Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Albany, NY

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305
FNUS51 KALY 171930
FWFALY

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EASTERN NEW YORK...SOUTHERN
VERMONT...WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS AND NORTHWEST CONNECTICUT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
329 PM EDT Thu Apr 17 2025

.DISCUSSION...
*SPS for elevated risk of fire spread in effect for the Hudson
 Valley and Catskills Today*

RH values low as 15-25% this afternoon, with the lowest RH
values in the Upper Hudson Valley. Winds are not as strong as
the past few days, but gusts of 20-30 mph have been common
this afternoon. While state partners in CT and MA have
confirmed that fuels are not yet receptive, the NYS DEC has
confirmed that fuels in the Hudson Valley and Catskills have
dried out enough from the rainfall earlier in the week to
warrant and SPS for today. We have also coordinated with BTV to
determine that an SPS will not be needed for southern VT based
on the fact that this are saw more upslope precip yesterday.
Winds should quickly become light and variable after sunset this
evening, with RH values recovering to 60-80% overnight.

On Friday, minimum RH values should not be as low as Thursday
with 30-45% expected. Southerly winds will be increasing during
the afternoon, with gusts of 20-30 mph developing, but the
strongest gusts may not occur until later in the day when RH
values are beginning to recover. Additionally, there could be a
few showers around Friday afternoon, especially north of I-90.
Therefore, it appears conditions will not be quite as conducive
for fire spread compared to today.

NYZ206-180800-
Southern Adirondacks-
Including the cities of Old Forge, Long Lake, Speculator, Piseco,
Northville, Caroga Lake, and Johnstown
329 PM EDT Thu Apr 17 2025

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

CLOUD COVER           Mclear       Pcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
PRECIP TYPE           None         Showers      Showers      Showers
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           40           70
TEMP (24H TREND)      24 (-5)      63 (+16)     50           67
RH % (24H TREND)      77 (-7)      38 (+11)     90           66
20FTWND-AM(MPH)                    Lgt/Var                   SW  8 G31
20FTWND-PM(MPH)       Lgt/Var      S  9 G24     S  8 G23     W 10 G31
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.07         0.13
PRECIP DURATION                    1            2            7
PRECIP BEGIN                       2 PM         Continuing   Continuing
PRECIP END                         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)                 4590                      5570
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 26                      W 33
VENT RATE (KT-FT)                  105570                    161530
ADI early             12 Poor      54 Gen Good  24 Fair      39 Fair
ADI late              4 Very Poor  80 Good      19 Gen Poor  83 Good
Max LVORI early       3            3            3            4
Max LVORI late        3            1            4            4

Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ207-180800-
Upper Hudson Valley-
Including the cities of North Creek, Glens Falls,
Saratoga Springs, Clifton Park, Whitehall, and Cambridge
329 PM EDT Thu Apr 17 2025

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

CLOUD COVER           Mclear       Pcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
PRECIP TYPE           None         Showers      Showers      Showers
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           20           40
TEMP (24H TREND)      25 (-8)      65 (+11)     50           76
RH % (24H TREND)      83 (+9)      33 (+12)     84           52
20FTWND-AM(MPH)                    Lgt/Var                   SW  8 G33
20FTWND-PM(MPH)       W  5 G24     S  9 G28     S  9 G27     SW 12 G33
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         0.04
PRECIP DURATION                    0            1            2
PRECIP BEGIN                       2 PM         Continuing   Continuing
PRECIP END                         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)                 4420                      5800
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 23                      W 33
VENT RATE (KT-FT)                  88400                     168200
ADI early             13 Gen Poor  50 Gen Good  26 Fair      35 Fair
ADI late              3 Very Poor  78 Good      14 Gen Poor  98 Good
Max LVORI early       2            4            3            4
Max LVORI late        4            1            4            1

Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ208-180800-
Middle Hudson Valley-
Including the cities of Amsterdam, Schenectady, Albany, Troy,
Berlin, Berne, Cairo, Catskill, Chatham, Kingston, Poughkeepsie,
Dover Plains, Ellenville, and Monticello
329 PM EDT Thu Apr 17 2025

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

CLOUD COVER           Clear        Pcldy        Pcldy        Mcldy
PRECIP TYPE           None         None         None         Showers
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            40
TEMP (24H TREND)      28 (-7)      66 (+9)      50           79
RH % (24H TREND)      75 (-1)      34 (+12)     83           48
20FTWND-AM(MPH)                    Lgt/Var                   SW  8 G28
20FTWND-PM(MPH)       NW  5 G25    S 10 G29     S  9 G28     SW 10 G28
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.02
PRECIP DURATION                                              2
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 6 AM
PRECIP END                                                   Continuing
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)                 5120                      6010
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 25                     W 25
VENT RATE (KT-FT)                  112640                    132220
ADI early             13 Gen Poor  67 Good      31 Fair      58 Gen Good
ADI late              3 Very Poor  90 Good      13 Gen Poor  96 Good
Max LVORI early       2            3            2            4
Max LVORI late        3            1            4            1

Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ209-180800-
Catskill-
Including the cities of Tannersville and Phoenicia
329 PM EDT Thu Apr 17 2025

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

CLOUD COVER           Clear        Pcldy        Pcldy        Mcldy
PRECIP TYPE           None         None         None         Showers
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            50
TEMP (24H TREND)      29 (-2)      64 (+12)     49           76
RH % (24H TREND)      71 (-7)      37 (+13)     84           50
20FTWND-AM(MPH)                    Lgt/Var                   SW  8 G29
20FTWND-PM(MPH)       NW  5 G23    S 10 G32     S 10 G31     W 10 G29
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.03
PRECIP DURATION                                              2
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 8 AM
PRECIP END                                                   Continuing
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)                 4740                      5940
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 29                     W 32
VENT RATE (KT-FT)                  118500                    166320
ADI early             13 Gen Poor  64 Good      34 Fair      67 Good
ADI late              4 Very Poor  99 Good      17 Gen Poor  100 Good
Max LVORI early       3            3            3            3
Max LVORI late        3            1            4            1

Remarks...None.

$$

VTZ036-180800-
Southern Taconics-
Including the cities of Bennington, Manchester Center, and Pownal
329 PM EDT Thu Apr 17 2025

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

CLOUD COVER           Mclear       Pcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
PRECIP TYPE           None         Showers      Showers      Showers
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           20           40
TEMP (24H TREND)      27 (-7)      64 (+12)     51           75
RH % (24H TREND)      76 (-1)      31 (+10)     77           52
20FTWND-AM(MPH)                    Lgt/Var                   SW  9 G33
20FTWND-PM(MPH)       W  6 G26     S  9 G29     S 10 G31     SW 11 G33
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.07
PRECIP DURATION                    0            0            2
PRECIP BEGIN                       4 PM         Continuing   6 AM
PRECIP END                         Continuing   9 PM         Continuing
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)                 4330                      5170
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 23                     W 32
VENT RATE (KT-FT)                  86600                     144760
ADI early             23 Fair      61 Good      27 Fair      38 Fair
ADI late              4 Very Poor  80 Good      19 Gen Poor  86 Good
Max LVORI early       2            3            2            3
Max LVORI late        4            1            3            1

Remarks...None.

$$

VTZ037-180800-
Southern Greens-
Including the cities of Londonderry, Stratton,
Woodford State Park, and Stamford
329 PM EDT Thu Apr 17 2025

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

CLOUD COVER           Mclear       Pcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
PRECIP TYPE           None         Showers      Showers      Showers
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           20           30
TEMP (24H TREND)      25 (-5)      62 (+12)     48           72
RH % (24H TREND)      78 (-3)      32 (+10)     82           55
20FTWND-AM(MPH)                    Lgt/Var                   SW  8 G29
20FTWND-PM(MPH)       W  5 G26     SW  8 G26    S  9 G27     W 10 G29
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.05
PRECIP DURATION                    0            0            2
PRECIP BEGIN                       4 PM         Continuing   7 AM
PRECIP END                         Continuing   9 PM         Continuing
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)                 5080                      5970
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 24                     W 36
VENT RATE (KT-FT)                  106680                    185070
ADI early             16 Gen Poor  62 Good      27 Fair      54 Gen Good
ADI late              5 Very Poor  95 Good      19 Gen Poor  123 Very Good
Max LVORI early       2            3            2            3
Max LVORI late        4            1            4            1

Remarks...None.

$$

VTZ038-180800-
Lower Connecticut Valley South-
Including the cities of Bellows Falls, Brattleboro,
Guilford Center, and West Brattleboro
329 PM EDT Thu Apr 17 2025

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

CLOUD COVER           Mclear       Pcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
PRECIP TYPE           None         Showers      Showers      Showers
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           10           30
TEMP (24H TREND)      27 (-7)      64 (+9)      50           76
RH % (24H TREND)      81 (+7)      29 (+10)     80           47
20FTWND-AM(MPH)                    Lgt/Var                   SW  6 G29
20FTWND-PM(MPH)       Lgt/Var      S  7 G25     S  8 G25     W  8 G29
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.02
PRECIP DURATION                    0            1            2
PRECIP BEGIN                       4 PM         Continuing   6 AM
PRECIP END                         Continuing   2 AM         Continuing
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)                 5120                      6030
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 23                     W 33
VENT RATE (KT-FT)                  102400                    174870
ADI early             15 Gen Poor  61 Good      27 Fair      67 Good
ADI late              3 Very Poor  108 Very Good13 Gen Poor  137 Very Good
Max LVORI early       2            4            2            4
Max LVORI late        4            1            4            1

Remarks...None.

$$

MAZ001-180800-
Northern Berkshire-
Including the cities of Dalton, Hancock, Pittsfield, Florida,
and North Adams
329 PM EDT Thu Apr 17 2025

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

CLOUD COVER           Clear        Pcldy        Pcldy        Mcldy
PRECIP TYPE           None         None         None         Showers
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            40
TEMP (24H TREND)      27 (-7)      62 (+11)     49           74
RH % (24H TREND)      72 (-5)      31 (+6)      79           48
20FTWND-AM(MPH)                    Lgt/Var                   SW 10 G31
20FTWND-PM(MPH)       W  8 G28     SW 10 G29    S 11 G29     W 11 G31
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.03
PRECIP DURATION                                              2
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 8 AM
PRECIP END                                                   Continuing
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)                 4340                      4870
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 24                     W 29
VENT RATE (KT-FT)                  91140                     121750
ADI early             31 Fair      61 Good      26 Fair      35 Fair
ADI late              5 Very Poor  81 Good      20 Gen Poor  91 Good
Max LVORI early       2            3            2            3
Max LVORI late        3            1            3            1

Remarks...None.

$$

MAZ025-180800-
Southern Berkshire-
Including the cities of Sandisfield, Great Barrington,
and South Egremont
329 PM EDT Thu Apr 17 2025

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

CLOUD COVER           Clear        Pcldy        Pcldy        Mcldy
PRECIP TYPE           None         None         None         Showers
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            30
TEMP (24H TREND)      28 (-7)      63 (+10)     49           76
RH % (24H TREND)      68 (-10)     32 (+9)      82           49
20FTWND-AM(MPH)                    Lgt/Var                   SW  9 G29
20FTWND-PM(MPH)       NW  7 G26    S 10 G29     S 10 G28     SW 11 G29
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.01
PRECIP DURATION                                              1
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 8 AM
PRECIP END                                                   Continuing
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)                 4620                      4540
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 25                     W 25
VENT RATE (KT-FT)                  101640                    99880
ADI early             31 Fair      66 Good      28 Fair      55 Gen Good
ADI late              5 Very Poor  93 Good      19 Gen Poor  85 Good
Max LVORI early       2            3            2            4
Max LVORI late        3            1            4            1

Remarks...None.

$$

CTZ001-180800-
Northern Litchfield-
Including the city of Torrington
329 PM EDT Thu Apr 17 2025

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

CLOUD COVER           Clear        Pcldy        Pcldy        Mcldy
PRECIP TYPE           None         None         None         Showers
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            30
TEMP (24H TREND)      30 (-5)      64 (+8)      48           78
RH % (24H TREND)      64 (-11)     32 (+11)     85           48
20FTWND-AM(MPH)                    Lgt/Var                   SW  9 G28
20FTWND-PM(MPH)       NW  5 G23    S  9 G27     S  9 G26     SW 10 G28
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
PRECIP DURATION                                              1
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 8 AM
PRECIP END                                                   Continuing
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)                 4710                      5170
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 24                     W 30
VENT RATE (KT-FT)                  98910                     134420
ADI early             14 Gen Poor  69 Good      30 Fair      76 Good
ADI late              5 Very Poor  94 Good      16 Gen Poor  106 Very Good
Max LVORI early       2            3            2            4
Max LVORI late        3            1            4            1

Remarks...None.

$$

CTZ013-180800-
Southern Litchfield-
Including the cities of Oakville, Gaylordsville, New Milford,
Terryville, and Thomaston
329 PM EDT Thu Apr 17 2025

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

CLOUD COVER           Clear        Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
PRECIP TYPE           None         None         None         Showers
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            20
TEMP (24H TREND)      31 (-4)      65 (+6)      49           80
RH % (24H TREND)      64 (-10)     33 (+12)     87           47
20FTWND-AM(MPH)                    Lgt/Var                   SW  8 G27
20FTWND-PM(MPH)       NW  5 G19    S  9 G27     S  9 G26     SW 11 G27
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
PRECIP DURATION                                              0
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 2 PM
PRECIP END                                                   Continuing
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)                 4770                      4900
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 23                     W 29
VENT RATE (KT-FT)                  95400                     122500
ADI early             13 Gen Poor  70 Good      27 Fair      73 Good
ADI late              4 Very Poor  93 Good      13 Gen Poor  113 Very Good
Max LVORI early       2            3            2            4
Max LVORI late        3            1            5            1

Remarks...None.

$$

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain showers. Lows in the
lower 40s. Highs in the mid 50s. West winds around 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the upper
50s. Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers likely. Lows in the lower 40s.
Highs in the upper 50s. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the
mid 60s. Northwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the
upper 60s. South winds 10 to 15 mph.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation near normal.

$$