949
FNUS71 KAKQ 090904
FWSAKQ

Spot Forecast for TA22A...Fort Walker
National Weather Service Wakefield VA
504 AM EDT Sun Mar 9 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 EDT on March 09.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service at 757-899-5734.

.DISCUSSION...
A drier airmass is in place across the region, with dew points in the
lower 20s expected today. RH values will drop to between 25-30% this
afternoon and southwesterly winds will increase to between 10 to 15 mph.
While these conditions are marginal for Increased Fire Danger, winds will
be the factor that makes conditions slightly less favorable for rapid fire
spread today. Partly cloudy to mostly clear skies and no chance of rain
is forecast for the burn area today.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 60.
Min humidity........25 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming west 6 to 10 mph in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Mixing height.......5900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 5 to 14 mph increasing to 16 to 20 mph
                    late in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (1400 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to excellent (99300 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
LVORI...............2.
ADI.................5 early in the morning increasing to 86 in the
                    afternoon.

TIME (EDT)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........31  24  16  9   13  17  21  15  9   3
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............31  36  41  46  50  53  57  58  59  59
RH..............66  54  46  38  33  29  25  26  26  27
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..3   4   6   8   9   9   10  10  9   9
20 FT wind gust.5   6   11  14  14  14  16  16  14  14
Mix hgt (kft)...0.3 1.1 1.9 2.7 3.5 4.4 5.3 5.5 5.7 5.9
Transp wind dir.SW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.5   7   10  13  14  14  14  16  18  20
LVORI...........3   2   2   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
ADI.............5   10  24  38  47  53  59  69  81  86
Vrate kt-ft/1K..1   7   17  29  41  52  64  77  91  99
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  FR  FR  GD  GD  GD  GD

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 34.
Max humidity........78 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 7 mph early in the evening
                    becoming light.
Mixing height.......300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 8 to 17 mph decreasing to 3 to 6 mph
                    in the late evening and overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (61400 knot-ft) early in the evening
                    decreasing to poor (1000 knot-ft) late in the
                    night.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................84 early in the evening decreasing to 2 late in
                    the night.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........4   5   5   5   5   5   7   9   11  13  14  15
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............55  52  48  46  45  43  42  40  39  38  36  35
RH..............32  36  44  49  51  57  60  64  67  70  75  78
20 FT wind dir..W   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..7   5   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   2   2
20 FT wind gust.12  8   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   3   3
Mix hgt (kft)...4.0 2.2 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3
Transp wind dir.W   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Transp wind spd.17  14  10  8   6   5   3   3   3   3   3   3
LVORI...........1   2   2   2   2   3   3   3   3   3   4   4
ADI.............84  6   5   4   3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
Vrate kt-ft/1K..61  27  3   3   2   2   1   1   1   1   1   1
Ventrate Cat....GD  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR

.MONDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 66.
Min humidity........28 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing height.......4500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 2 to 3 mph shifting to the south 1 to 7
                    mph in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (600 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to fair (27200 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................1 to 37.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........17     20     24     31     41     38
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      0      0      0
Temp............35     35     48     58     64     65
RH..............78     75     51     39     30     29
20 ft wind......SW 2   SW 2   SW 3   S 3    S 4    SE 3
20 ft wind gust.3      3      5      5      6      5
Mix hgt (ft)....300    300    1200   2500   4000   4400
Transport wind..SW 3   W 2    W 3    W 2    S 1    S 6
LVORI...........4      4      2      2      2      2
ADI.............1      2      5      8      7      29
Vrate kt-ft/1K..1      1      3      6      5      21
Ventrate Cat....POOR   POOR   POOR   POOR   POOR   POOR

$$
Forecaster...BARNHARDT
Requested by...Beth Cantrell
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2505285.0/AKQ
.DELDT 03/09/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL beth.cantrell.civ@army.mil,curtis.e.garnett.civ@army.mil