Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Albany, NY

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FNUS71 KALY 101107
FWSALY

Spot Forecast for Whitehouse Fire...NYS Forest Rangers
National Weather Service Albany NY
607 AM EST Sun Nov 10 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0700 EST on November 10.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at alb.stormreport@noaa.gov, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...
Cloudy skies to start this morning with dry conditions through
tonight. While precipitation is in the forecast for tonight into
tomorrow, amounts will be less than 0.5 inches. Today`s high
temperatures are forecasted to range in the 50s. Sustained winds
between 5 and 10 mph with gusts up to 25 mph this evening ahead of
the incoming low pressure system. Minimum relative humidity
values today are expected to range in the 30s and 40s. Dry
conditions returns tomorrow afternoon and Tuesday.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent) then becoming
                    cloudy (85-95 percent). Slight chance of rain
                    showers late in the afternoon. Chance of rain
                    showers late in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 51.
Min humidity........33 percent.
Dewpoint............21 increasing to 28 late in the afternoon.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Light winds becoming southwest 5 to 10 mph
                    early in the morning.
Mixing height.......2200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 9 to 17 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (3800 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to good (32800 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
LVORI...............2.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Pcpn amount.........0.02 inches.

TIME (EST)      7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........70  62  46  65  68  63  68  80  77  86  89
Weather cov.....                                    SCH CHC
Weather type....                                    RW  RW
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   10  20  40
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............31  33  38  42  47  49  51  51  50  49  47
Dewpoint........19  21  22  21  22  23  23  26  26  28  30
RH..............61  61  52  43  37  36  33  37  39  44  51
20 FT wind dir..W   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..2   5   6   7   9   9   10  9   8   8   8
20 FT wind gust.7   10  12  14  15  17  15  15  15  14  15
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.8 1.1 1.5 1.9 2.1 2.2 1.9 1.5 1.2 1.0
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Transp wind spd.9   12  14  16  17  17  17  16  15  14  14
LVORI...........3   2   2   1   1   1   1   1   2   2   2
Haines index....4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4
Vrate kt-ft/1K..4   9   15  21  27  32  33  28  21  14  11
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Rain showers.
Chance of pcpn......90 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Min temperature.....Around 40.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Dewpoint............33 increasing to 46.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Southwest winds 6 to 8 mph. Gusts up to 21 mph
                    overnight.
Mixing height.......600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 14 to 16 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (7000 knot-ft).
LVORI...............5.
Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.
Pcpn amount.........0.32 inches.

TIME (EST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........92  92  88  91  92  91  90  91  87  85  85  81
Weather cov.....CHC DEF DEF DEF LKY LKY DEF LKY LKY CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).50  90  90  80  70  70  90  70  60  50  50  30
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............44  43  42  42  42  41  43  44  44  46  47  47
Dewpoint........32  34  37  39  42  41  43  44  44  46  47  47
RH..............62  70  82  89  100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W
20 FT wind spd..8   8   8   7   7   7   7   6   6   6   7   7
20 FT wind gust.15  16  17  18  18  18  18  18  20  20  21  21
Mix hgt (kft)...0.9 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W
Transp wind spd.14  14  14  14  14  14  14  14  14  14  15  16
LVORI...........2   3   4   5   8   8   8   8   8   8   8   7
Haines index....4   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
Vrate kt-ft/1K..10  10  10  9   9   8   8   7   7   7   8   7
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR

.VETERANS DAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers early in the morning.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 58.
Min humidity........57 percent.
Dewpoint............46 decreasing to 42 in the afternoon.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......West winds 8 to 10 mph. Gusts up to 22 mph in
                    the morning and early afternoon.
Mixing height.......3500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 17 to 26 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (8600 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to excellent (76700 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
LVORI...............3.
Haines Index........2 to 3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Pcpn amount.........0.03 inches.

TIME (EST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........68  74  61  56  50  57  56  51  47  44  40  40
Weather cov.....SCH
Weather type....RW
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).20  10  10  10  10  10  10  0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............47  49  49  52  55  55  55  57  58  57  55  52
Dewpoint........47  48  48  47  46  45  43  43  42  42  41  41
RH..............100 96  96  83  72  69  64  59  57  57  59  65
20 FT wind dir..W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..8   8   9   10  10  10  10  10  10  10  9   8
20 FT wind gust.21  21  22  22  21  20  20  20  18  18  17  16
Mix hgt (kft)...0.6 0.9 1.6 2.4 3.1 3.4 3.5 3.5 3.4 3.3 3.0 2.5
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.17  20  22  25  26  26  24  23  22  21  20  18
LVORI...........5   5   4   4   3   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Haines index....3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
Vrate kt-ft/1K..9   15  34  55  72  77  75  69  65  59  51  41
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  FR  GD  GD  GD  GD  GD  FR  FR  FR

$$
Forecaster...Webb
Requested by...Ranger JJ Rusher
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2426216.0/ALY
.DELDT 11/10/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL john.rusheriv@dec.ny.gov