Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Albany, NY

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819
FNUS51 KALY 121944
FWFALY

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EASTERN NEW YORK...SOUTHERN
VERMONT...WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS AND NORTHWEST CONNECTICUT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
344 PM EDT Sun Oct 12 2025

.DISCUSSION...
A coastal low pressure system brings widespread rainfall to eastern
New York and western New England this evening into tonight.
Rain continues into the day tomorrow becoming more scattered for
tomorrow afternoon and evening before dry conditions return
Tuesday. Dry conditions continue through the end of the work
week into at least the first half of the weekend.

NYZ206-130815-
Southern Adirondacks-
Including the cities of Old Forge, Long Lake, Speculator, Piseco,
Northville, Caroga Lake, and Johnstown
344 PM EDT Sun Oct 12 2025

                      Tonight      Columbus Day Mon Night    Tue

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy        Pcldy
Precip Type           Rain         Showers      Showers      None
Chance Precip (%)     60           70           50           0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0
Temp (24H Trend)      41 (+3)      57 (-3)      41           63
RH % (24H Trend)      100 (+1)     69 (+22)     100          61
Wind 20ft/early(MPH)               E  6 G23                  Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(MPH)   E  6 G24     E  6 G23     Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Precip Amount         0.09         0.31         0.08         0.00
Precip Duration       3            7            2
Precip Begin          11 PM        Continuing   Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   Continuing   6 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)             2490                      3380
Transport Wnd (mph)                E 17                      N  9
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                  37350                     27040
ADI early             Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
ADI late              Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
Max LVORI early       6            8            9            10
Max LVORI late        8            6            9            4

Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ207-130815-
Upper Hudson Valley-
Including the cities of North Creek, Glens Falls,
Saratoga Springs, Clifton Park, Whitehall, and Cambridge
344 PM EDT Sun Oct 12 2025

                      Tonight      Columbus Day Mon Night    Tue

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Cloudy       Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type           Rain         Rain         Rain         Showers
Chance Precip (%)     80           80           60           50
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0
Temp (24H Trend)      43 (+3)      55 (-7)      43           63
RH % (24H Trend)      100 (+1)     78 (+24)     100          67
Wind 20ft/early(MPH)               NE 10 G24                 N  5
Wind 20ft/late(MPH)   NE  7 G24    NE 10 G24    NE  8 G19    N  5
Precip Amount         0.21         0.63         0.11         0.00
Precip Duration       5            9            6            1
Precip Begin          6 PM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   2 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)             2390                      2720
Transport Wnd (mph)                NE 17                     N  8
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                  35850                     19040
ADI early             Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
ADI late              Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
Max LVORI early       6            9            10           9
Max LVORI late        9            7            9            6

Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ208-130815-
Middle Hudson Valley-
Including the cities of Amsterdam, Schenectady, Albany, Troy,
Berlin, Berne, Cairo, Catskill, Chatham, Kingston, Poughkeepsie,
Dover Plains, Ellenville, and Monticello
344 PM EDT Sun Oct 12 2025

                      Tonight      Columbus Day Mon Night    Tue

Cloud Cover           Cloudy       Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type           Rain         Rain         Showers      None
Chance Precip (%)     90           90           60           0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0
Temp (24H Trend)      44 (-3)      55 (-5)      45           64
RH % (24H Trend)      100 (+3)     81 (+15)     100          66
Wind 20ft/early(MPH)               NE 12 G32                 N  8 G25
Wind 20ft/late(MPH)   NE 10 G32    NE 11 G32    NE  9 G27    N  7 G25
Precip Amount         0.45         0.49         0.07         0.00
Precip Duration       9            10           6
Precip Begin          6 PM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   Continuing   6 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)             2640                      3590
Transport Wnd (mph)                NE 20                     N 13
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                  44880                     39490
ADI early             Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
ADI late              Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
Max LVORI early       8            10           9            10
Max LVORI late        10           9            9            6

Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ209-130815-
Catskill-
Including the cities of Tannersville and Phoenicia
344 PM EDT Sun Oct 12 2025

                      Tonight      Columbus Day Mon Night    Tue

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy        Pcldy
Precip Type           Rain         Rain         Showers      None
Chance Precip (%)     90           90           60           0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0
Temp (24H Trend)      41 (-3)      53 (-4)      41           63
RH % (24H Trend)      100 (+1)     79 (+12)     100          65
Wind 20ft/early(MPH)               NE 12 G33                 N  7 G25
Wind 20ft/late(MPH)   NE  9 G34    NE  9 G33    NE  9 G26    N  6 G25
Precip Amount         0.51         0.66         0.08         0.00
Precip Duration       8            10           6
Precip Begin          6 PM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   Continuing   6 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)             3110                      3640
Transport Wnd (mph)                NE 22                     N 13
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                  59090                     40040
ADI early             Very Poor    1 Very Poor  1 Very Poor  Very Poor
ADI late              Very Poor    1 Very Poor  Very Poor    Very Poor
Max LVORI early       8            10           9            9
Max LVORI late        9            8            9            5

Remarks...None.

$$

VTZ036-130815-
Southern Taconics-
Including the cities of Bennington, Manchester Center, and Pownal
344 PM EDT Sun Oct 12 2025

                      Tonight      Columbus Day Mon Night    Tue

Cloud Cover           Cloudy       Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type           Rain         Rain         Rain         Showers
Chance Precip (%)     90           80           80           50
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0
Temp (24H Trend)      41 (-3)      54 (-5)      41           61
RH % (24H Trend)      100 (+6)     75 (+15)     100          69
Wind 20ft/early(MPH)               NE 12 G28                 Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(MPH)   E 10 G29     E 10 G28     E  9 G21     N  5
Precip Amount         0.29         0.34         0.08         0.02
Precip Duration       7            11           7            2
Precip Begin          6 PM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   2 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)             2750                      2270
Transport Wnd (mph)                E 22                      N  7
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                  52250                     13620
ADI early             Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
ADI late              Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
Max LVORI early       8            10           9            10
Max LVORI late        9            7            9            6

Remarks...None.

$$

VTZ037-130815-
Southern Greens-
Including the cities of Londonderry, Stratton,
Woodford State Park, and Stamford
344 PM EDT Sun Oct 12 2025

                      Tonight      Columbus Day Mon Night    Tue

Cloud Cover           Cloudy       Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type           Rain         Rain         Rain         Showers
Chance Precip (%)     90           90           80           60
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0
Temp (24H Trend)      40 (-4)      50 (-5)      41           58
RH % (24H Trend)      100 (+5)     88 (+17)     100          79
Wind 20ft/early(MPH)               NE 10 G29                 Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(MPH)   E  8 G31     NE  8 G29    NE  6 G23    Lgt/Var
Precip Amount         0.43         0.55         0.18         0.04
Precip Duration       7            11           9            3
Precip Begin          6 PM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   2 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)             2680                      2140
Transport Wnd (mph)                E 25                      NE  9
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                  58960                     17120
ADI early             Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
ADI late              Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
Max LVORI early       10           10           10           10
Max LVORI late        10           9            10           7

Remarks...None.

$$

VTZ038-130815-
Lower Connecticut Valley South-
Including the cities of Bellows Falls, Brattleboro,
Guilford Center, and West Brattleboro
344 PM EDT Sun Oct 12 2025

                      Tonight      Columbus Day Mon Night    Tue

Cloud Cover           Cloudy       Cloudy       Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type           Rain         Rain         Rain         Showers
Chance Precip (%)     80           90           80           60
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0
Temp (24H Trend)      42 (-2)      51 (-7)      44           60
RH % (24H Trend)      100 (+4)     86 (+17)     100          75
Wind 20ft/early(MPH)               NE  7 G25                 Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(MPH)   NE  7 G26    NE  6 G25    NE  5 G18    Lgt/Var
Precip Amount         0.47         0.62         0.20         0.04
Precip Duration       7            10           10           3
Precip Begin          6 PM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   2 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)             2570                      2120
Transport Wnd (mph)                NE 18                     N 10
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                  41120                     19080
ADI early             Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
ADI late              Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
Max LVORI early       9            10           10           10
Max LVORI late        10           10           10           8

Remarks...None.

$$

MAZ001-130815-
Northern Berkshire-
Including the cities of Dalton, Hancock, Pittsfield, Florida,
and North Adams
344 PM EDT Sun Oct 12 2025

                      Tonight      Columbus Day Mon Night    Tue

Cloud Cover           Cloudy       Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type           Rain         Rain         Rain         Showers
Chance Precip (%)     90           90           80           40
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0
Temp (24H Trend)      41 (-3)      53 (-3)      41           60
RH % (24H Trend)      100 (+5)     78 (+11)     100          70
Wind 20ft/early(MPH)               NE 16 G33                 NE  7 G21
Wind 20ft/late(MPH)   E 13 G34     E 13 G33     NE 11 G26    N  6 G21
Precip Amount         0.38         0.36         0.10         0.02
Precip Duration       9            10           7            1
Precip Begin          6 PM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   2 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)             2670                      2340
Transport Wnd (mph)                E 25                      NE 10
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                  58740                     21060
ADI early             Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
ADI late              Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
Max LVORI early       9            10           10           10
Max LVORI late        10           8            10           6

Remarks...None.

$$

MAZ025-130815-
Southern Berkshire-
Including the cities of Sandisfield, Great Barrington,
and South Egremont
344 PM EDT Sun Oct 12 2025

                      Tonight      Columbus Day Mon Night    Tue

Cloud Cover           Cloudy       Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type           Rain         Rain         Rain         Showers
Chance Precip (%)     90           90           80           50
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0
Temp (24H Trend)      44 (-2)      54 (-3)      44           60
RH % (24H Trend)      100 (+5)     83 (+16)     100          73
Wind 20ft/early(MPH)               NE 14 G33                 N  8 G23
Wind 20ft/late(MPH)   NE 12 G34    NE 12 G33    NE 11 G27    N  6 G23
Precip Amount         0.40         0.29         0.10         0.01
Precip Duration       10           10           7            1
Precip Begin          6 PM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   2 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)             2680                      2440
Transport Wnd (mph)                NE 29                     N 13
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                  67000                     26840
ADI early             Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
ADI late              Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
Max LVORI early       10           10           10           10
Max LVORI late        10           8            10           6

Remarks...None.

$$

CTZ001-130815-
Northern Litchfield-
Including the city of Torrington
344 PM EDT Sun Oct 12 2025

                      Tonight      Columbus Day Mon Night    Tue

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type           Rain         Rain         Rain         Showers
Chance Precip (%)     90           90           80           40
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0
Temp (24H Trend)      45 (-3)      54 (-3)      46           60
RH % (24H Trend)      100 (+4)     88 (+17)     100          76
Wind 20ft/early(MPH)               NE 15 G32                 N  9 G24
Wind 20ft/late(MPH)   NE 13 G33    NE 13 G32    NE 12 G31    N  8 G24
Precip Amount         0.45         0.28         0.11         0.01
Precip Duration       11           10           8            1
Precip Begin          6 PM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   2 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)             2650                      2610
Transport Wnd (mph)                NE 29                     N 16
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                  66250                     36540
ADI early             Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
ADI late              Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
Max LVORI early       10           10           10           10
Max LVORI late        10           10           10           7

Remarks...None.

$$

CTZ013-130815-
Southern Litchfield-
Including the cities of Oakville, Gaylordsville, New Milford,
Terryville, and Thomaston
344 PM EDT Sun Oct 12 2025

                      Tonight      Columbus Day Mon Night    Tue

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type           Rain         Rain         Rain         Showers
Chance Precip (%)     90           90           80           40
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0
Temp (24H Trend)      48 (0)       56 (-2)      47           61
RH % (24H Trend)      100 (+1)     93 (+23)     100          80
Wind 20ft/early(MPH)               NE 18 G34                 N 12 G25
Wind 20ft/late(MPH)   NE 15 G35    NE 16 G34    NE 15 G32    N 10 G25
Precip Amount         0.50         0.32         0.11         0.01
Precip Duration       12           10           8            1
Precip Begin          6 PM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   2 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)             2380                      2490
Transport Wnd (mph)                NE 29                     NE 18
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                  59500                     39840
ADI early             Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
ADI late              Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
Max LVORI early       10           10           10           10
Max LVORI late        10           10           10           7

Remarks...None.

$$

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the
lower 50s. Northwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.THURSDAY...Breezy. Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs
in the lower 50s. Northwest winds 15 to 25 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the mid
50s. Northwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the
lower 60s. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers. Lows in the mid
40s. Highs in the mid 60s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation above normal.

$$