278
FNUS71 KAKQ 031033
FWSAKQ

Spot Forecast for Rg 3...Fort Walker
National Weather Service Wakefield VA
533 AM EST Tue Dec 3 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 EST on December 03.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service at 757-899-5734.

.DISCUSSION...
High pressure will slowly build in from the west later today into
tonight, bringing NW winds, along with dry and cold conditions to the
region.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-15 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 42.
Min humidity........35 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming northwest 5 to 10 mph in
                    the late morning and afternoon.
Mixing height.......5100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 8 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (2500 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to excellent (65100 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................8 early in the morning increasing to 61 in the
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (EST)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........6   9   11  13  9   6   3   3
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............36  38  40  41  41  41  38  36
RH..............44  40  39  36  36  35  40  43
20 FT wind dir..NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT wind spd..7   7   7   8   7   6   6   5
20 FT wind gust.12  13  13  13  12  11  9   8
Mix hgt (kft)...2.4 3.3 4.2 5.1 4.3 3.5 2.7 1.9
Transp wind dir.NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
Transp wind spd.14  14  15  15  15  14  13  10
LVORI...........1   1   1   1   1   1   1   2
ADI.............38  49  56  61  56  49  40  27
Haines index....3   3   3   3   3   4   4   4
Vrate kt-ft/1K..28  41  54  65  55  44  32  19
Ventrate Cat....PR  FR  FR  GD  FR  FR  PR  PR

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Clear (0-10 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 18.
Max humidity........83 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing height.......300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 3 to 8 mph shifting to the southwest
                    after 3 am.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (900 knot-ft).
LVORI...............4.
ADI.................2 to 4.
Haines Index........4 to 5 or low to moderate potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (EST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........3   3   3   2   1   2   2   2   3   4   5   8
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............33  30  28  27  25  24  24  23  22  21  21  20
RH..............50  58  63  63  68  71  73  74  77  77  79  81
20 FT wind dir..NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  W   W   W   SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..4   3   3   3   3   2   2   1   1   1   1   1
20 FT wind gust.6   5   5   5   5   5   3   2   2   2   2   2
Mix hgt (kft)...1.1 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3
Transp wind dir.NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  W   W   W   SW  SW
Transp wind spd.8   7   7   7   7   7   5   5   3   3   3   3
LVORI...........2   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   4   4   5   5
ADI.............4   3   3   3   3   3   2   2   2   2   2   2
Haines index....5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   4   4   4
Vrate kt-ft/1K..9   2   2   2   2   2   1   1   1   1   1   1
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 44.
Min humidity........32 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming south 5 to 10 mph in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Mixing height.......2800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 3 to 9 mph increasing to 14 to 22 mph
                    in the late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (1000 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to good (53200 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................4 early in the morning increasing to 62 in the
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........2 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (EST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........11  14  15  15  15  16  17  18  23  28  34  40
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............20  19  24  29  32  36  40  41  42  44  42  41
RH..............83  82  68  57  51  43  36  34  33  32  36  39
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  SW  S   S   S   SW  SW  S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..2   2   3   5   6   8   9   10  10  10  11  11
20 FT wind gust.3   3   5   8   11  13  14  16  16  18  18  18
Mix hgt (kft)...0.3 0.3 0.8 1.4 1.9 2.2 2.5 2.8 2.4 2.1 1.7 1.4
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  S   S
Transp wind spd.3   6   9   14  18  21  22  21  21  20  18  18
LVORI...........5   5   3   2   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   2
ADI.............4   5   10  25  44  54  62  50  45  39  33  29
Haines index....4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   3   3   2   2
Vrate kt-ft/1K..1   1   7   17  30  39  47  53  45  36  28  22
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  FR  FR  FR  PR  PR  PR

$$
Forecaster...BROWN
Requested by...Beth Cantrell
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2427602.0/AKQ
.DELDT 12/03/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL curtis.e.garnett.civ@army.mil,beth.cantrell.civ@army.mil