027
FNUS71 KAKQ 180957
FWSAKQ

Spot Forecast for TA07B...Fort Walker
National Weather Service Wakefield VA
457 AM EST Mon Nov 18 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 EST on November 18.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service at 757-899-5734.

.DISCUSSION...
High pressure lingers over the region through Tuesday morning.
The next chance for showers will arrive for Tuesday evening into
Thursday morning, ahead of a strong cold front.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 69.
Min humidity........49 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming northwest around 5 mph
                    late in the morning, then becoming light late
                    in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......3000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 2 to 8 mph shifting to the northwest 6 to
                    10 mph in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (1700 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to fair (27000 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
LVORI...............2.
ADI.................3 to 33.
Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (EST)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........27  21  18  16  13  12  10  9   16
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............51  55  60  64  66  67  68  65  63
RH..............71  66  58  52  50  50  49  56  60
20 FT wind dir..NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT wind spd..2   4   5   5   5   5   4   3   2
20 FT wind gust.5   6   8   8   8   8   7   5   3
Mix hgt (kft)...0.8 1.0 1.6 2.3 3.0 2.4 1.9 1.3 1.0
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  W
Transp wind spd.2   3   6   8   10  10  9   8   6
LVORI...........3   3   2   2   1   2   2   2   3
ADI.............3   4   12  23  33  30  23  14  8
Haines index....4   4   4   3   3   3   4   4   4
Vrate kt-ft/1K..2   3   8   17  27  22  16  9   5
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 44.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 2 to 3 mph shifting to the northeast
                    overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (600 knot-ft).
LVORI...............7.
ADI.................1 to 2.
Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (EST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........24  31  31  31  31  30  29  28  30  33  35  38
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............58  56  53  52  51  51  50  49  49  48  47  46
RH..............72  77  86  89  93  93  93  96  96  96  100 100
20 FT wind dir..SW  S   NW  N   N   N   N   N   N   NE  NE  NE
20 FT wind spd..2   2   2   2   3   3   3   2   2   2   2   2
20 FT wind gust.3   3   3   3   5   5   5   3   3   3   3   3
Mix hgt (kft)...0.7 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  SW  W   W   NW  N   N   NE  NE  E   NE
Transp wind spd.3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   3   3   2
LVORI...........3   4   6   7   7   7   8   8   8   8   10  10
ADI.............2   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   2   1
Haines index....4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   3   3   3
Vrate kt-ft/1K..2   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 66.
Min humidity........50 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing height.......2300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 2 to 8 mph shifting to the southeast 5 to
                    6 mph in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (700 knot-ft).
LVORI...............6.
ADI.................2 to 16.
Haines Index........2 to 3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (EST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........41     46     49     50     57     72
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      0      10     10
Temp............45     49     56     62     65     64
RH..............100    89     72     56     50     56
20 ft wind......NE 2   NE 1   E 3    SE 3   S 3    S 4
20 ft wind gust.3      2      5      5      5      6
Mix hgt (ft)....400    700    1400   2000   1900   1200
Transport wind..NE 2   E 5    E 8    E 6    SE 5   E 6
LVORI...........9      6      3      2      2      2
ADI.............2      4      15     15     11     8
Haines index....3      3      2      2      2      3
Vrate kt-ft/1K..1      3      10     10     8      6
Ventrate Cat....POOR   POOR   POOR   POOR   POOR   POOR

$$
Forecaster...GINGRICH
Requested by...Beth Cantrell
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2426681.0/AKQ
.DELDT 11/18/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL beth.cantrell.civ@army.mil