Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Albany, NY
Issued by NWS Albany, NY
669
FNUS51 KALY 111847
FWFALY
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EASTERN NEW YORK...SOUTHERN
VERMONT...WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS AND NORTHWEST CONNECTICUT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
246 PM EDT Sat Oct 11 2025
.DISCUSSION...
Increasing clouds, but primarily dry day today as an upper level
disturbance approaches from the west and high pressure departs
to the east. Continued uncertainty surrounding an impending
coastal storm makes for a difficult forecast for the end of the
Holiday weekend, but there remains moderate to high confidence
in at least areas within and south of the Capital District
having measurable rainfall.
NYZ206-120800-
Southern Adirondacks-
Including the cities of Old Forge, Long Lake, Speculator, Piseco,
Northville, Caroga Lake, and Johnstown
246 PM EDT Sat Oct 11 2025
Tonight Sun Sun Night Columbus Day
Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type None None Rain Rain
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 60 60
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Temp (24H Trend) 38 (+3) 63 (+1) 41 56
RH % (24H Trend) 100 (+3) 47 (-3) 100 70
Wind 20ft/early(MPH) Lgt/Var E 6 G21
Wind 20ft/late(MPH) Lgt/Var E 5 G19 E 5 G23 NE 5 G21
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.14 0.26
Precip Duration 4 7
Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl) 4510 2530
Transport Wnd (mph) E 16 E 16
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 63140 35420
ADI early Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor
ADI late Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor
Max LVORI early 8 10 6 9
Max LVORI late 9 3 9 5
Remarks...None.
$$
NYZ207-120800-
Upper Hudson Valley-
Including the cities of North Creek, Glens Falls,
Saratoga Springs, Clifton Park, Whitehall, and Cambridge
246 PM EDT Sat Oct 11 2025
Tonight Sun Sun Night Columbus Day
Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type None Rain Rain Rain
Chance Precip (%) 0 20 70 70
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Temp (24H Trend) 40 (+6) 63 (-1) 43 56
RH % (24H Trend) 100 (+1) 54 (+1) 100 76
Wind 20ft/early(MPH) NE 5 G21 NE 9 G25
Wind 20ft/late(MPH) Lgt/Var E 7 G21 NE 7 G25 NE 8 G25
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.22 0.43
Precip Duration 0 5 9
Precip Begin 2 PM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl) 4380 2570
Transport Wnd (mph) E 16 NE 16
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 61320 35980
ADI early Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor
ADI late Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor
Max LVORI early 8 10 7 9
Max LVORI late 9 4 9 7
Remarks...None.
$$
NYZ208-120800-
Middle Hudson Valley-
Including the cities of Amsterdam, Schenectady, Albany, Troy,
Berlin, Berne, Cairo, Catskill, Chatham, Kingston, Poughkeepsie,
Dover Plains, Ellenville, and Monticello
246 PM EDT Sat Oct 11 2025
Tonight Sun Sun Night Columbus Day
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type Showers Rain Rain Rain
Chance Precip (%) 20 30 80 80
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Temp (24H Trend) 44 (+6) 61 (-4) 44 56
RH % (24H Trend) 100 (+1) 63 (+1) 100 79
Wind 20ft/early(MPH) NE 6 G26 NE 10 G29
Wind 20ft/late(MPH) Lgt/Var NE 9 G26 NE 8 G29 NE 9 G29
Precip Amount 0.01 0.07 0.43 0.53
Precip Duration 1 1 9 11
Precip Begin 6 PM 6 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End 4 AM Continuing Continuing Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl) 3830 2970
Transport Wnd (mph) E 18 NE 17
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 61280 44550
ADI early Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor
ADI late Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor
Max LVORI early 9 9 9 10
Max LVORI late 10 5 9 8
Remarks...None.
$$
NYZ209-120800-
Catskill-
Including the cities of Tannersville and Phoenicia
246 PM EDT Sat Oct 11 2025
Tonight Sun Sun Night Columbus Day
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type Showers Rain Rain Rain
Chance Precip (%) 30 30 80 80
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Temp (24H Trend) 42 (+6) 59 (-2) 41 54
RH % (24H Trend) 100 (+1) 65 (+1) 100 78
Wind 20ft/early(MPH) E 6 G23 NE 9 G31
Wind 20ft/late(MPH) Lgt/Var NE 7 G23 NE 8 G32 NE 7 G31
Precip Amount 0.02 0.06 0.56 0.68
Precip Duration 1 1 9 11
Precip Begin 6 PM 11 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End 4 AM Continuing Continuing Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl) 3270 2960
Transport Wnd (mph) E 17 NE 18
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 49050 47360
ADI early Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor
ADI late Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor
Max LVORI early 9 9 8 9
Max LVORI late 10 5 9 7
Remarks...None.
$$
VTZ036-120800-
Southern Taconics-
Including the cities of Bennington, Manchester Center, and Pownal
246 PM EDT Sat Oct 11 2025
Tonight Sun Sun Night Columbus Day
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type None Rain Rain Rain
Chance Precip (%) 0 30 80 70
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Temp (24H Trend) 40 (+4) 59 (-5) 41 55
RH % (24H Trend) 100 (0) 60 (+9) 100 74
Wind 20ft/early(MPH) E 6 G27 NE 10 G31
Wind 20ft/late(MPH) Lgt/Var E 9 G27 E 9 G32 NE 8 G31
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.29 0.46
Precip Duration 1 9 10
Precip Begin 12 PM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl) 3520 2930
Transport Wnd (mph) E 20 E 16
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 59840 41020
ADI early Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor
ADI late Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor
Max LVORI early 8 10 8 9
Max LVORI late 10 4 9 7
Remarks...None.
$$
VTZ037-120800-
Southern Greens-
Including the cities of Londonderry, Stratton,
Woodford State Park, and Stamford
246 PM EDT Sat Oct 11 2025
Tonight Sun Sun Night Columbus Day
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type None Rain Rain Rain
Chance Precip (%) 0 30 80 80
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Temp (24H Trend) 40 (+6) 56 (-5) 40 52
RH % (24H Trend) 100 (0) 71 (+15) 100 86
Wind 20ft/early(MPH) E 5 G27 NE 9 G32
Wind 20ft/late(MPH) Lgt/Var E 6 G27 E 7 G32 NE 6 G32
Precip Amount 0.00 0.02 0.42 0.59
Precip Duration 1 10 11
Precip Begin 11 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl) 3530 2860
Transport Wnd (mph) E 20 E 20
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 60010 48620
ADI early Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor
ADI late Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor
Max LVORI early 9 10 9 10
Max LVORI late 10 6 9 9
Remarks...None.
$$
VTZ038-120800-
Lower Connecticut Valley South-
Including the cities of Bellows Falls, Brattleboro,
Guilford Center, and West Brattleboro
246 PM EDT Sat Oct 11 2025
Tonight Sun Sun Night Columbus Day
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type None Rain Rain Rain
Chance Precip (%) 0 20 80 80
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Temp (24H Trend) 40 (+5) 58 (-6) 44 53
RH % (24H Trend) 100 (0) 69 (+14) 100 82
Wind 20ft/early(MPH) Lgt/Var NE 6 G27
Wind 20ft/late(MPH) Lgt/Var E 5 G21 NE 6 G27 NE 5 G27
Precip Amount 0.00 0.01 0.39 0.54
Precip Duration 1 10 11
Precip Begin 11 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl) 3620 2780
Transport Wnd (mph) E 17 NE 18
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 54300 44480
ADI early Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor
ADI late Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor
Max LVORI early 9 10 9 10
Max LVORI late 10 6 9 9
Remarks...None.
$$
MAZ001-120800-
Northern Berkshire-
Including the cities of Dalton, Hancock, Pittsfield, Florida,
and North Adams
246 PM EDT Sat Oct 11 2025
Tonight Sun Sun Night Columbus Day
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type None Rain Rain Rain
Chance Precip (%) 0 30 80 80
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Temp (24H Trend) 41 (+6) 57 (-5) 41 54
RH % (24H Trend) 100 (0) 66 (+9) 100 76
Wind 20ft/early(MPH) E 9 G28 NE 14 G34
Wind 20ft/late(MPH) Lgt/Var E 11 G28 E 12 G34 NE 11 G34
Precip Amount 0.00 0.04 0.43 0.51
Precip Duration 1 11 11
Precip Begin 11 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl) 3110 2940
Transport Wnd (mph) E 22 E 24
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 59090 61740
ADI early Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor
ADI late Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor
Max LVORI early 10 10 9 9
Max LVORI late 10 5 9 7
Remarks...None.
$$
MAZ025-120800-
Southern Berkshire-
Including the cities of Sandisfield, Great Barrington,
and South Egremont
246 PM EDT Sat Oct 11 2025
Tonight Sun Sun Night Columbus Day
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Cloudy Mcldy
Precip Type None Rain Rain Rain
Chance Precip (%) 0 40 90 80
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Temp (24H Trend) 44 (+5) 59 (-4) 44 55
RH % (24H Trend) 100 (+1) 70 (+7) 100 81
Wind 20ft/early(MPH) E 8 G28 NE 12 G33
Wind 20ft/late(MPH) Lgt/Var E 10 G28 NE 11 G33 NE 10 G33
Precip Amount 0.00 0.07 0.47 0.50
Precip Duration 1 11 12
Precip Begin 11 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl) 2930 3010
Transport Wnd (mph) E 23 E 28
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 58600 72240
ADI early Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor
ADI late Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor
Max LVORI early 10 10 10 10
Max LVORI late 10 5 10 8
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ001-120800-
Northern Litchfield-
Including the city of Torrington
246 PM EDT Sat Oct 11 2025
Tonight Sun Sun Night Columbus Day
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type None Rain Rain Rain
Chance Precip (%) 0 60 90 90
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Temp (24H Trend) 46 (+5) 58 (-5) 46 55
RH % (24H Trend) 100 (+2) 77 (+8) 100 86
Wind 20ft/early(MPH) NE 9 G32 NE 13 G32
Wind 20ft/late(MPH) Lgt/Var NE 11 G32 NE 11 G33 NE 11 G32
Precip Amount 0.00 0.14 0.51 0.56
Precip Duration 2 12 12
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl) 2830 2930
Transport Wnd (mph) NE 25 NE 26
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 62260 67390
ADI early Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor
ADI late Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor
Max LVORI early 10 9 10 10
Max LVORI late 10 7 10 10
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ013-120800-
Southern Litchfield-
Including the cities of Oakville, Gaylordsville, New Milford,
Terryville, and Thomaston
246 PM EDT Sat Oct 11 2025
Tonight Sun Sun Night Columbus Day
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type None Showers Rain Rain
Chance Precip (%) 0 70 90 90
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Temp (24H Trend) 48 (+7) 59 (-6) 48 57
RH % (24H Trend) 100 (0) 82 (+11) 100 93
Wind 20ft/early(MPH) NE 12 G33 NE 16 G34
Wind 20ft/late(MPH) Lgt/Var NE 14 G33 NE 14 G33 NE 14 G34
Precip Amount 0.00 0.20 0.56 0.59
Precip Duration 3 12 12
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl) 2750 2800
Transport Wnd (mph) NE 25 NE 25
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 60500 61600
ADI early Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor
ADI late Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor
Max LVORI early 10 9 10 10
Max LVORI late 10 8 10 10
Remarks...None.
$$
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain. Lows in the mid 40s.
Highs in the lower 60s. North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the
mid 50s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the
upper 40s. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the
lower 50s. West winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the
upper 50s. South winds around 5 mph.
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation near normal.
$$