Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Albany, NY
Issued by NWS Albany, NY
561
FNUS71 KALY 280906
FWSALY
Spot Forecast for APB DOGBANE & CONGO RX...Albany Pine Bush
National Weather Service Albany NY
506 AM EDT Fri Jun 28 2024
Forecast is based on ignition time of 0600 EDT on June 28.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.
Please contact our office at alb.stormreport@noaa.gov, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.
.DISCUSSION...
After a chilly start to our Friday, high pressure will give us
a sunny and comfortable end to the work week. RH values reach as
low as 30 percent this afternoon with light winds under 5kts.
Winds turn gusty for Saturday with areas of rain tracking slowly
from northwest to southeast through the day. Rain turns moderate
to potentially heavy at times Saturday night with additional rain
and thunderstorms for Sunday as a cold front pushes through the
region.
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 76.
Min humidity........34 percent.
Dewpoint............45.
Wind (20 ft)........
Slope/valley.......Light winds.
Mixing height.......6000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 5 to 10 mph shifting to the south 5
to 6 mph late in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (3800 knot-ft) early in the morning
increasing to good (35300 knot-ft) in the
afternoon.
LVORI...............3.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........6 7 30 20 20 17 3 7 10 14 17 21
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Temp............50 54 57 60 64 67 70 72 73 74 75 75
Dewpoint........45 46 46 44 44 44 45 45 45 45 45 45
RH..............83 74 67 55 48 43 41 38 37 35 34 34
20 FT wind dir..NW NW N N N N N NE S S S S
20 FT wind spd..3 3 3 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 3
20 FT wind gust.9 8 9 8 8 8 7 7 6 7 8 8
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.8 1.3 2.3 3.4 4.4 5.0 5.3 5.4 5.8 6.0 5.6
Transp wind dir.NW N N N N N N NW NW W SW S
Transp wind spd.8 9 10 10 10 9 8 6 5 5 5 6
LVORI...........4 3 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Haines index....5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5
Vrate kt-ft/1K..4 7 12 21 30 35 33 27 22 24 27 28
Ventrate Cat....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent) then becoming
mostly cloudy (60-70 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Min temperature.....Around 60.
Max humidity........78 percent.
Dewpoint............48.
Wind (20 ft)........
Slope/valley.......Light winds becoming south 5 to 8 mph in the
late evening and overnight.
Mixing height.......100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 7 to 16 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (20900 knot-ft) early in the evening
decreasing to poor (2300 knot-ft) late in the
night.
LVORI...............3.
Haines Index........3 to 5 or very low to moderate potential for
large plume dominated fire growth.
Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches.
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........27 32 38 42 46 50 54 59 63 67 71 75
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Temp............76 74 71 67 65 64 63 62 62 61 60 61
Dewpoint........47 47 49 48 48 48 48 47 47 47 47 48
RH..............36 38 46 50 54 56 58 58 58 60 62 62
20 FT wind dir..S S SE SE S S S S S S S S
20 FT wind spd..3 3 5 5 5 6 6 6 7 8 8 9
20 FT wind gust.8 9 9 10 10 12 13 15 15 17 18 18
Mix hgt (kft)...4.0 2.1 0.5 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.6
Transp wind dir.S S S S S S S S S S S S
Transp wind spd.7 8 9 10 12 13 14 15 16 16 16 16
LVORI...........2 2 2 2 2 3 2 2 2 2 2 2
Haines index....5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 3 3 3 3
Vrate kt-ft/1K..21 12 4 2 3 5 6 7 7 7 8 9
Ventrate Cat....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of
showers early in the morning. Showers likely
and slight chance of thunderstorms late in the
afternoon, then rain likely and chance of
thunderstorms late in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......70 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms until 1400, then 1-8 strikes until
1600, then 9-15 strikes.
Max temperature.....Around 78.
Min humidity........62 percent.
Dewpoint............51 increasing to 66.
Wind (20 ft)........
Slope/valley.......South winds 8 to 14 mph. Gusts up to 28 mph
increasing to 31 mph in the afternoon. Gusty
and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms
late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......3300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 16 to 24 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (11000 knot-ft) early in the morning
increasing to excellent (65600 knot-ft) in the
afternoon.
LVORI...............3.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Pcpn amount.........0.07 inches.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........75 76 76 78 80 82 80 78 76 81 85 90
Weather cov..... CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY
Weather type.... RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RN
Tstm cov........ SCH SCH SCH CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).10 10 30 30 30 30 30 30 60 60 60 70
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 3 3
Temp............60 61 63 65 68 69 72 74 76 77 77 77
Dewpoint........50 53 55 58 60 62 63 65 66 67 67 67
RH..............69 75 75 78 76 78 73 71 71 71 71 71
20 FT wind dir..S S S S S S S S S S S S
20 FT wind spd..9 10 10 12 14 16 17 17 17 17 17 16
20 FT wind gust.20 20 21 22 23 25 28 30 31 31 31 30
Mix hgt (kft)...0.8 1.0 1.3 1.7 2.1 2.5 2.9 3.2 3.3 3.2 2.9 2.6
Transp wind dir.S S S S S S S S S S S S
Transp wind spd.16 17 18 20 22 23 24 24 23 21 18 17
LVORI...........3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3
Haines index....3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3
Vrate kt-ft/1K..11 15 21 30 41 50 59 65 66 59 49 39
Ventrate Cat....PR PR PR PR FR FR FR GD GD FR FR PR
$$
Forecaster...Speciale
Requested by...Tyler Briggs
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2416865.0/ALY
.DELDT 06/28/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL tbriggs@albanypinebush.org