


Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Albany, NY
Issued by NWS Albany, NY
305 FNUS51 KALY 171930 FWFALY FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EASTERN NEW YORK...SOUTHERN VERMONT...WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS AND NORTHWEST CONNECTICUT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY 329 PM EDT Thu Apr 17 2025 .DISCUSSION... *SPS for elevated risk of fire spread in effect for the Hudson Valley and Catskills Today* RH values low as 15-25% this afternoon, with the lowest RH values in the Upper Hudson Valley. Winds are not as strong as the past few days, but gusts of 20-30 mph have been common this afternoon. While state partners in CT and MA have confirmed that fuels are not yet receptive, the NYS DEC has confirmed that fuels in the Hudson Valley and Catskills have dried out enough from the rainfall earlier in the week to warrant and SPS for today. We have also coordinated with BTV to determine that an SPS will not be needed for southern VT based on the fact that this are saw more upslope precip yesterday. Winds should quickly become light and variable after sunset this evening, with RH values recovering to 60-80% overnight. On Friday, minimum RH values should not be as low as Thursday with 30-45% expected. Southerly winds will be increasing during the afternoon, with gusts of 20-30 mph developing, but the strongest gusts may not occur until later in the day when RH values are beginning to recover. Additionally, there could be a few showers around Friday afternoon, especially north of I-90. Therefore, it appears conditions will not be quite as conducive for fire spread compared to today. NYZ206-180800- Southern Adirondacks- Including the cities of Old Forge, Long Lake, Speculator, Piseco, Northville, Caroga Lake, and Johnstown 329 PM EDT Thu Apr 17 2025 Tonight Fri Fri Night Sat CLOUD COVER Mclear Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy PRECIP TYPE None Showers Showers Showers CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 30 40 70 TEMP (24H TREND) 24 (-5) 63 (+16) 50 67 RH % (24H TREND) 77 (-7) 38 (+11) 90 66 20FTWND-AM(MPH) Lgt/Var SW 8 G31 20FTWND-PM(MPH) Lgt/Var S 9 G24 S 8 G23 W 10 G31 PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.02 0.07 0.13 PRECIP DURATION 1 2 7 PRECIP BEGIN 2 PM Continuing Continuing PRECIP END Continuing Continuing Continuing MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 4590 5570 TRANSPORT WND (MPH) S 26 W 33 VENT RATE (KT-FT) 105570 161530 ADI early 12 Poor 54 Gen Good 24 Fair 39 Fair ADI late 4 Very Poor 80 Good 19 Gen Poor 83 Good Max LVORI early 3 3 3 4 Max LVORI late 3 1 4 4 Remarks...None. $$ NYZ207-180800- Upper Hudson Valley- Including the cities of North Creek, Glens Falls, Saratoga Springs, Clifton Park, Whitehall, and Cambridge 329 PM EDT Thu Apr 17 2025 Tonight Fri Fri Night Sat CLOUD COVER Mclear Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy PRECIP TYPE None Showers Showers Showers CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 20 20 40 TEMP (24H TREND) 25 (-8) 65 (+11) 50 76 RH % (24H TREND) 83 (+9) 33 (+12) 84 52 20FTWND-AM(MPH) Lgt/Var SW 8 G33 20FTWND-PM(MPH) W 5 G24 S 9 G28 S 9 G27 SW 12 G33 PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.04 PRECIP DURATION 0 1 2 PRECIP BEGIN 2 PM Continuing Continuing PRECIP END Continuing Continuing Continuing MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 4420 5800 TRANSPORT WND (MPH) S 23 W 33 VENT RATE (KT-FT) 88400 168200 ADI early 13 Gen Poor 50 Gen Good 26 Fair 35 Fair ADI late 3 Very Poor 78 Good 14 Gen Poor 98 Good Max LVORI early 2 4 3 4 Max LVORI late 4 1 4 1 Remarks...None. $$ NYZ208-180800- Middle Hudson Valley- Including the cities of Amsterdam, Schenectady, Albany, Troy, Berlin, Berne, Cairo, Catskill, Chatham, Kingston, Poughkeepsie, Dover Plains, Ellenville, and Monticello 329 PM EDT Thu Apr 17 2025 Tonight Fri Fri Night Sat CLOUD COVER Clear Pcldy Pcldy Mcldy PRECIP TYPE None None None Showers CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0 40 TEMP (24H TREND) 28 (-7) 66 (+9) 50 79 RH % (24H TREND) 75 (-1) 34 (+12) 83 48 20FTWND-AM(MPH) Lgt/Var SW 8 G28 20FTWND-PM(MPH) NW 5 G25 S 10 G29 S 9 G28 SW 10 G28 PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 PRECIP DURATION 2 PRECIP BEGIN 6 AM PRECIP END Continuing MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 5120 6010 TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 25 W 25 VENT RATE (KT-FT) 112640 132220 ADI early 13 Gen Poor 67 Good 31 Fair 58 Gen Good ADI late 3 Very Poor 90 Good 13 Gen Poor 96 Good Max LVORI early 2 3 2 4 Max LVORI late 3 1 4 1 Remarks...None. $$ NYZ209-180800- Catskill- Including the cities of Tannersville and Phoenicia 329 PM EDT Thu Apr 17 2025 Tonight Fri Fri Night Sat CLOUD COVER Clear Pcldy Pcldy Mcldy PRECIP TYPE None None None Showers CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0 50 TEMP (24H TREND) 29 (-2) 64 (+12) 49 76 RH % (24H TREND) 71 (-7) 37 (+13) 84 50 20FTWND-AM(MPH) Lgt/Var SW 8 G29 20FTWND-PM(MPH) NW 5 G23 S 10 G32 S 10 G31 W 10 G29 PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 PRECIP DURATION 2 PRECIP BEGIN 8 AM PRECIP END Continuing MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 4740 5940 TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 29 W 32 VENT RATE (KT-FT) 118500 166320 ADI early 13 Gen Poor 64 Good 34 Fair 67 Good ADI late 4 Very Poor 99 Good 17 Gen Poor 100 Good Max LVORI early 3 3 3 3 Max LVORI late 3 1 4 1 Remarks...None. $$ VTZ036-180800- Southern Taconics- Including the cities of Bennington, Manchester Center, and Pownal 329 PM EDT Thu Apr 17 2025 Tonight Fri Fri Night Sat CLOUD COVER Mclear Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy PRECIP TYPE None Showers Showers Showers CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 20 20 40 TEMP (24H TREND) 27 (-7) 64 (+12) 51 75 RH % (24H TREND) 76 (-1) 31 (+10) 77 52 20FTWND-AM(MPH) Lgt/Var SW 9 G33 20FTWND-PM(MPH) W 6 G26 S 9 G29 S 10 G31 SW 11 G33 PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.07 PRECIP DURATION 0 0 2 PRECIP BEGIN 4 PM Continuing 6 AM PRECIP END Continuing 9 PM Continuing MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 4330 5170 TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 23 W 32 VENT RATE (KT-FT) 86600 144760 ADI early 23 Fair 61 Good 27 Fair 38 Fair ADI late 4 Very Poor 80 Good 19 Gen Poor 86 Good Max LVORI early 2 3 2 3 Max LVORI late 4 1 3 1 Remarks...None. $$ VTZ037-180800- Southern Greens- Including the cities of Londonderry, Stratton, Woodford State Park, and Stamford 329 PM EDT Thu Apr 17 2025 Tonight Fri Fri Night Sat CLOUD COVER Mclear Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy PRECIP TYPE None Showers Showers Showers CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 20 20 30 TEMP (24H TREND) 25 (-5) 62 (+12) 48 72 RH % (24H TREND) 78 (-3) 32 (+10) 82 55 20FTWND-AM(MPH) Lgt/Var SW 8 G29 20FTWND-PM(MPH) W 5 G26 SW 8 G26 S 9 G27 W 10 G29 PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.05 PRECIP DURATION 0 0 2 PRECIP BEGIN 4 PM Continuing 7 AM PRECIP END Continuing 9 PM Continuing MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 5080 5970 TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 24 W 36 VENT RATE (KT-FT) 106680 185070 ADI early 16 Gen Poor 62 Good 27 Fair 54 Gen Good ADI late 5 Very Poor 95 Good 19 Gen Poor 123 Very Good Max LVORI early 2 3 2 3 Max LVORI late 4 1 4 1 Remarks...None. $$ VTZ038-180800- Lower Connecticut Valley South- Including the cities of Bellows Falls, Brattleboro, Guilford Center, and West Brattleboro 329 PM EDT Thu Apr 17 2025 Tonight Fri Fri Night Sat CLOUD COVER Mclear Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy PRECIP TYPE None Showers Showers Showers CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 20 10 30 TEMP (24H TREND) 27 (-7) 64 (+9) 50 76 RH % (24H TREND) 81 (+7) 29 (+10) 80 47 20FTWND-AM(MPH) Lgt/Var SW 6 G29 20FTWND-PM(MPH) Lgt/Var S 7 G25 S 8 G25 W 8 G29 PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 PRECIP DURATION 0 1 2 PRECIP BEGIN 4 PM Continuing 6 AM PRECIP END Continuing 2 AM Continuing MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 5120 6030 TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 23 W 33 VENT RATE (KT-FT) 102400 174870 ADI early 15 Gen Poor 61 Good 27 Fair 67 Good ADI late 3 Very Poor 108 Very Good13 Gen Poor 137 Very Good Max LVORI early 2 4 2 4 Max LVORI late 4 1 4 1 Remarks...None. $$ MAZ001-180800- Northern Berkshire- Including the cities of Dalton, Hancock, Pittsfield, Florida, and North Adams 329 PM EDT Thu Apr 17 2025 Tonight Fri Fri Night Sat CLOUD COVER Clear Pcldy Pcldy Mcldy PRECIP TYPE None None None Showers CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0 40 TEMP (24H TREND) 27 (-7) 62 (+11) 49 74 RH % (24H TREND) 72 (-5) 31 (+6) 79 48 20FTWND-AM(MPH) Lgt/Var SW 10 G31 20FTWND-PM(MPH) W 8 G28 SW 10 G29 S 11 G29 W 11 G31 PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 PRECIP DURATION 2 PRECIP BEGIN 8 AM PRECIP END Continuing MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 4340 4870 TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 24 W 29 VENT RATE (KT-FT) 91140 121750 ADI early 31 Fair 61 Good 26 Fair 35 Fair ADI late 5 Very Poor 81 Good 20 Gen Poor 91 Good Max LVORI early 2 3 2 3 Max LVORI late 3 1 3 1 Remarks...None. $$ MAZ025-180800- Southern Berkshire- Including the cities of Sandisfield, Great Barrington, and South Egremont 329 PM EDT Thu Apr 17 2025 Tonight Fri Fri Night Sat CLOUD COVER Clear Pcldy Pcldy Mcldy PRECIP TYPE None None None Showers CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0 30 TEMP (24H TREND) 28 (-7) 63 (+10) 49 76 RH % (24H TREND) 68 (-10) 32 (+9) 82 49 20FTWND-AM(MPH) Lgt/Var SW 9 G29 20FTWND-PM(MPH) NW 7 G26 S 10 G29 S 10 G28 SW 11 G29 PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 PRECIP DURATION 1 PRECIP BEGIN 8 AM PRECIP END Continuing MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 4620 4540 TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 25 W 25 VENT RATE (KT-FT) 101640 99880 ADI early 31 Fair 66 Good 28 Fair 55 Gen Good ADI late 5 Very Poor 93 Good 19 Gen Poor 85 Good Max LVORI early 2 3 2 4 Max LVORI late 3 1 4 1 Remarks...None. $$ CTZ001-180800- Northern Litchfield- Including the city of Torrington 329 PM EDT Thu Apr 17 2025 Tonight Fri Fri Night Sat CLOUD COVER Clear Pcldy Pcldy Mcldy PRECIP TYPE None None None Showers CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0 30 TEMP (24H TREND) 30 (-5) 64 (+8) 48 78 RH % (24H TREND) 64 (-11) 32 (+11) 85 48 20FTWND-AM(MPH) Lgt/Var SW 9 G28 20FTWND-PM(MPH) NW 5 G23 S 9 G27 S 9 G26 SW 10 G28 PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 PRECIP DURATION 1 PRECIP BEGIN 8 AM PRECIP END Continuing MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 4710 5170 TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 24 W 30 VENT RATE (KT-FT) 98910 134420 ADI early 14 Gen Poor 69 Good 30 Fair 76 Good ADI late 5 Very Poor 94 Good 16 Gen Poor 106 Very Good Max LVORI early 2 3 2 4 Max LVORI late 3 1 4 1 Remarks...None. $$ CTZ013-180800- Southern Litchfield- Including the cities of Oakville, Gaylordsville, New Milford, Terryville, and Thomaston 329 PM EDT Thu Apr 17 2025 Tonight Fri Fri Night Sat CLOUD COVER Clear Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy PRECIP TYPE None None None Showers CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0 20 TEMP (24H TREND) 31 (-4) 65 (+6) 49 80 RH % (24H TREND) 64 (-10) 33 (+12) 87 47 20FTWND-AM(MPH) Lgt/Var SW 8 G27 20FTWND-PM(MPH) NW 5 G19 S 9 G27 S 9 G26 SW 11 G27 PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 PRECIP DURATION 0 PRECIP BEGIN 2 PM PRECIP END Continuing MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 4770 4900 TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 23 W 29 VENT RATE (KT-FT) 95400 122500 ADI early 13 Gen Poor 70 Good 27 Fair 73 Good ADI late 4 Very Poor 93 Good 13 Gen Poor 113 Very Good Max LVORI early 2 3 2 4 Max LVORI late 3 1 5 1 Remarks...None. $$ .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain showers. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the mid 50s. West winds around 10 mph. .MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the upper 50s. Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers likely. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the upper 50s. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the mid 60s. Northwest winds 15 to 20 mph. .THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the upper 60s. South winds 10 to 15 mph. .OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS... Temperatures above normal. Precipitation near normal. $$