in the
                    evening.
Mixing height.......700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 15 to 22 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (121700 knot-ft) decreasing to fair
                    (29700 knot-ft) early in the evening decreasing
                    to poor (8800 knot-ft) late in the night early
                    in the evening.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky cover.......MCR MCR MCR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR MCR
Weather cov.....SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........SCH SCH SCH SCH
Chc of pcpn (%).20  20  20  20  0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............91  88  83  79  77  75  72  70  69  68  67  66
RH..............30  34  40  47  51  54  60  67  72  75  82  85
20 FT wind dir..S   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S
20 FT wind spd..14  14  13  13  12  10  9   9   8   8   8   7
20 FT wind gust.21  20  19  18  16  15  14  14  13  13  13  12
Mix hgt (kft)...8.6 6.4 1.7 0.8 0.7 0.8 0.7 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7
Transp wind dir.S   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.20  22  21  18  18  17  17  17  17  16  15  15
Haines index....2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
Vrate kt-ft/1K..147 122 30  13  12  11  11  12  11  10  9   9
Ventrate Cat....VGD VGD PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 92.
Min humidity........33 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 6 to 15 mph increasing to 16 to 18
                    mph late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......9700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 13 to 22 mph increasing to 24 to 26 mph
                    late in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (7200 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to excellent (73100 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon increasing to excellent (213000
                    knot-ft).
Haines Index........2 to 3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky cover.......MCR MCR MCR MCR CLR CLR CLR CLR MCR MCR MCR MCR
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   10  10  10  10  10
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............65  64  64  69  77  81  84  87  89  90  91  88
RH..............87  89  89  79  62  53  46  40  37  35  33  36
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..6   6   7   9   10  13  14  14  15  16  17  18
20 FT wind gust.12  11  12  14  15  19  20  22  23  23  23  25
Mix hgt (kft)...0.7 0.7 0.7 1.1 2.4 4.3 6.0 7.3 8.6 9.3 9.7 9.4
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.13  14  14  15  18  20  21  22  24  25  25  26
Haines index....2   3   3   3   3   3   3   2   2   2   2   2
Vrate kt-ft/1K..7   8   9   15  38  73  108 138 180 206 213 217
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  GD  VGD VGD EXL EXL EXL EXL

$$
Forecaster...Hoffeditz
Requested by...Aidan Amaya
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2422586.0/AMA
.DELDT 09/16/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0