Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Albany, NY

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438
FNUS51 KALY 271851
FWFALY

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EASTERN NEW YORK...SOUTHERN
VERMONT...WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS AND NORTHWEST CONNECTICUT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
251 PM EDT Thu Mar 27 2025

.DISCUSSION...
Behind a cold front, a dry air mass will move into the region on
Friday, with RH values in valley areas as low as 30 percent during
the afternoon hours.  Despite the dry air, westerly winds will only
be 5 to 10 mph, limiting the potential for fire spread.  With a
frontal system located near the region, periods of rain are expected
for Friday through Monday, keeping the threat for fire weather
related issues to a minimum.

NYZ206-272000-
Southern Adirondacks-
Including the cities of Old Forge, Long Lake, Speculator, Piseco,
Northville, Caroga Lake, and Johnstown
251 PM EDT Thu Mar 27 2025

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

CLOUD COVER           Pcldy        Pcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
PRECIP TYPE           Frz Rain     None         Snow/Fz Ra   Frz Rain
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           0            90           100
TEMP (24H TREND)      22 (+3)      43 (+4)      29           53
RH % (24H TREND)      95 (+6)      36 (-2)      100          76
20FTWND-AM(MPH)                    Lgt/Var                   SW  5 G18
20FTWND-PM(MPH)       SW  5 G20    Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      W  5 G18
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.00         0.39         0.44
PRECIP DURATION       1                         10           12
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                      6 PM         Continuing
PRECIP END            3 AM                      Continuing   Continuing
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)                 4190                      2280
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  8                      W 17
VENT RATE (KT-FT)                  29330                     34200
ADI early             9 Poor       38 Fair      5 Very Poor  25 Fair
ADI late              12 Poor      38 Fair      7 Poor       25 Fair
Max LVORI early       3            4            5            6
Max LVORI late        4            2            7            4

Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ207-272000-
Upper Hudson Valley-
Including the cities of North Creek, Glens Falls,
Saratoga Springs, Clifton Park, Whitehall, and Cambridge
251 PM EDT Thu Mar 27 2025

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

CLOUD COVER           Pcldy        Pcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
PRECIP TYPE           Frz Rain     None         Snow/Rain    Frz Rain
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            90           90
TEMP (24H TREND)      28 (+2)      50 (+5)      30           57
RH % (24H TREND)      83 (+5)      28 (-1)      99           72
20FTWND-AM(MPH)                    W  6 G20                  N  5 G17
20FTWND-PM(MPH)       SW  6 G21    W  6 G20     Lgt/Var      NW  6 G17
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.26         0.32
PRECIP DURATION       1                         8            12
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                      8 PM         Continuing
PRECIP END            2 AM                      Continuing   Continuing
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)                 5270                      2000
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 14                      W 10
VENT RATE (KT-FT)                  63240                     18000
ADI early             9 Poor       55 Gen Good  5 Very Poor  10 Poor
ADI late              9 Poor       64 Good      5 Very Poor  14 Gen Poor
Max LVORI early       2            4            4            7
Max LVORI late        4            2            7            4

Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ208-272000-
Middle Hudson Valley-
Including the cities of Amsterdam, Schenectady, Albany, Troy,
Berlin, Berne, Cairo, Catskill, Chatham, Kingston, Poughkeepsie,
Dover Plains, Ellenville, and Monticello
251 PM EDT Thu Mar 27 2025

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

CLOUD COVER           Pcldy        Pcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
PRECIP TYPE           Snow Showers None         Showers      Showers
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            70           50
TEMP (24H TREND)      30 (+4)      57 (+10)     38           74
RH % (24H TREND)      84 (+5)      32 (+4)      98           48
20FTWND-AM(MPH)                    W  5 G18                  SW  6 G24
20FTWND-PM(MPH)       Lgt/Var      W  5 G18     Lgt/Var      W  8 G24
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.18         0.07
PRECIP DURATION       1                         9            3
PRECIP BEGIN          9 PM                      7 PM         Continuing
PRECIP END            4 AM                      Continuing   Continuing
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)                 5060                      6810
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 15                      W 25
VENT RATE (KT-FT)                  65780                     149820
ADI early             8 Poor       52 Gen Good  5 Very Poor  64 Good
ADI late              8 Poor       56 Gen Good  7 Poor       87 Good
Max LVORI early       2            4            4            5
Max LVORI late        3            2            7            2

Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ209-272000-
Catskill-
Including the cities of Tannersville and Phoenicia
251 PM EDT Thu Mar 27 2025

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

CLOUD COVER           Pcldy        Pcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
PRECIP TYPE           Frz Rain     None         Showers      Showers
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            80           50
TEMP (24H TREND)      28 (+4)      54 (+11)     40           70
RH % (24H TREND)      88 (+10)     33 (+4)      99           53
20FTWND-AM(MPH)                    W  5 G21                  W  8 G26
20FTWND-PM(MPH)       Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      W  9 G26
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.26         0.05
PRECIP DURATION       1                         8            2
PRECIP BEGIN          10 PM                     7 PM         Continuing
PRECIP END            4 AM                      Continuing   Continuing
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)                 4870                      6240
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 16                      W 32
VENT RATE (KT-FT)                  68180                     174720
ADI early             9 Poor       45 Gen Good  6 Very Poor  75 Good
ADI late              13 Gen Poor  57 Gen Good  13 Gen Poor  93 Good
Max LVORI early       2            4            5            4
Max LVORI late        4            2            6            1

Remarks...None.

$$

VTZ036-272000-
Southern Taconics-
Including the cities of Bennington, Manchester Center, and Pownal
251 PM EDT Thu Mar 27 2025

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

CLOUD COVER           Pcldy        Pcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
PRECIP TYPE           Snow Showers None         Frz Rain     Rain
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            90           80
TEMP (24H TREND)      29 (+3)      49 (+6)      34           57
RH % (24H TREND)      81 (+3)      33 (+1)      95           72
20FTWND-AM(MPH)                    W  8 G23                  S  5 G18
20FTWND-PM(MPH)       SW  6 G23    W  7 G23     Lgt/Var      W  5 G18
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.28         0.38
PRECIP DURATION       1                         7            11
PRECIP BEGIN          9 PM                      8 PM         Continuing
PRECIP END            3 AM                      Continuing   Continuing
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)                 4600                      2010
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 18                      W 12
VENT RATE (KT-FT)                  73600                     20100
ADI early             9 Poor       72 Good      5 Very Poor  14 Gen Poor
ADI late              12 Poor      79 Good      5 Very Poor  14 Gen Poor
Max LVORI early       2            3            3            5
Max LVORI late        4            1            6            4

Remarks...None.

$$

VTZ037-272000-
Southern Greens-
Including the cities of Londonderry, Stratton,
Woodford State Park, and Stamford
251 PM EDT Thu Mar 27 2025

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

CLOUD COVER           Pcldy        Pcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
PRECIP TYPE           Snow Showers None         Snow/Fz Ra   Frz Rain
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            80           80
TEMP (24H TREND)      27 (+4)      46 (+7)      32           53
RH % (24H TREND)      83 (+2)      34 (-2)      98           78
20FTWND-AM(MPH)                    W  7 G25                  Lgt/Var
20FTWND-PM(MPH)       Lgt/Var      W  5 G25     Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.31         0.39
PRECIP DURATION       1                         7            10
PRECIP BEGIN          9 PM                      8 PM         Continuing
PRECIP END            3 AM                      Continuing   Continuing
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)                 4740                      2010
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 20                      W 13
VENT RATE (KT-FT)                  80580                     22110
ADI early             9 Poor       73 Good      5 Very Poor  17 Gen Poor
ADI late              15 Gen Poor  81 Good      4 Very Poor  17 Gen Poor
Max LVORI early       3            3            4            6
Max LVORI late        4            1            7            4

Remarks...None.

$$

VTZ038-272000-
Lower Connecticut Valley South-
Including the cities of Bellows Falls, Brattleboro,
Guilford Center, and West Brattleboro
251 PM EDT Thu Mar 27 2025

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

CLOUD COVER           Pcldy        Pcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
PRECIP TYPE           None         None         Snow/Rain    Rain
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            80           80
TEMP (24H TREND)      30 (+3)      51 (+7)      33           53
RH % (24H TREND)      77 (0)       28 (-2)      98           71
20FTWND-AM(MPH)                    W  5 G21                  Lgt/Var
20FTWND-PM(MPH)       Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.20         0.29
PRECIP DURATION                                 7            12
PRECIP BEGIN                                    8 PM         Continuing
PRECIP END                                      Continuing   Continuing
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)                 5220                      1810
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 20                      S  9
VENT RATE (KT-FT)                  88740                     14480
ADI early             8 Poor       87 Good      4 Very Poor  13 Gen Poor
ADI late              8 Poor       103 Very Good3 Very Poor  16 Gen Poor
Max LVORI early       3            4            3            6
Max LVORI late        4            1            7            4

Remarks...None.

$$

MAZ001-272000-
Northern Berkshire-
Including the cities of Dalton, Hancock, Pittsfield, Florida,
and North Adams
251 PM EDT Thu Mar 27 2025

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

CLOUD COVER           Pcldy        Pcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
PRECIP TYPE           None         None         Rain         Rain
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            80           70
TEMP (24H TREND)      29 (+4)      49 (+8)      36           61
RH % (24H TREND)      79 (0)       30 (-3)      97           61
20FTWND-AM(MPH)                    W 11 G26                  S  7 G19
20FTWND-PM(MPH)       W  7 G25     W  9 G26     Lgt/Var      W  7 G19
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.23         0.18
PRECIP DURATION                                 7            5
PRECIP BEGIN                                    8 PM         Continuing
PRECIP END                                      Continuing   Continuing
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)                 4280                      2960
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 15                      W 17
VENT RATE (KT-FT)                  55640                     44400
ADI early             12 Poor      65 Good      6 Very Poor  29 Fair
ADI late              14 Gen Poor  67 Good      7 Poor       31 Fair
Max LVORI early       2            3            3            5
Max LVORI late        3            1            6            3

Remarks...None.

$$

MAZ025-272000-
Southern Berkshire-
Including the cities of Sandisfield, Great Barrington,
and South Egremont
251 PM EDT Thu Mar 27 2025

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

CLOUD COVER           Pcldy        Pcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
PRECIP TYPE           None         None         Rain         Rain
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            70           50
TEMP (24H TREND)      29 (+5)      53 (+10)     39           68
RH % (24H TREND)      79 (0)       32 (+1)      100          55
20FTWND-AM(MPH)                    W  8 G24                  SW  6 G20
20FTWND-PM(MPH)       Lgt/Var      W  6 G24     Lgt/Var      W  8 G20
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.20         0.13
PRECIP DURATION                                 6            2
PRECIP BEGIN                                    8 PM         Continuing
PRECIP END                                      Continuing   Continuing
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)                 4620                      4720
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 17                      W 24
VENT RATE (KT-FT)                  69300                     99120
ADI early             10 Poor      65 Good      7 Poor       40 Fair
ADI late              10 Poor      80 Good      8 Poor       63 Good
Max LVORI early       2            3            4            5
Max LVORI late        3            1            7            2

Remarks...None.

$$

CTZ001-272000-
Northern Litchfield-
Including the city of Torrington
251 PM EDT Thu Mar 27 2025

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

CLOUD COVER           Pcldy        Pcldy        Mcldy        Pcldy
PRECIP TYPE           None         None         Rain         Rain
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            60           40
TEMP (24H TREND)      31 (+6)      55 (+10)     42           71
RH % (24H TREND)      76 (-6)      34 (+4)      99           50
20FTWND-AM(MPH)                    W  6 G19                  SW  6 G21
20FTWND-PM(MPH)       Lgt/Var      W  6 G19     Lgt/Var      W  8 G21
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.17         0.07
PRECIP DURATION                                 3            2
PRECIP BEGIN                                    8 PM         Continuing
PRECIP END                                      Continuing   Continuing
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)                 4780                      6220
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 17                      W 30
VENT RATE (KT-FT)                  71700                     161720
ADI early             8 Poor       64 Good      8 Poor       58 Gen Good
ADI late              12 Poor      84 Good      10 Poor      95 Good
Max LVORI early       2            3            4            5
Max LVORI late        3            1            7            1

Remarks...None.

$$

CTZ013-272000-
Southern Litchfield-
Including the cities of Oakville, Gaylordsville, New Milford,
Terryville, and Thomaston
251 PM EDT Thu Mar 27 2025

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

CLOUD COVER           Pcldy        Pcldy        Mcldy        Pcldy
PRECIP TYPE           None         None         Rain         Rain
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            50           50
TEMP (24H TREND)      32 (+5)      57 (+10)     43           74
RH % (24H TREND)      75 (-10)     35 (+6)      98           47
20FTWND-AM(MPH)                    W  6 G17                  SW  7 G21
20FTWND-PM(MPH)       Lgt/Var      W  6 G17     Lgt/Var      W  9 G21
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.15         0.05
PRECIP DURATION                                 2            2
PRECIP BEGIN                                    8 PM         Continuing
PRECIP END                                      Continuing   Continuing
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)                 4870                      6800
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 18                      W 32
VENT RATE (KT-FT)                  77920                     190400
ADI early             7 Poor       66 Good      11 Poor      95 Good
ADI late              11 Poor      92 Good      8 Poor       146 Very Good
Max LVORI early       2            3            4            5
Max LVORI late        3            1            7            1

Remarks...None.

$$

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with rain and freezing rain likely. Lows
in the upper 30s. Highs in the mid 50s. Southeast winds 10 to
15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with rain likely. Lows in the mid 40s.
Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.TUESDAY...Windy. Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain showers. Lows
in the upper 20s. Highs in the lower 40s. Northwest winds 25 to
30 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Breezy. Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 20s. Highs
in the mid 40s. Southeast winds 20 to 25 mph.
.THURSDAY...Breezy. Mostly cloudy with rain or snow likely.
Warmer. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the upper 50s. South
winds 20 to 25 mph.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation above normal.

$$