352
FNUS71 KAKQ 062026
FWSAKQ

Spot Forecast for 3711 Planters Road...Virginia Dept of Forestry
National Weather Service Wakefield VA
326 PM EST Wed Nov 6 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 EST on November 08.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service at 757-899-5734.

.DISCUSSION...
Dry conditions are expected for Friday, with min RH values
dropping to around 50 to 55%. Winds become WNW to W in the
afternoon, with wind speeds generally around 5 mph or less.


.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 73.
Min humidity........53 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing height.......2300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 3 to 6 mph shifting to the west 1 to
                    2 mph late in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (2200 knot-ft).
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................3 to 12.
Haines Index........2 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (EST)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........71  68  66  63  51  39  27  22
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
Temp............67  69  71  71  72  73  70  67
RH..............63  59  55  55  53  53  59  65
20 FT wind dir..NE  N   N   N   NW  NW  W   W
20 FT wind spd..3   3   3   2   2   2   2   2
20 FT wind gust.5   5   5   3   3   3   3   3
Mix hgt (kft)...1.6 1.8 2.1 2.3 2.2 2.1 1.9 1.4
Transp wind dir.NE  NE  N   N   N   NW  W   W
Transp wind spd.6   5   3   2   2   1   1   2
LVORI...........2   2   2   3   2   2   3   3
ADI.............12  11  9   7   6   3   3   4
Haines index....2   2   2   2   3   3   4   4
Vrate kt-ft/1K..8   7   6   5   3   3   3   2
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR

.FRIDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 47.
Max humidity........96 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 2 to 3 mph shifting to the north around 5
                    mph after 3 am.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (800 knot-ft).
LVORI...............6.
ADI.................1 to 2.
Haines Index........4 to 5 or low to moderate potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (EST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........16  11  12  12  13  13  14  14  14  14  14  13
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
Temp............62  59  57  56  54  54  53  52  52  51  50  49
RH..............78  87  90  93  96  90  89  86  80  74  71  74
20 FT wind dir..W   SW  W   W   NW  NW  NW  N   N   N   N   N
20 FT wind spd..2   1   1   1   2   2   2   2   3   3   4   4
20 FT wind gust.3   2   2   2   3   3   3   3   5   5   6   6
Mix hgt (kft)...0.9 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   W   W   W   NW  NW  NW  NW  N   N
Transp wind spd.2   2   2   2   2   2   3   3   3   5   5   5
LVORI...........4   6   7   7   8   7   7   6   5   3   3   3
ADI.............1   1   1   1   1   1   2   2   2   2   2   2
Haines index....4   4   4   5   5   5   4   4   4   4   4   4
Vrate kt-ft/1K..2   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   2   2   2
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR

$$
Forecaster...BUTNER
Requested by...James Cochran
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2425931.0/AKQ
.DELDT 11/07/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL james.cochran@dof.virginia.gov,Travis.Tindell@dof.virginia.gov,alejandro.zuniga@dof.virginia.gov