414
FNUS74 KAMA 091122
FWSAMA

Spot Forecast for Limb Pile...Borger Fire department
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
622 AM CDT Wed Oct 9 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 CDT on October 09.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (806) 335-1421, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...

This afternoon very low chance for isolated rain showers and even
a thunderstorm. Rainfall from either of these will be minimal.
The main threat from these will be gusty outflow winds as the
environment is favorable for dry microbursts. Otherwise conditions
will be hot and dry.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent). Isolated thunderstorms
                    late in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 92.
Min humidity........17 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds around 5 mph shifting to the north
                    late in the afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms late in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......5900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 7 to 14 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (7400 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to good (41200 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (CDT)      10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky cover.......CLEAR  CLEAR  CLEAR  MCLEAR
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........                     ISOLTD
Temp............71     80     87     90
RH..............38     26     21     17
20 ft wind......W 5    W 5    W 5    N 5
20 ft wind gust.8      9      8      9
Mix hgt (kft)...0.7    2.2    3.6    5.4
Transport wind..W 12   W 12   W 8    W 8
Haines index....5      5      5      5
Vrate kt-ft/1K..7      22     25     38
Ventrate Cat....POOR   POOR   POOR   POOR

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (0-10 percent). Isolated
                    thunderstorms early in the evening.
Min temperature.....Around 56.
Max humidity........77 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms early in the
                    evening.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 7 mph shifting to the
                    northeast 6 to 9 mph in the evening and
                    overnight, then shifting to the northwest 7 to
                    9 mph after 3 am.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (31200 knot-ft) early in the evening
                    decreasing to poor (2400 knot-ft) late in the
                    night.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky cover.......MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR CLEAR  CLEAR  CLEAR
Weather cov.....
Weather type....       NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........ISOLTD
Temp............89     82     73     67     63     59
RH..............18     24     37     49     58     67
20 ft wind......NE 5   NE 5   NE 5   N 3    N 3    NW 3
20 ft wind gust.7      6      6      5      5      5
Mix hgt (kft)...5.2    0.4    0.5    0.5    0.5    0.4
Transport wind..NW 7   NE 8   E 9    E 8    N 7    NW 7
Haines index....5      5      5      5      5      5
Vrate kt-ft/1K..31     3      4      3      3      3
Ventrate Cat....POOR   POOR   POOR   POOR   POOR   POOR

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 91.
Min humidity........18 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming west around 5 mph early in
                    the morning, then becoming light early in the
                    morning becoming north around 5 mph late in the
                    morning shifting to the east.
Mixing height.......7200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 6 to 8 mph shifting to the northeast
                    8 to 10 mph late in the morning.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (1800 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to good (50700 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky cover.......MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Temp............58     58     68     79     88     90
RH..............72     72     52     33     23     18
20 ft wind......NW 3   W 3    NW 3   N 5    NE 5   E 5
20 ft wind gust.5      5      6      8      9      9
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5    0.4    0.7    2.0    4.2    7.2
Transport wind..NW 8   NW 8   N 7    NE 9   NE 10  N 8
Haines index....5      5      5      5      5      5
Vrate kt-ft/1K..3      3      4      16     37     51
Ventrate Cat....POOR   POOR   POOR   POOR   POOR   FAIR

$$
Forecaster...Hannah
Requested by...Coby Medaris
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2423872.0/AMA
.DELDT 10/09/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0