169
FNAK77 PAJK 021404
FWSAJK

Spot Forecast for Pt Couverden SAR...Coast Guard
National Weather Service Juneau AK
504 AM AKST Mon Dec 2 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0600 AKST on December 02.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (907) 790-6824, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...Difficult conditions still exist in and around the
incident area this morning. Winds and seas around Pt Couverden have
diminished compared to this time yesterday, but Rocky Island is still
reporting NE winds around 30 kt with gusts to 43 kt so seas are likely
around 5 to 6 ft. Southern Lynn Canal is still blowing 25 kt out of the
north while the Sister`s Island has an E wind at 15 kt. Winds and seas
in southern Lynn should gradually diminish into tonight (down to 20 kt)
while Icy Strait will likely stay mostly constant through the day.

For precipitation in the area, freezing rain, sleet, and snow have all
been observed around Juneau, Hoonah, and Gustavus this morning with
visibilities around 2 to 3 miles and ceilings down to 800 ft at times
(but as high as 3000 ft). A change over to all rain is expected, and a
corresponding warm up above freezing, through the day. Rain is then
expected to persist through Tuesday at least with a brief break in
higher precip rates tonight before becoming heavier again Tuesday.
Visibilities and ceilings are expected to stay somewhat low around 3
miles or less with snow and sleet still in the area this morning.
Visibilities will likely improve to 3 to 5 miles as areas transition
into all rain, and are expected to vary around those numbers as rain
rates rise and fall. Ceilings mostly expected to stay around 1500 to
3000 ft for the most part, through some periods of lower conditions are
possible.

TAF PAJN
PAJN 021354Z 0214/0312 12007KT 3SM -FZRASN FG SCT008 OVC025 PROB30
      0215/0221 3SM -FZRA BR BKN008 OVC025
     FM022100 12007KT 4SM -RASN BR SCT007 OVC015
     FM030000 11006KT 5SM -RASN BR SCT007 OVC015
     FM030300 09005KT 5SM -RA BR SCT007 OVC015=

TAF PASI
PASI 021353Z 0214/0312 13016G26KT 3SM RA BR OVC025 WS020/18040KT
      TEMPO 0214/0216 1 1/2SM -RA BR OVC015
     FM021800 12013G21KT 4SM -RA BR OVC015 WS020/15030KT
     FM030300 13011KT 6SM -RA BR OVC015
     FM031100 12011G18KT 5SM -RA BR OVC015=

Marine forecasts:
Southern Lynn Canal-
348 AM AKST Mon Dec 2 2024

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH EARLY THIS MORNING...

.TODAY...N wind 25 kt diminishing to 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Snow and
rain.
.TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt late. Seas 3 ft.
Rain and snow.
.TUE...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.

Icy Strait-
348 AM AKST Mon Dec 2 2024

.TODAY...NE wind 20 kt diminishing to 15 kt in the afternoon.
Seas 4 ft. Rain and snow.
.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt increasing to 20 kt late. Seas 4 ft.
Rain.
.TUE...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Snow and freezing rain
                    early in the morning. Rain through the day.
Chance of pcpn......100 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 42.
Min humidity........89 percent.
Dewpoint............36.
Surface winds (mph).Breezy. Northeast winds 24 to 33 mph.
Wave height.........5 feet.
Freezing spray......None.
Sea surface temp....41.

TIME (AKST)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
Sky (%).........98        97        95        94
Weather cov.....DEFNTE    DEFNTE    DEFNTE    DEFNTE
Weather type....RNSN      RAIN      RAIN      RAIN
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).100       100       100       100
Temp............32        37        39        40
Dewpoint........34        35        38        38
RH..............97        92        96        91
Surface wind....E 33G41   E 29G37   E 25G33   NE 24G33
Wave height (ft)5         4         4         4
Freezing spray..
SST (F).........41        41        41        41

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Rain.
Chance of pcpn......100 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 41.
Max humidity........93 percent.
Dewpoint............39.
Surface winds (mph).East winds around 20 mph.
Wave height.........3 feet.
Freezing spray......None.
Sea surface temp....41.

TIME (AKST)      6 PM      9 PM      MIDNGT    3 AM
Sky (%).........93        90        96        98
Weather cov.....DEFNTE    DEFNTE    DEFNTE    DEFNTE
Weather type....RAIN      RAIN      RAIN      RAIN
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).100       100       100       80
Temp............41        41        41        41
Dewpoint........38        39        39        38
RH..............90        90        92        90
Surface wind....E 20G28   E 20G28   E 20G28   E 20G28
Wave height (ft)3         3         3         3
Freezing spray..
SST (F).........41        41        41        41

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Rain.
Chance of pcpn......100 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 43.
Min humidity........86 percent.
Dewpoint............39.
Surface winds (mph).East winds 18 to 20 mph.
Wave height.........3 feet.
Freezing spray......None.
Sea surface temp....41.

TIME (AKST)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
Sky (%).........98        98        94        97
Weather cov.....DEFNTE    DEFNTE    DEFNTE    DEFNTE
Weather type....RAIN      RAIN      RAIN      RAIN
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).100       100       100       100
Temp............41        43        43        43
Dewpoint........38        39        41        40
RH..............90        90        91        90
Surface wind....E 20G28   NE 20G29  NE 20G29  E 18G26
Wave height (ft)3         3         3         3
Freezing spray..
SST (F).........41        41        41        41

$$
Forecaster...Liske
Requested by...shawn ward
Type of request...SAR
.TAG 2427486.3/AJK
.DELDT 12/02/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL sccsoutheastalaska@uscg.mil