Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Albany, NY

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838
FNUS51 KALY 021748
FWFALY

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EASTERN NEW YORK...SOUTHERN
VERMONT...WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS AND NORTHWEST CONNECTICUT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
146 PM EDT Wed Jul 2 2025

.DISCUSSION...
A cold front be near the New England Coast, as weak
high pressure will build in during the day with seasonable
temperatures and fair weather.  A strong cold front and an upper
level disturbance will bring some isolated to scattered strong to
severe thunderstorms on Thursday, as a cooler and drier air mass
will build in for Independence Day and the opening portion of the
holiday weekend before the heat and humidity increase by Sunday.

NYZ206-030800-
Southern Adirondacks-
Including the cities of Old Forge, Long Lake, Speculator, Piseco,
Northville, Caroga Lake, and Johnstown
146 PM EDT Wed Jul 2 2025

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Independence Day

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Pcldy        Mclear       Mclear
Precip Type           None         Tstms        None         None
Chance Precip (%)     0            30           0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            20           0            0
Temp (24H Trend)      56 (-5)      78 (-1)      49           75
RH % (24H Trend)      94 (-5)      53 (0)       100          45
Wind 20ft/early(MPH)               Lgt/Var                   Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(MPH)   Lgt/Var      W  5 G18     Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Precip Amount         0.00         0.08         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration                    1
Precip Begin                       8 AM
Precip End                         6 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)             5300                      7430
Transport Wnd (mph)                W 15                      NW 13
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                  68900                     81730
ADI early             6 Very Poor  43 Gen Good  8 Poor       Very Poor
ADI late              4 Very Poor  78 Good      Very Poor    Very Poor
Max LVORI early       4            6            7            8
Max LVORI late        6            1            9            3

Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ207-030800-
Upper Hudson Valley-
Including the cities of North Creek, Glens Falls,
Saratoga Springs, Clifton Park, Whitehall, and Cambridge
146 PM EDT Wed Jul 2 2025

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Independence Day

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Pcldy        Mclear       Mclear
Precip Type           None         Tstms        None         None
Chance Precip (%)     0            20           0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            20           0            0
Temp (24H Trend)      59 (-7)      84 (0)       53           80
RH % (24H Trend)      88 (-8)      48 (-1)      96           41
Wind 20ft/early(MPH)               Lgt/Var                   Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(MPH)   Lgt/Var      W  6 G19     Lgt/Var      NW  5
Precip Amount         0.00         0.09         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration                    1
Precip Begin                       11 AM
Precip End                         6 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)             6420                      7860
Transport Wnd (mph)                W 15                      NW 14
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                  83460                     94320
ADI early             5 Very Poor  52 Gen Good  7 Poor       Very Poor
ADI late              3 Very Poor  67 Good      Very Poor    Very Poor
Max LVORI early       4            5            6            7
Max LVORI late        5            1            8            2

Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ208-030800-
Middle Hudson Valley-
Including the cities of Amsterdam, Schenectady, Albany, Troy,
Berlin, Berne, Cairo, Catskill, Chatham, Kingston, Poughkeepsie,
Dover Plains, Ellenville, and Monticello
146 PM EDT Wed Jul 2 2025

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Independence Day

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Pcldy        Mclear       Mclear
Precip Type           None         Tstms        None         None
Chance Precip (%)     0            30           0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            30           0            0
Temp (24H Trend)      59 (-8)      86 (+2)      55           81
RH % (24H Trend)      92 (-7)      46 (-5)      96           41
Wind 20ft/early(MPH)               Lgt/Var                   Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(MPH)   Lgt/Var      W  6 G18     Lgt/Var      NW  5 G17
Precip Amount         0.00         0.10         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration                    1
Precip Begin                       11 AM
Precip End                         6 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)             7900                      7890
Transport Wnd (mph)                W 13                      NW 16
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                  86900                     110460
ADI early             4 Very Poor  59 Gen Good  8 Poor       Very Poor
ADI late              3 Very Poor  85 Good      Very Poor    Very Poor
Max LVORI early       4            5            6            8
Max LVORI late        6            1            8            2

Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ209-030800-
Catskill-
Including the cities of Tannersville and Phoenicia
146 PM EDT Wed Jul 2 2025

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Independence Day

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Pcldy        Mclear       Mclear
Precip Type           None         Tstms        Showers      None
Chance Precip (%)     0            30           30           0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            20           0            0
Temp (24H Trend)      56 (-7)      83 (+3)      51           78
RH % (24H Trend)      89 (-10)     49 (-1)      94           42
Wind 20ft/early(MPH)               Lgt/Var                   Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(MPH)   Lgt/Var      W  5 G17     Lgt/Var      NW  5
Precip Amount         0.00         0.08         0.03         0.00
Precip Duration                    1            0
Precip Begin                       11 AM        Continuing
Precip End                         Continuing   8 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)             7550                      7140
Transport Wnd (mph)                W 14                      NW 16
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                  90600                     99960
ADI early             4 Very Poor  90 Good      11 Poor      Very Poor
ADI late              4 Very Poor  91 Good      Very Poor    Very Poor
Max LVORI early       4            4            6            7
Max LVORI late        5            1            7            2

Remarks...None.

$$

VTZ036-030800-
Southern Taconics-
Including the cities of Bennington, Manchester Center, and Pownal
146 PM EDT Wed Jul 2 2025

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Independence Day

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Pcldy        Mclear       Mclear
Precip Type           None         Tstms        Showers      None
Chance Precip (%)     0            40           30           0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            40           0            0
Temp (24H Trend)      58 (-7)      83 (+3)      52           77
RH % (24H Trend)      90 (-8)      51 (-4)      98           46
Wind 20ft/early(MPH)               Lgt/Var                   Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(MPH)   Lgt/Var      W  6 G18     Lgt/Var      NW  5 G17
Precip Amount         0.00         0.13         0.05         0.00
Precip Duration                    1            0
Precip Begin                       12 PM        Continuing
Precip End                         Continuing   9 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)             5900                      6510
Transport Wnd (mph)                W 13                      NW 16
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                  64900                     91140
ADI early             4 Very Poor  57 Gen Good  6 Very Poor  Very Poor
ADI late              3 Very Poor  68 Good      Very Poor    Very Poor
Max LVORI early       4            5            7            8
Max LVORI late        6            2            9            3

Remarks...None.

$$

VTZ037-030800-
Southern Greens-
Including the cities of Londonderry, Stratton,
Woodford State Park, and Stamford
146 PM EDT Wed Jul 2 2025

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Independence Day

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Pcldy        Mclear       Mclear
Precip Type           None         Tstms        Showers      None
Chance Precip (%)     0            50           30           0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            50           0            0
Temp (24H Trend)      58 (-7)      81 (+3)      52           75
RH % (24H Trend)      90 (-7)      51 (-5)      97           47
Wind 20ft/early(MPH)               Lgt/Var                   Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(MPH)   Lgt/Var      W  5 G18     Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Precip Amount         0.00         0.10         0.04         0.00
Precip Duration                    1            0
Precip Begin                       1 PM         Continuing
Precip End                         Continuing   9 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)             6870                      6820
Transport Wnd (mph)                W 15                      NW 17
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                  89310                     102300
ADI early             5 Very Poor  89 Good      8 Poor       Very Poor
ADI late              4 Very Poor  94 Good      Very Poor    Very Poor
Max LVORI early       5            5            7            7
Max LVORI late        5            2            8            3

Remarks...None.

$$

VTZ038-030800-
Lower Connecticut Valley South-
Including the cities of Bellows Falls, Brattleboro,
Guilford Center, and West Brattleboro
146 PM EDT Wed Jul 2 2025

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Independence Day

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Mclear       Mclear       Mclear
Precip Type           None         Tstms        Showers      None
Chance Precip (%)     0            40           30           0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            40           0            0
Temp (24H Trend)      61 (-6)      86 (+3)      56           78
RH % (24H Trend)      90 (-5)      41 (-10)     96           42
Wind 20ft/early(MPH)               Lgt/Var                   Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(MPH)   Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Precip Amount         0.00         0.05         0.02         0.00
Precip Duration                    1            0
Precip Begin                       1 PM         Continuing
Precip End                         Continuing   8 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)             7970                      6940
Transport Wnd (mph)                W 14                      NW 18
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                  95640                     111040
ADI early             4 Very Poor  102 Very Good5 Very Poor  Very Poor
ADI late              4 Very Poor  115 Very GoodVery Poor    Very Poor
Max LVORI early       4            5            6            7
Max LVORI late        6            2            8            2

Remarks...None.

$$

MAZ001-030800-
Northern Berkshire-
Including the cities of Dalton, Hancock, Pittsfield, Florida,
and North Adams
146 PM EDT Wed Jul 2 2025

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Independence Day

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Pcldy        Mclear       Mclear
Precip Type           None         Tstms        Showers      None
Chance Precip (%)     0            50           20           0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            50           0            0
Temp (24H Trend)      59 (-7)      84 (+4)      53           77
RH % (24H Trend)      86 (-11)     46 (-4)      94           41
Wind 20ft/early(MPH)               Lgt/Var                   NW  5 G18
Wind 20ft/late(MPH)   Lgt/Var      W  7 G19     NW  6 G18    NW  7 G18
Precip Amount         0.00         0.09         0.04         0.00
Precip Duration                    1            0
Precip Begin                       1 PM         Continuing
Precip End                         Continuing   8 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)             6850                      6560
Transport Wnd (mph)                W 14                      NW 18
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                  82200                     104960
ADI early             4 Very Poor  83 Good      11 Poor      Very Poor
ADI late              4 Very Poor  97 Good      Very Poor    Very Poor
Max LVORI early       4            4            5            7
Max LVORI late        5            1            7            2

Remarks...None.

$$

MAZ025-030800-
Southern Berkshire-
Including the cities of Sandisfield, Great Barrington,
and South Egremont
146 PM EDT Wed Jul 2 2025

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Independence Day

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Mclear       Mclear       Mclear
Precip Type           None         Tstms        Tstms        None
Chance Precip (%)     0            50           30           0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            50           20           0
Temp (24H Trend)      60 (-6)      85 (+3)      56           78
RH % (24H Trend)      87 (-13)     45 (-6)      94           43
Wind 20ft/early(MPH)               Lgt/Var                   Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(MPH)   Lgt/Var      W  6 G17     NW  5 G17    NW  6 G18
Precip Amount         0.00         0.15         0.06         0.00
Precip Duration                    1            0
Precip Begin                       1 PM         Continuing
Precip End                         Continuing   8 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)             7660                      6780
Transport Wnd (mph)                W 14                      NW 17
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                  91920                     101700
ADI early             4 Very Poor  70 Good      9 Poor       Very Poor
ADI late              4 Very Poor  101 Very GoodVery Poor    Very Poor
Max LVORI early       4            5            6            8
Max LVORI late        5            1            8            2

Remarks...None.

$$

CTZ001-030800-
Northern Litchfield-
Including the city of Torrington
146 PM EDT Wed Jul 2 2025

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Independence Day

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Mclear       Mclear       Mclear
Precip Type           None         Tstms        Showers      None
Chance Precip (%)     0            30           40           0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            30           0            0
Temp (24H Trend)      61 (-6)      86 (+3)      57           79
RH % (24H Trend)      86 (-14)     44 (-11)     91           43
Wind 20ft/early(MPH)               Lgt/Var                   Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(MPH)   Lgt/Var      W  5 G17     Lgt/Var      NW  6 G17
Precip Amount         0.00         0.07         0.04         0.00
Precip Duration                    1            0
Precip Begin                       1 PM         Continuing
Precip End                         Continuing   8 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)             7870                      6830
Transport Wnd (mph)                W 14                      NW 17
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                  94440                     102450
ADI early             4 Very Poor  62 Good      10 Poor      Very Poor
ADI late              4 Very Poor  99 Good      Very Poor    Very Poor
Max LVORI early       4            5            6            7
Max LVORI late        5            1            7            2

Remarks...None.

$$

CTZ013-030800-
Southern Litchfield-
Including the cities of Oakville, Gaylordsville, New Milford,
Terryville, and Thomaston
146 PM EDT Wed Jul 2 2025

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Independence Day

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Mclear       Mclear       Mclear
Precip Type           None         Tstms        Tstms        None
Chance Precip (%)     0            30           40           0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            30           40           0
Temp (24H Trend)      62 (-6)      89 (+5)      59           81
RH % (24H Trend)      90 (-10)     43 (-16)     89           43
Wind 20ft/early(MPH)               Lgt/Var                   Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(MPH)   Lgt/Var      W  6         Lgt/Var      NW  6
Precip Amount         0.00         0.03         0.02         0.00
Precip Duration                    0            1
Precip Begin                       3 PM         Continuing
Precip End                         Continuing   9 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)             7660                      6460
Transport Wnd (mph)                W 14                      NW 16
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                  91920                     90440
ADI early             4 Very Poor  64 Good      12 Poor      Very Poor
ADI late              4 Very Poor  105 Very GoodVery Poor    Very Poor
Max LVORI early       5            5            6            6
Max LVORI late        6            1            6            2

Remarks...None.

$$

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the
lower 80s. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the
upper 80s. South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the upper 80s. South winds around
5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 60s. Highs around 80. North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers. Lows in the
lower 60s. Highs around 80. North winds around 5 mph.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures near normal.  Precipitation near normal.

$$