Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Albany, NY
Issued by NWS Albany, NY
066
FNUS51 KALY 161848
FWFALY
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EASTERN NEW YORK...SOUTHERN
VERMONT...WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS AND NORTHWEST CONNECTICUT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
247 PM EDT Fri May 16 2025
.DISCUSSION...
An active weather pattern is in store to end this week with
scattered rain showers and thunderstorms this afternoon and
tomorrow. Thunderstorms could become strong to severe (15-29%) with
the primary hazard being damaging wind gusts, but all severe weather
hazards could occur with severe storms Saturday. Lingering showers
for Sunday then drier conditions in store through Tuesday.
NYZ206-170800-
Southern Adirondacks-
Including the cities of Old Forge, Long Lake, Speculator, Piseco,
Northville, Caroga Lake, and Johnstown
247 PM EDT Fri May 16 2025
Tonight Sat Sat Night Sun
CLOUD COVER Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy
PRECIP TYPE Tstms Tstms Tstms Showers
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 40 90 70 90
TEMP (24H TREND) 55 (+1) 72 (-5) 46 55
RH % (24H TREND) 98 (-2) 65 (+5) 100 78
20FTWND-AM(MPH) Lgt/Var W 6 G27
20FTWND-PM(MPH) Lgt/Var SW 6 G18 W 6 G19 W 7 G27
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.11 0.40 0.15 0.16
PRECIP DURATION 1 8 6 12
PRECIP BEGIN 6 PM Continuing Continuing Continuing
PRECIP END Continuing Continuing Continuing Continuing
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 4340 3380
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 20 W 20
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 73780 57460
ADI early 9 Poor 46 Gen Good 19 Gen Poor 39 Fair
ADI late 4 Very Poor 64 Good 13 Gen Poor 41 Gen Good
Max LVORI early 6 6 5 4
Max LVORI late 7 3 6 4
Remarks...None.
$$
NYZ207-170800-
Upper Hudson Valley-
Including the cities of North Creek, Glens Falls,
Saratoga Springs, Clifton Park, Whitehall, and Cambridge
247 PM EDT Fri May 16 2025
Tonight Sat Sat Night Sun
CLOUD COVER Pcldy Mcldy Pcldy Mcldy
PRECIP TYPE Tstms Tstms Tstms Showers
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 50 90 60 80
TEMP (24H TREND) 57 (-1) 78 (-1) 49 62
RH % (24H TREND) 100 (+1) 61 (+2) 94 68
20FTWND-AM(MPH) Lgt/Var SW 7 G28
20FTWND-PM(MPH) Lgt/Var SW 7 G19 W 6 G20 W 10 G28
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.14 0.34 0.14 0.07
PRECIP DURATION 1 6 2 9
PRECIP BEGIN 6 PM 6 AM Continuing Continuing
PRECIP END 12 AM Continuing Continuing Continuing
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 4900 4000
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 18 W 17
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 78400 60000
ADI early 9 Poor 40 Fair 13 Gen Poor 45 Gen Good
ADI late 4 Very Poor 65 Good 8 Poor 47 Gen Good
Max LVORI early 6 7 5 5
Max LVORI late 8 3 6 3
Remarks...None.
$$
NYZ208-170800-
Middle Hudson Valley-
Including the cities of Amsterdam, Schenectady, Albany, Troy,
Berlin, Berne, Cairo, Catskill, Chatham, Kingston, Poughkeepsie,
Dover Plains, Ellenville, and Monticello
247 PM EDT Fri May 16 2025
Tonight Sat Sat Night Sun
CLOUD COVER Mcldy Mcldy Pcldy Pcldy
PRECIP TYPE Tstms Tstms Tstms Showers
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 30 50 50 40
TEMP (24H TREND) 61 (+2) 81 (+3) 50 67
RH % (24H TREND) 99 (+1) 52 (-13) 91 56
20FTWND-AM(MPH) S 5 G19 W 7 G32
20FTWND-PM(MPH) Lgt/Var SW 7 G19 W 6 G19 W 10 G32
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.12 0.12 0.07 0.04
PRECIP DURATION 2 3 1 2
PRECIP BEGIN 6 PM Continuing Continuing 6 AM
PRECIP END Continuing Continuing 1 AM Continuing
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 6710 4820
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 21 W 20
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 120780 81940
ADI early 8 Poor 41 Gen Good 25 Fair 60 Gen Good
ADI late 4 Very Poor 114 Very Good7 Poor 59 Gen Good
Max LVORI early 6 6 5 4
Max LVORI late 7 3 5 2
Remarks...None.
$$
NYZ209-170800-
Catskill-
Including the cities of Tannersville and Phoenicia
247 PM EDT Fri May 16 2025
Tonight Sat Sat Night Sun
CLOUD COVER Mcldy Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
PRECIP TYPE Tstms Tstms Tstms Showers
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 30 70 60 50
TEMP (24H TREND) 58 (+2) 77 (+5) 46 62
RH % (24H TREND) 99 (0) 53 (-19) 93 63
20FTWND-AM(MPH) SW 5 G21 W 7 G29
20FTWND-PM(MPH) Lgt/Var SW 7 G21 W 7 G24 W 9 G29
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.15 0.11 0.05 0.03
PRECIP DURATION 2 5 2 2
PRECIP BEGIN 6 PM Continuing Continuing 6 AM
PRECIP END Continuing Continuing 2 AM 6 PM
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 6530 4450
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 24 W 24
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 137130 93450
ADI early 9 Poor 49 Gen Good 28 Fair 57 Gen Good
ADI late 5 Very Poor 138 Very Good13 Gen Poor 63 Good
Max LVORI early 6 5 4 4
Max LVORI late 8 2 4 3
Remarks...None.
$$
VTZ036-170800-
Southern Taconics-
Including the cities of Bennington, Manchester Center, and Pownal
247 PM EDT Fri May 16 2025
Tonight Sat Sat Night Sun
CLOUD COVER Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy
PRECIP TYPE Tstms Tstms Tstms Showers
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 40 80 80 70
TEMP (24H TREND) 60 (+4) 78 (0) 48 60
RH % (24H TREND) 97 (-3) 60 (+2) 97 73
20FTWND-AM(MPH) Lgt/Var W 7 G27
20FTWND-PM(MPH) Lgt/Var SW 6 G19 W 6 G20 W 9 G27
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.10 0.41 0.23 0.17
PRECIP DURATION 2 4 4 5
PRECIP BEGIN 6 PM Continuing Continuing Continuing
PRECIP END Continuing Continuing Continuing Continuing
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 5270 3600
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 18 W 20
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 84320 61200
ADI early 9 Poor 45 Gen Good 12 Poor 38 Fair
ADI late 5 Very Poor 69 Good 11 Poor 50 Gen Good
Max LVORI early 5 5 5 4
Max LVORI late 6 3 6 3
Remarks...None.
$$
VTZ037-170800-
Southern Greens-
Including the cities of Londonderry, Stratton,
Woodford State Park, and Stamford
247 PM EDT Fri May 16 2025
Tonight Sat Sat Night Sun
CLOUD COVER Mcldy Mcldy Pcldy Pcldy
PRECIP TYPE Tstms Tstms Tstms Showers
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 40 80 70 60
TEMP (24H TREND) 59 (+3) 74 (-1) 47 60
RH % (24H TREND) 99 (0) 66 (+2) 98 70
20FTWND-AM(MPH) Lgt/Var W 5 G24
20FTWND-PM(MPH) Lgt/Var S 5 G18 W 5 G21 W 6 G24
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.12 0.28 0.15 0.10
PRECIP DURATION 2 4 5 5
PRECIP BEGIN 6 PM Continuing Continuing Continuing
PRECIP END Continuing Continuing Continuing Continuing
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 4960 4130
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 18 W 20
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 79360 70210
ADI early 8 Poor 31 Fair 14 Gen Poor 55 Gen Good
ADI late 4 Very Poor 61 Good 14 Gen Poor 59 Gen Good
Max LVORI early 6 6 5 4
Max LVORI late 8 3 5 3
Remarks...None.
$$
VTZ038-170800-
Lower Connecticut Valley South-
Including the cities of Bellows Falls, Brattleboro,
Guilford Center, and West Brattleboro
247 PM EDT Fri May 16 2025
Tonight Sat Sat Night Sun
CLOUD COVER Mcldy Mcldy Pcldy Pcldy
PRECIP TYPE Tstms Tstms Tstms Showers
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 30 80 70 50
TEMP (24H TREND) 60 (+2) 76 (-3) 50 65
RH % (24H TREND) 100 (0) 69 (+9) 93 59
20FTWND-AM(MPH) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
20FTWND-PM(MPH) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var W 5 G20
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.09 0.26 0.11 0.03
PRECIP DURATION 1 4 3 3
PRECIP BEGIN 6 PM Continuing Continuing 6 AM
PRECIP END Continuing Continuing 4 AM Continuing
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 3300 4720
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 16 W 18
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 46200 75520
ADI early 8 Poor 25 Fair 9 Poor 72 Good
ADI late 4 Very Poor 44 Gen Good 10 Poor 71 Good
Max LVORI early 6 6 5 4
Max LVORI late 8 3 5 2
Remarks...None.
$$
MAZ001-170800-
Northern Berkshire-
Including the cities of Dalton, Hancock, Pittsfield, Florida,
and North Adams
247 PM EDT Fri May 16 2025
Tonight Sat Sat Night Sun
CLOUD COVER Mcldy Mcldy Pcldy Pcldy
PRECIP TYPE Tstms Tstms Tstms Showers
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 40 70 70 50
TEMP (24H TREND) 60 (+1) 76 (-1) 48 60
RH % (24H TREND) 97 (+1) 59 (0) 91 68
20FTWND-AM(MPH) S 5 G20 W 8 G32
20FTWND-PM(MPH) Lgt/Var SW 7 G20 W 7 G23 W 11 G32
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.08 0.13 0.14 0.09
PRECIP DURATION 2 3 4 2
PRECIP BEGIN 6 PM Continuing Continuing 7 AM
PRECIP END Continuing Continuing 4 AM Continuing
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 4950 3140
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 21 W 18
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 89100 50240
ADI early 9 Poor 39 Fair 26 Fair 38 Fair
ADI late 5 Very Poor 95 Good 15 Gen Poor 49 Gen Good
Max LVORI early 5 6 4 4
Max LVORI late 7 3 4 3
Remarks...None.
$$
MAZ025-170800-
Southern Berkshire-
Including the cities of Sandisfield, Great Barrington,
and South Egremont
247 PM EDT Fri May 16 2025
Tonight Sat Sat Night Sun
CLOUD COVER Mcldy Mcldy Pcldy Pcldy
PRECIP TYPE Tstms Tstms Tstms Showers
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 30 50 60 40
TEMP (24H TREND) 60 (0) 78 (+1) 50 64
RH % (24H TREND) 99 (-1) 60 (-2) 94 63
20FTWND-AM(MPH) Lgt/Var W 7 G28
20FTWND-PM(MPH) Lgt/Var SW 7 G20 W 7 G19 W 9 G28
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.06 0.10 0.10 0.05
PRECIP DURATION 1 2 3 1
PRECIP BEGIN 7 PM Continuing Continuing 8 AM
PRECIP END Continuing Continuing 2 AM Continuing
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 5280 4060
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 22 W 20
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 100320 69020
ADI early 9 Poor 33 Fair 27 Fair 60 Gen Good
ADI late 5 Very Poor 99 Good 11 Poor 54 Gen Good
Max LVORI early 6 6 5 4
Max LVORI late 8 3 5 2
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ001-170800-
Northern Litchfield-
Including the city of Torrington
247 PM EDT Fri May 16 2025
Tonight Sat Sat Night Sun
CLOUD COVER Mcldy Mcldy Pcldy Pcldy
PRECIP TYPE Tstms Tstms Tstms Showers
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 20 40 50 20
TEMP (24H TREND) 60 (-1) 79 (+2) 52 66
RH % (24H TREND) 100 (0) 61 (-6) 91 58
20FTWND-AM(MPH) Lgt/Var W 7 G25
20FTWND-PM(MPH) Lgt/Var SW 7 G19 W 6 G17 W 9 G25
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.03 0.12 0.06 0.01
PRECIP DURATION 1 2 1 1
PRECIP BEGIN 9 PM Continuing Continuing 2 PM
PRECIP END Continuing Continuing 1 AM 6 PM
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 5340 5060
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 23 W 22
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 106800 96140
ADI early 9 Poor 28 Fair 25 Fair 94 Good
ADI late 4 Very Poor 104 Very Good10 Poor 86 Good
Max LVORI early 6 6 5 4
Max LVORI late 9 3 5 1
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ013-170800-
Southern Litchfield-
Including the cities of Oakville, Gaylordsville, New Milford,
Terryville, and Thomaston
247 PM EDT Fri May 16 2025
Tonight Sat Sat Night Sun
CLOUD COVER Mcldy Mcldy Pcldy Pcldy
PRECIP TYPE Tstms Tstms Tstms Showers
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 20 50 40 20
TEMP (24H TREND) 59 (-2) 79 (+2) 54 69
RH % (24H TREND) 100 (0) 63 (-7) 85 55
20FTWND-AM(MPH) Lgt/Var W 8 G26
20FTWND-PM(MPH) Lgt/Var SW 7 G17 SW 5 W 10 G26
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.02 0.10 0.04 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 1 2 1 0
PRECIP BEGIN 10 PM Continuing Continuing 2 PM
PRECIP END Continuing Continuing 12 AM 6 PM
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 5150 5220
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 22 W 23
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 97850 104400
ADI early 9 Poor 24 Fair 24 Fair 109 Very Good
ADI late 4 Very Poor 98 Good 8 Poor 88 Good
Max LVORI early 6 7 4 3
Max LVORI late 9 3 5 1
Remarks...None.
$$
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain showers. Lows in the
mid 40s. Highs around 60. West winds around 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Breezy. Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in
the upper 50s. North winds 15 to 25 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in the
lower 40s. Highs in the upper 50s. East winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Lows in the mid
40s. Highs in the mid 50s. Northeast winds 15 to 20 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Lows in the lower
40s. Highs in the upper 50s. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures below normal. Precipitation above normal.
$$